C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$124.61 -2.21% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $123.88

C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $14.89B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CHRW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (NASDAQ: CHRW) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $124.61 (-2.21% 1D, market cap $14.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CHRW ranks #56 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CHRW compare to EXPD and BCO in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Integrated Freight & Logistics), CHRW carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 22.6%. By comparison, EXPD (Expeditors International of Washington Inc.) holds a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 31.8x, ROIC 40.3%, cap $25.79B) and BCO (Brinks Company) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 21.1x, ROIC 19.6%, cap $4.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCO leads on earnings multiple (21.1x) while EXPD leads on capital efficiency (40.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHRW?
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Per CHRW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001043277), C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. generated $16.23B in revenue (-8.4% YoY), $587.1M in net income, and $894.9M in free cash flow against $5.06B in total assets and $1.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $123.87 (-0.59%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 5.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C
Cash (19)Whales (6)SEC (18)Macro (8)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$221 Bull$130 Base$102 Bear
📬 FREE CHRW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHRW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CHRW SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.5% FCF Margin ($894.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.42 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
76
Grade B+$137.97+1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
73
Grade B$140.57+2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$143.59-13.2% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$124.61+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (76) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CHRW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, CHRW faces multiple-compression risk if 25.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($144.68) or 200D SMA ($169.05) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($130.22) toward Bear Floor ($101.57).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHRW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CHRW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
3.82% Total Yield
2.02% Cash ($2.52/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
21.8% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (7.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $20,230

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $773/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.5K
Yr 2
$12.4K
Yr 3
$13.3K
Yr 4
$14.2K
Yr 5
$15.3K
Yr 6
$16.4K
Yr 7
$17.6K
Yr 8
$18.9K
Yr 9
$20.2K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in CHRW & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on CHRW and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CHRW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.72%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $127.6H $127.6L $124.6C $124.6VOL 2.77M
RES: $162.7SUP: $121.6SMA50: $144.7SMA200: $169.1
$216.5$190.9$165.4$139.8$114.3RES $162.7SUP $121.6$124.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CHRW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
19.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHRW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHRW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHRW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHRW)

Industrials Rank #56 of 485 ⚔️ EXPD vs CHRW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CHRW vs. EXPD, BCO, HUBG, FWRD)

Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics (16 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW) ranks #56 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #79 by equity capitalization ($14.89B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCO leads on earnings valuation at 21.1x trailing P/E, while EXPD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 40.3% ROIC and — gross margin. EXPD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with CHRW at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CHRW ACTIVE
C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.
C+ 68/100 25.4x — 22.6% -2.21% $14.89B Benchmark Subject
EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington Inc.
B+ 80/100 31.8x — 40.3% +0.23% $25.79B /expd-vs-chrw →
BCO
Brinks Company
D 46/100 21.1x 25.8% 19.6% +0.51% $4.21B /bco-vs-chrw →
HUBG
Hub Group Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 — — — +0.11% $1.63B /hubg-vs-chrw →
FWRD
Forward Air Corporation
E 25/100 — — 1.7% -1.40% $603.7M /fwrd-vs-chrw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001043277

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW) reported GAAP revenue of $16.23B (-8.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.72B , and -7.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $587.1M, operating cash flow of $914.5M, and free cash flow of $894.9M (+84.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHRW closed FY2025 with $5.06B in total assets against $1.09B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.42, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $16.23B $587.1M $914.5M $894.9M $5.06B $1.09B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $17.72B $465.7M $509.1M $486.4M $5.30B $921.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $17.60B $325.1M $731.9M -$59.9M $21.12B $4.94B

3. CHRW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CHRW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (NASDAQ: CHRW) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $124.61 (-2.21% 1D, market cap $14.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CHRW ranks #56 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CHRW compare to EXPD and BCO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Integrated Freight & Logistics), CHRW carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 22.6%. By comparison, EXPD (Expeditors International of Washington Inc.) holds a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 31.8x, ROIC 40.3%, cap $25.79B) and BCO (Brinks Company) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 21.1x, ROIC 19.6%, cap $4.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCO leads on earnings multiple (21.1x) while EXPD leads on capital efficiency (40.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHRW?

Per CHRW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001043277), C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. generated $16.23B in revenue (-8.4% YoY), $587.1M in net income, and $894.9M in free cash flow against $5.06B in total assets and $1.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CHRW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CHRW last traded at $124.61 (-2.21% on volume of 4,344,336 shares), positioning the stock -13.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($144.68) and -26.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($169.05). Across its 52-week range of $122.21 to $210.33, CHRW sits at the 2.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($115.89 to $133.33).

CHRW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does CHRW pay a dividend and is it safe?

C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW) offers a 2.02% cash dividend yield ($2.52 annualized) and 3.82% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CHRW — C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:43Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CHRW scores 68 out of 100, a letter grade of C+, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout."

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (19 / 20): Strongest pillar. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 22.6% and FCF yield is 6.01%. For an investor, this indicates the business generates substantial returns on invested capital and cash relative to its market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow (6 / 20): Weak. The rating reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning as a limited tailwind. No holder-level detail is supplied in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction (17 / 20): Strong. Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores favorably. The individual trades are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8 / 20): Weak. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.02 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. This implies the stock moves roughly in line with the broader market, with limited defensive or cyclical differentiation.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (18 / 20): Strong. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 8.42, Piotroski F is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.59.

Taken together, the investor implication is a mixed setup: upside drivers are cash generation, returns on capital, insider flow, and balance sheet strength; valuation tradeoffs include a P/E (TTM) of 25.4 and EV/EBITDA of 19.5 against modest 4.9% operating margin; the weak macro fit and institutional flow scores explain the "Hold / Watch for Breakout" verdict rather than a stronger rating. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$127.43$14.89B25.423.619.55.022.02%1.02$122.21 - $210.3322.6%

Business

C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating within the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry, per the company profile. The source data does not itemize its service lines, customer base, or revenue model. Per the SEC financials, the company reported revenue of $16232.8M for FY 2025, indicating a large-scale operating base. Specific product, customer, and monetization details are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$16232.8M$795.0M$587.1MN/A$894.9M$160.9M$1089.4M
FY 2024$17725.0M$669.1M$465.7MN/A$486.4M$145.8M$921.9M
FY 2023$17596.4M$514.6M$325.1MN/A$-59.9MN/A$4941.1M

Per the market data, operating margin is 4.9%, net margin is 3.6%, and gross margin is 0%, with ROIC at 22.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the forensic balance sheet pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 8.42 and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9. Debt reported in FY 2025 ($1089.4M) is well below FY 2023 ($4941.1M), and debt/equity is 0.59 per the RQD rating. Reported FCF moved from $-59.9M in FY 2023 to $894.9M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Share price weakness: Multiple headlines describe shares sliding or tumbling; one notes a decline of 11% tied to a $5.8 billion RXO deal. Per the news feed, the stock closed at -0.13% in the latest session.
  • RXO transaction: Several items reference a $5.8B deal to acquire RXO. Terms beyond the headline value are not available in source data.
  • Three-year performance: One headline references an 81% three-year run.
  • Signal classification: Most items are tagged YELLOW (MARKET WIRE); one is tagged GREEN (CATALYST).
  • Proprietary signals: None are supplied in the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain linkage is "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data. The only sector information is the Industrials / Integrated Freight & Logistics classification. Investors should watch the RXO transaction as a potential source of second-order effects, but the source data does not quantify them.

Open Questions

  • What are the terms, financing structure, and expected accretion or dilution of the reported $5.8B RXO transaction?
  • What drove the decline in operating income and net income between FY 2023 and FY 2025 relative to flat-to-lower revenue?
  • Why is EPS reported as N/A across all periods when TTM EPS is $5.02?
  • What explains the gross margin of 0% and what cost structure underlies the 4.9% operating margin?
  • Which institutional holders and insiders are driving the whale and insider pillar scores?

CHRW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CHRW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CHRW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $124.61?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CHRW 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CHRW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $137.62 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CHRW (C+ • RQD 68/100) a Buy at $127.43?

Welcome to the CHRW (C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 68/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Integrated Freight & Logistics. Bulls point to capital efficiency (22.6% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $95.57 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $127.43

Pump the brakes on CHRW — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CHRW, but look at what you are paying: 25.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $156.74 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $127.43

CHRW cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CHRW, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Integrated Freight & Logistics and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $127.43 (52-wk range $122.21 - $210.33), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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