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Creative Media & Community Trust Corporation (CMCT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$3.09 -3.13% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.07

Creative Media & Community Trust Corporation (CMCT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $10.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CMCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Creative Media & Community Trust Corporation (NASDAQ: CMCT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $3.09 (-3.13% 1D, market cap $10.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CMCT ranks #943 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CMCT compare to IHT and AHT in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), CMCT carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -14.7%. By comparison, IHT (InnSuites Hospitality Trust) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.9%, cap $11.8M) and AHT (Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $16.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMCT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AHT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMCT?
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Per CMCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000908311), Creative Media & Community Trust Corporation generated $39.6M in revenue (+5.2% YoY), -$39.0M in net income, and $5.8M in free cash flow against $859.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.07 (-0.75%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 14.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510038
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (5)SEC (11)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.1% Base Target
$1513 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE CMCT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CMCT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CMCT SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 14.6% FCF Margin ($5.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$4.16+37.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$5.72-41.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$3.37-8.3% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$3.09-7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CMCT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CMCT currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.41) and Max Pain ($3.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1,513.05.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CMCT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CMCT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.39 Expected Swing
$2.70 (-12.5%)Spot $3.09$3.48 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CMCT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 38/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 5.2%

Model Bullish Setup (38/100)Model Risk Weight (62/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$39.6M-$39.0M$5.8M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$37.7M-$25.2M$17.0M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$39.1M-$48.5M$12.0M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CMCT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CMCT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CMCT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.99%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $3.22H $3.22L $3.09C $3.09VOL 11.2K
RES: $5.76SUP: $1.54SMA50: $3.41SMA200: $53.09
$457.0$333.6$210.2$86.86$-36.51RES $5.76SUP $1.54$3.092026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CMCT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMCT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMCT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CMCT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CMCT)

Financials Rank #943 of 1097 ⚔️ IHT vs CMCT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CMCT vs. IHT, AHT, NYC, MDRR)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Creative Media & Community Trust Corporation (CMCT) ranks #943 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #1075 by equity capitalization ($10.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMCT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. MDRR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with CMCT at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CMCT ACTIVE
Creative Media & Community Trust Corporation
D- 38/100 — — -14.7% -3.13% $10.3M Benchmark Subject
IHT
InnSuites Hospitality Trust
E 26/100 — — -14.9% -2.86% $11.8M /iht-vs-cmct →
AHT
Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc
D- 41/100 — — 85.0% -0.78% $16.6M /aht-vs-cmct →
NYC
American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)
D- 37/100 — — 5.5% -0.08% $18.9M /nyc-vs-cmct →
MDRR
Medalist Diversified Inc.
C- 59/100 — — 6.4% 0.00% $19.1M /mdrr-vs-cmct →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000908311 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Creative Media & Community Trust Corporation (CMCT) reported GAAP revenue of $39.6M (+5.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $37.7M , and +1.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$39.0M, operating cash flow of $5.8M, and free cash flow of $5.8M (-66.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CMCT closed FY2025 with $859.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $39.6M -$39.0M $5.8M $5.8M $859.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $37.7M -$25.2M $17.0M $17.0M $889.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $39.1M -$48.5M $12.0M $12.0M — —

3. CMCT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CMCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Creative Media & Community Trust Corporation (NASDAQ: CMCT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $3.09 (-3.13% 1D, market cap $10.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CMCT ranks #943 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CMCT compare to IHT and AHT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), CMCT carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -14.7%. By comparison, IHT (InnSuites Hospitality Trust) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.9%, cap $11.8M) and AHT (Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $16.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMCT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AHT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMCT?

Per CMCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000908311), Creative Media & Community Trust Corporation generated $39.6M in revenue (+5.2% YoY), -$39.0M in net income, and $5.8M in free cash flow against $859.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CMCT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CMCT last traded at $3.09 (-3.13% on volume of 6,549 shares), positioning the stock -9.38% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.41) and -94.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($53.09). Across its 52-week range of $1.78 to $1,441.00, CMCT sits at the 0.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.70 to $3.48).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 38/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CMCT — Creative Media & Community Trust Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Creative Media & Community Trust Corporation (CMCT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 38/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $3.09 (-3.13% 1D, market capitalization $10.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -14.7%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Creative Media & Community Trust Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry..

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Creative Media & Community Trust Corporation (CMCT) reported $39.6M in annual revenue (up from $37.7M in FY2024, +5.2% YoY) and -$39.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($39.1M revenue, -$48.5M net income) through FY2025, CMCT scaled operating cash flow to $5.8M and free cash flow to $5.8M, backed by $859.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 38/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.78 – $1,441.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), CMCT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can CMCT sustain or expand its — operating margin and -14.7% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $39.6M and free cash flow of $5.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CMCT's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CMCT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Creative Media & Community Trust Corporation (CMCT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CMCT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CMCT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.09?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CMCT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CMCT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.05 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 11 of 20 with Debt/Equity of 0.5 and FY 2025 free cash flow of $5.8M, showing some balance-she

The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 11 of 20 with Debt/Equity of 0.5 and FY 2025 free cash flow of $5.8M, showing some balance-sheet stability.. When you look under the hood at CMCT, Fundamental Cash Engine is 9/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -14.7% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (5/20) has been quietly accumulating below $1441.00. My 12M target is $4.05.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Real Estate Investment Trusts. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.62 (-17.9%)
Spot @ $3.19

ROIC of -14.7%, net margin of -60%, and FCF yield of 0% show the business is not currently earning returns on capital.

Fading this rally in CMCT at $3.19. ROIC of -14.7%, net margin of -60%, and FCF yield of 0% show the business is not currently earning returns on capital.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $3.19 (52-wk range $1.78–$1441.00), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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