ROARABLE
Today ⌘ Pro Terminal Big Ideas 🎲 Predictions Screener 🦋 Butterfly 8 Analysts 🏛️ Policy 🎬 Video ★ Watchlist 🎲 Prediction Markets 📊 RQD Track Record 📅 Next Catalysts 🛡️ Overlap & Crash X-Ray 📰 Live Wire 🐋 13F Whales 🏛️ Congress & CEO Buys 🏆 $100K Arena ⌘ Pro Terminal 📐 Methodology & Corrections
Stock Ratings / Financials / CM / forecast
IBN (62) HDB (65) BMO (64) ING (57) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$116.48 -1.98% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $115.84

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $107.89B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (NYSE: CM) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $116.48 (-1.98% 1D, market cap $107.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CM ranks #267 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CM compare to IBN and HDB in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Commercial Banks), CM carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, IBN (ICICI Bank Limited) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $104.29B) and HDB (HDFC Bank Limited) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 14.9x, ROIC 20.7%, cap $111.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HDB leads on earnings multiple (14.9x) while HDB leads on capital efficiency (20.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CM?
▼

For Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $115.84 (-0.55%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (16)SEC (15)Macro (10)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$142 Bull$120 Base$94 Bear
📬 FREE CM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CM SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.2) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$111.52+1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$113.15+3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$116.49+0% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$116.48+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, CM faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($113.83) or 200D SMA ($109.04) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($120.15) toward Bear Floor ($93.72).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CM Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $116.48: 85.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $93.72
$8,046
$-1,954 (-19.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $120.15
$10,315
+$315 (+3.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $141.78
$12,172
+$2,172 (+21.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$12574%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$13369%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$10758%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CM Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
CM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.95%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $117.7H $118.8L $116.5C $116.5VOL 543.8K
RES: $119.4SUP: $104.2SMA50: $113.8SMA200: $109.0
$127.4$116.9$106.3$95.80$85.27RES $119.4SUP $104.2$116.52026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CM Butterfly Map → + Track CM →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CM)

Financials Rank #267 of 1096 ⚔️ IBN vs CM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CM vs. IBN, HDB, BMO, ING)

Industry: Commercial Banks (34 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) ranks #267 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #30 by equity capitalization ($107.89B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HDB leads on earnings valuation at 14.9x trailing P/E, while HDB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.7% ROIC and — gross margin. CM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CM ACTIVE
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce
C 65/100 32.8x — 9.9% -1.98% $107.89B Benchmark Subject
IBN
ICICI Bank Limited
C 62/100 32.8x — 9.9% +1.10% $104.29B /ibn-vs-cm →
HDB
HDFC Bank Limited
C 65/100 14.9x — 20.7% +1.74% $111.86B /hdb-vs-cm →
BMO
Bank Of Montreal
C 64/100 32.8x — 9.9% -2.70% $122.25B /bmo-vs-cm →
ING
ING Group N.V.
D+ 57/100 32.8x — 9.9% -2.42% $93.57B /ing-vs-cm →

2. CM Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) operates in Commercial Banks (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $107.89B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. CM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (NYSE: CM) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $116.48 (-1.98% 1D, market cap $107.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CM ranks #267 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CM compare to IBN and HDB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Commercial Banks), CM carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, IBN (ICICI Bank Limited) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $104.29B) and HDB (HDFC Bank Limited) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 14.9x, ROIC 20.7%, cap $111.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HDB leads on earnings multiple (14.9x) while HDB leads on capital efficiency (20.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CM?

For Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CM last traded at $116.48 (-1.98% on volume of 647,689 shares), positioning the stock +2.33% above its 50-day simple moving average ($113.83) and +6.82% above its 200-day simple moving average ($109.04). Across its 52-week range of $82.25 to $124.86, CM sits at the 80.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.0% ($111.82 to $121.14).

CM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CM's 12-month stock price target?

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $120.15 (+3.2% from $116.48), with a bull-case target of $141.78 and a bear-case floor of $93.72.

Is CM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates CM C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 65/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: CM RQD Cockpit CM 12M Forecast CM Earnings & Move CM Dividends & DRIP CM Insiders & 13F CM Whale Options CM Profit Sankey CM News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CM — Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:08:08Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CM scores 65 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 9.9% and FCF yield is 2.21%. Returns on capital are positive, but the cash yield at the current price is thin, which limits the margin of safety on valuation.
  • Whale 13F Flow (16 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the strongest pillar and suggests professional ownership has been constructive, though the underlying 13F detail is not itemized in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction (12 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderate; the underlying transaction records are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating and market data, beta is 1.12. The pillar is the weakest, indicating above-market sensitivity to the macro and sector regime.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (15 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is a solid forensic profile, with strong financial-health indicators.

Investor implications (analytical, not advice): The upside drivers in this profile are institutional accumulation and a strong balance sheet. The valuation tradeoff is stark: per the market data, the trailing P/E is 32.8 and the forward P/E is 30.5, against an FCF yield of 2.21%, so the stock is priced for growth that the cash-flow profile does not yet fully underwrite. The rating's "Hold" label reflects this balance of constructive ownership and balance-sheet strength against a rich multiple and above-market beta.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
118.83$107.89B32.830.5213.620%1.12$82.25 - $124.869.9%

Business

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and the Commercial Banks industry, per the profile. The source data does not itemize its products, customer segments, or revenue sources. Not available in source data for detailed revenue model.

Open Questions

  • What are CM's reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow across recent periods? (Financial statements are not in source data.)
  • What are the specific 13F institutional holders and the magnitude of recent accumulation behind the Whale pillar score?
  • What are the individual SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR transactions underlying the Insider Conviction pillar?
  • What is the analyst consensus rating count and price target range, and how do they compare with the current $118.83 price?
  • What drove the RED-flagged underperformance item, and how does the 9.9% ROIC compare with the earnings power implied by the 32.8 trailing P/E?

CM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $116.48?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CM 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $128.34 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CM (C • RQD 65/100) a Buy at $118.83?

Welcome to the CM (Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Commercial Banks. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $97.44 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $118.83

Pump the brakes on CM — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CM, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $137.84 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $118.83

CM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Commercial Banks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $118.83 (52-wk range $82.25 - $124.86), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%