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Stock Ratings / Technology / CMTL
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Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.24 -2.36% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.23

Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 17/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $38.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CMTL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CMTL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (NASDAQ: CMTL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $1.24 (-2.36% 1D, market cap $38.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CMTL ranks #706 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CMTL compare to WATT and AIRG in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), CMTL carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 31.6%, and ROIC of -16.8%. By comparison, WATT (Energous Corporation) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $50.6M) and AIRG (Airgain Inc.) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.0%, cap $54.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMTL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CRNT leads on capital efficiency (4.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMTL?
▼

Per CMTL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31, CIK 0000023197), Comtech Telecommunications Corp. generated $300.9M in revenue (-44.3% YoY), -$155.3M in net income, and -$16.5M in free cash flow against $703.8M in total assets and $107.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.23 (-0.61%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (17/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510017
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (3)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18.5% Base Target
$7 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE CMTL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CMTL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (17/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CMTL SCORES 17/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 31.6% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+4/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
25
Grade E$1.30+1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
22
Grade E$1.32+2.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
20
Grade E$1.35-8.1% Next Q
Current
17
Grade E$1.24-12.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (25) → E (17)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CMTL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CMTL currently carries a cautious 17/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.42) and Max Pain ($1.30) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.52.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CMTL• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CMTL Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 18%NO 82%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
4430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.44>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $1$1.24H: $6
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 5 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on CMTL

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (25)

-16.8% ROIC with 31.6% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (18)

Altman-Z 0.44 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (18)

6/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 4/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CMTL
  • ✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CMTL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CMTL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CMTL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -66.03%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $1.32H $1.32L $1.24C $1.24VOL 58.7K
RES: $1.40SUP: $1.09SMA50: $1.42SMA200: $3.14
$6.55$5.09$3.62$2.15$0.68RES $1.40SUP $1.09$1.242026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CMTL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CMTL Butterfly Map → + Track CMTL →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -44.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMTL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMTL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CMTL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CMTL)

Technology Rank #706 of 714 ⚔️ WATT vs CMTL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CMTL vs. WATT, AIRG, VUZI, CRNT)

Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) ranks #706 by composite RQD confidence (17/100, grade E) and #574 by equity capitalization ($38.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMTL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CRNT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.3% ROIC and 33.8% gross margin. CRNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with CMTL at 17/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CMTL ACTIVE
Comtech Telecommunications Corp.
E 17/100 — 31.6% -16.8% -2.36% $38.3M Benchmark Subject
WATT
Energous Corporation
E 23/100 — 36.0% -35.0% -6.00% $50.6M /watt-vs-cmtl →
AIRG
Airgain Inc.
E 19/100 — 43.5% -32.0% -1.55% $54.8M /airg-vs-cmtl →
VUZI
Vuzix Corporation
E 29/100 — -16.9% -35.0% -14.86% $179.0M /vuzi-vs-cmtl →
CRNT
Ceragon Networks Ltd.
D 47/100 — 33.8% 4.3% -2.43% $188.0M /crnt-vs-cmtl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-07-31 • CIK 0000023197

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31), Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) reported GAAP revenue of $300.9M (-44.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $540.4M , and -45.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$155.3M, operating cash flow of -$8.3M, and free cash flow of -$16.5M (+75.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CMTL closed FY2025 with $703.8M in total assets against $107.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.44, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-07-31 $300.9M -$155.3M -$8.3M -$16.5M $703.8M $107.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-07-31 $540.4M -$100.0M -$54.5M -$67.6M $770.6M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-07-31 $550.0M -$26.9M -$4.4M -$4.4M — —

3. CMTL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CMTL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (NASDAQ: CMTL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $1.24 (-2.36% 1D, market cap $38.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CMTL ranks #706 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CMTL compare to WATT and AIRG in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), CMTL carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 31.6%, and ROIC of -16.8%. By comparison, WATT (Energous Corporation) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $50.6M) and AIRG (Airgain Inc.) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.0%, cap $54.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMTL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CRNT leads on capital efficiency (4.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMTL?

Per CMTL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31, CIK 0000023197), Comtech Telecommunications Corp. generated $300.9M in revenue (-44.3% YoY), -$155.3M in net income, and -$16.5M in free cash flow against $703.8M in total assets and $107.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CMTL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CMTL last traded at $1.24 (-2.36% on volume of 100,272 shares), positioning the stock -12.68% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.42) and -60.51% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.14). Across its 52-week range of $1.14 to $6.21, CMTL sits at the 2.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.09 to $1.39).

Direct Sub-Reports: CMTL RQD Cockpit CMTL 12M Forecast CMTL Earnings & Move CMTL Dividends & DRIP CMTL Insiders & 13F CMTL Whale Options CMTL Profit Sankey CMTL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 17/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CMTL — Comtech Telecommunications Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-07-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 17/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.24 (-2.36% 1D, market capitalization $38.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -16.8%, gross margin of 31.6%, operating margin of -9.9%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.44, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.64x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment industry. Gross margin is 31.6% per the market data section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-07-31), Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) reported $300.9M in annual revenue (up from $540.4M in FY2024, -44.3% YoY) and -$155.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($550.0M revenue, -$26.9M net income) through FY2025, CMTL scaled operating cash flow to -$8.3M and free cash flow to -$16.5M, backed by $703.8M in total assets against $107.7M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 17/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.14 – $6.21 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -9.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The one sector-level input available is the Technology sector classification and the beta of 1.0.

  • Key Question #1: Can CMTL sustain or expand its -9.9% operating margin and -16.8% ROIC against Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $300.9M and free cash flow of -$16.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $107.7M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CMTL's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CMTL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (CMTL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CMTL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CMTL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.24?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CMTL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CMTL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.68 (+32.3%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The shares trade at $1.32 with a $39.8M market cap after falling from a $6.21 52-week high, so a successful restructuring could leave a

Long CMTL at $1.27 targeting $1.68. The shares trade at $1.32 with a $39.8M market cap after falling from a $6.21 52-week high, so a successful restructuring could leave a low entry price with meaningful recovery room.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $1.14 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — CMTL's 2/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.04 (-18.1%)
Spot @ $1.27

With an Altman Z of 0.44, a Piotroski F of 3/9, Debt/Equity of 1.64, and FY 2025 net loss of -$155.3M against $300.9M revenue, the bala

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CMTL: With an Altman Z of 0.44, a Piotroski F of 3/9, Debt/Equity of 1.64, and FY 2025 net loss of -$155.3M against $300.9M revenue, the balance sheet shows distress signals that the rating scores at 2/20.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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