Stock Ratings / Technology / COHR / financials

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Coherent Corp. (COHR) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$210.32 -11.34% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $205.63

Coherent Corp. (COHR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $46.72B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is COHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Coherent Corp. (NYSE: COHR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $210.32 (-11.34% 1D, market cap $46.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, COHR ranks #402 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does COHR compare to P and NTAP in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), COHR carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.2%, and ROIC of 0.3%. By comparison, P (Everpure Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.5%, cap $45.72B) and NTAP (NetApp Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 33.6x, ROIC 38.5%, cap $42.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WDC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while WDC leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COHR?

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Per COHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000820318), Coherent Corp. generated $5.81B in revenue (+23.4% YoY), $30.0M in net income, and $192.8M in free cash flow against $15.09B in total assets and $3.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $205.63 (-2.23%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 3.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for COHR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY COHR SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (35% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.19 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.3% FCF Margin ($192.8M FCF) & 35.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (44.3) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$289.98-20.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$231.80+1.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$235.79-10.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D$210.32-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a COHR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While COHR currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($277.76) and Max Pain ($220.84) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $462.00.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $COHR• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “COHR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How COHR Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$192.8M (3.3% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $5.16B

FY24

Rev $4.71B

FY25

Rev $5.81B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$5.81B	35.2%	0.6%	$30.0M	$192.8M	0.3%
FY 2024	$4.71B	30.9%	2%	-$159.0M	$198.9M	0.9%
FY 2023	$5.16B	35.2%	-0.7%	-$259.0M	$401.8M	-0.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring COHR)

✓Walkthrough of COHR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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COHR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -36.25%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $239.6H $239.6L $210.3C $210.3VOL 7.55M

RES: $315.7SUP: $193.9SMA50: $277.8SMA200: $297.0

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

COHR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 COHR Butterfly Map → + Track COHR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +23.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COHR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COHR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for COHR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (COHR)

Technology Rank #402 of 714 ⚔️ P vs COHR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (COHR vs. P, NTAP, TEL, WDC)

Industry: Electronic Components (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Coherent Corp. (COHR) ranks #402 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #67 by equity capitalization ($46.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WDC leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while WDC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.3% ROIC and — gross margin. TEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with COHR at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
COHR ACTIVE Coherent Corp.	D	46/100	—	35.2%	0.3%	-11.34%	$46.72B	Benchmark Subject
P Everpure Inc.	C	65/100	—	70.4%	2.5%	-7.45%	$45.72B	/p-vs-cohr →
NTAP NetApp Inc.	B	72/100	33.6x	70.7%	38.5%	-8.81%	$42.90B	/ntap-vs-cohr →
TEL TE Connectivity plc	B	74/100	35.0x	35.2%	15.2%	-4.37%	$64.49B	/tel-vs-cohr →
WDC Western Digital Corporation	C+	69/100	21.7x	—	58.3%	-7.41%	$148.01B	/wdc-vs-cohr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000820318

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Coherent Corp. (COHR) reported GAAP revenue of $5.81B (+23.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.71B , and +12.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $30.0M, operating cash flow of $633.6M, and free cash flow of $192.8M (-3.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, COHR closed FY2025 with $15.09B in total assets against $3.25B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.19, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$5.81B	$30.0M	$633.6M	$192.8M	$15.09B	$3.25B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$4.71B	-$159.0M	$545.7M	$198.9M	$14.20B	$3.83B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$5.16B	-$259.0M	$634.0M	$401.8M	$25.69B	$6.01B

3. COHR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is COHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does COHR compare to P and NTAP in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COHR?

Where is COHR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

COHR last traded at $210.32 (-11.34% on volume of 11,974,212 shares), positioning the stock -24.28% below its 50-day simple moving average ($277.76) and -29.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($296.95). Across its 52-week range of $123.75 to $440.00, COHR sits at the 27.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($184.03 to $236.61).

COHR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Coherent Corp. (COHR)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), COHR converted $5.8B of revenue into a 35.2% gross margin, 0.6% operating margin, and $192.8M in free cash flow (3.3% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: COHR RQD Cockpit COHR 12M Forecast COHR Earnings & Move COHR Dividends & DRIP COHR Insiders & 13F COHR Whale Options COHR Profit Sankey COHR News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

COHR — Coherent Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:11:19Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, COHR scores 46 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The score is built from five pillars:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20. The pillar reflects ROIC of 0.3% and an FCF yield of 0.41%. For a prospective investor, this is the weakest signal of return on capital and cash generation relative to the price paid. A low ROIC means the company is earning very little on invested capital, so valuation depends heavily on future improvement rather than current cash output.
Whale / 13F Flow: 7 / 20. The pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning, but the source data does not provide the underlying 13F holdings or options detail (see Analyst View section). The low score signals weak institutional conviction in the source's framework.
Insider Conviction: 8 / 20. The pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The detailed trade records are not in the source data, so the score is taken as stated.
Macro Regime Fit: 5 / 20. Per the source, beta is 1.14, indicating sensitivity to broad market moves, and the pillar reflects sector sensitivity. This is the lowest pillar and suggests the stock is less well-positioned for the macro backdrop the framework assumes.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. This is the strongest pillar, reflecting Altman Z of 5.19, Piotroski F of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.38. A prospective investor can read this as evidence that near-term solvency risk is low even though profitability is thin.

Translated for an investor evaluating the stock today: the framework sees a balance sheet that is not the problem, but a return profile (ROIC, FCF yield, margins) and a macro/sector fit that do not support the current valuation. The main upside driver would be a sustained improvement in operating margin and ROIC from their present levels; the main valuation tradeoff is an EV/EBITDA of 95 against near-zero profitability, which leaves little margin for execution error. The rating is a distribution-risk flag, not a forecast of a specific price outcome.

Business

Coherent Corp. (COHR) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector, Electronic Components industry, per the profile section. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Per the market data, gross margin is 35.2%, operating margin is 0.6%, and net margin is 0.5%. Market capitalization is $46.72B.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$5810.1M	$35.4M	$30.0M	N/A	$192.8M	$863.7M	$3245.4M
FY 2024	$4707.7M	$96.1M	$-159.0M	N/A	$198.9M	$917.8M	$3832.7M
FY 2023	$5160.1M	$-37.1M	$-259.0M	N/A	$401.8M	N/A	$6012.5M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $4707.7M in FY 2024 to $5810.1M in FY 2025, and net income moved from $-159.0M to $30.0M. Operating margin remains thin at 0.6% and net margin at 0.5% per the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 0.3% and the Altman Z-Score is 5.19 and Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.38. Debt declined from $6012.5M in FY 2023 to $3245.4M in FY 2025, and cash was $863.7M at FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Six news items from the recent catalysts feed are tagged to COHR, each carrying a YELLOW light and "MARKET WIRE" impact label. Headlines reference: sold-out capacity news (Yahoo Finance), a "tempting buy" with "one big reason to stay away" (Seeking Alpha), a stock rising 8% in a month (Zacks), a six-month underperformance paired with an analyst prediction of doubling (24/7 Wall St.), a stock down 9.6% with a GF Score of 78/100 (GuruFocus), and a fair-value question (Yahoo Finance). These are headlines only; the source does not provide article bodies, so the underlying arguments cannot be verified. Risk watch items implied by the headlines are valuation (flagged as overvalued by one source) and capacity-driven demand. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply chain (supply_chain: NONE), no butterfly links, and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What are COHR's products, end markets, and customer concentration? The source data does not describe the business beyond its sector classification.
What EPS and forward earnings estimates underlie the P/E figures, which are absent from the source?
What is the basis for the GF Score of 78/100 and the claim of overvaluation, and how does it reconcile with the RQD verdict?
What drove the $-159.0M FY 2024 loss and the $-259.0M FY 2023 loss, and is the FY 2025 profit recurring?
What do the 13F, Form 4, and Congressional trade records actually show behind the whale and insider pillar scores?

COHR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Coherent Corp. (COHR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to COHR Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 6h ago

Coherent (COHR) Stock Looks About Right Following Sold Out Capacity News

Yahoo Finance report covering Coherent Corp. (COHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 9h ago

Coherent: A Tempting Buy But There's One Big Reason To Stay Away (NYSE:COHR)

Seeking Alpha report covering Coherent Corp. (COHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Zacks Investment Research • 12h ago

Coherent Stock Rises 8% in a Month: Is the Buying Opportunity Intact?

Zacks Investment Research report covering Coherent Corp. (COHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE 24/7 Wall St. • 15h ago

Coherent Has Massively Diappointed Investors for 6 Months: A Respected Analyst Predicts It Will Double Moving Forward

24/7 Wall St. report covering Coherent Corp. (COHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GuruFocus • 18h ago

Coherent Corp (COHR) Stock Down 9.6% but Still Overvalued -- GF Score: 78/100

GuruFocus report covering Coherent Corp. (COHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Is Coherent (COHR) Fairly Valued?

Yahoo Finance report covering Coherent Corp. (COHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Is COHERENT CORP (COHR) Outperforming Other Business Services Stocks This Year?

Yahoo Finance report covering Coherent Corp. (COHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Coherent (COHR) Stock May Be About Right As Analyst Interest Builds

Yahoo Finance report covering Coherent Corp. (COHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

COHR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $210.32?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON COHR 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $256.20 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is COHR (D • RQD 46/100) a Buy at $237.22?

Welcome to the COHR (Coherent Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 46/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Electronic Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $199.26 (-16.0%)

Spot @ $237.22

Pump the brakes on COHR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on COHR, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 35.2% gross margins. Unless Coherent Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $294.15 (+24.0%)

Spot @ $237.22

COHR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on COHR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Electronic Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $237.22 (52-wk range $123.75 - $440.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.