ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (CHPT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$9.54 +2.91% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.57

ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (CHPT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $248.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CHPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (NYSE: CHPT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $9.54 (+2.91% 1D, market cap $248.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CHPT ranks #362 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CHPT compare to ALTG and SERV in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CHPT carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ALTG (Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.0%, cap $248.3M) and SERV (Serve Robotics Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $246.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHPT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALTG leads on capital efficiency (4.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHPT?
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Per CHPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001777393), ChargePoint Holdings Inc. generated $411.2M in revenue (-1.4% YoY), -$220.2M in net income, and -$67.0M in free cash flow against $792.2M in total assets and $228.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.57 (+0.33%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (15)SEC (6)Macro (6)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$12 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE CHPT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHPT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CHPT SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (41% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+6/20 pts (16% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
29
Grade E$7.22-1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$7.15+15.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$8.24+15.8% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$9.54-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (29) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CHPT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CHPT currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.25) and Max Pain ($10.02) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.82.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHPT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CHPT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CHPT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $9.54: 1048.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $6.74
$7,065
$-2,935 (-29.4%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $8.64
$9,057
$-943 (-9.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $11.82
$12,390
+$2,390 (+23.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$974%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1169%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$858%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CHPT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CHPT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CHPT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +53.62%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $9.22H $9.54L $9.22C $9.54VOL 601.7K
RES: $11.94SUP: $5.37SMA50: $8.25SMA200: $6.68
$11.69$9.90$8.10$6.31$4.51RES $11.94SUP $5.37$9.542026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CHPT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHPT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHPT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHPT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHPT)

Industrials Rank #362 of 485 ⚔️ ALTG vs CHPT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CHPT vs. ALTG, SERV, MVST, ULBI)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (CHPT) ranks #362 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #338 by equity capitalization ($248.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CHPT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ALTG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.0% ROIC and 25.9% gross margin. ULBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with CHPT at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CHPT ACTIVE
ChargePoint Holdings Inc.
D- 37/100 — 30.5% -35.0% +2.91% $248.9M Benchmark Subject
ALTG
Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A)
D 51/100 — 25.9% 4.0% -2.89% $248.3M /altg-vs-chpt →
SERV
Serve Robotics Inc.
E 33/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -8.45% $246.2M /serv-vs-chpt →
MVST
Microvast Holdings Inc.
D 44/100 — 28.6% 1.8% -8.48% $239.8M /mvst-vs-chpt →
ULBI
Ultralife Corporation
D+ 57/100 — 24.1% -2.8% 0.00% $260.3M /ulbi-vs-chpt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001777393

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (CHPT) reported GAAP revenue of $411.2M (-1.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $417.1M , and -18.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$220.2M, operating cash flow of -$62.8M, and free cash flow of -$67.0M (+57.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHPT closed FY2025 with $792.2M in total assets against $228.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $411.2M -$220.2M -$62.8M -$67.0M $792.2M $228.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-31 $417.1M -$277.1M -$146.9M -$159.0M $898.2M $297.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-01-31 $506.6M -$457.6M -$328.9M -$328.9M — —

3. CHPT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CHPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (NYSE: CHPT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $9.54 (+2.91% 1D, market cap $248.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CHPT ranks #362 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CHPT compare to ALTG and SERV in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CHPT carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ALTG (Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.0%, cap $248.3M) and SERV (Serve Robotics Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $246.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHPT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALTG leads on capital efficiency (4.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHPT?

Per CHPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001777393), ChargePoint Holdings Inc. generated $411.2M in revenue (-1.4% YoY), -$220.2M in net income, and -$67.0M in free cash flow against $792.2M in total assets and $228.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CHPT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CHPT last traded at $9.54 (+2.91% on volume of 898,096 shares), positioning the stock +15.64% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.25) and +42.81% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.68). Across its 52-week range of $4.44 to $11.26, CHPT sits at the 74.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.35 to $10.73).

CHPT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CHPT's 12-month stock price target?

ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (CHPT) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $8.64 (-9.4% from $9.54), with a bull-case target of $11.82 and a bear-case floor of $6.74.

Is CHPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates CHPT D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 37/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CHPT — ChargePoint Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:39:57Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CHPT scores 37 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 5 / 20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%). This is the weakest pillar on the cash-generation side. Negative ROIC means the business is currently consuming capital rather than compounding it, and a 0% FCF yield indicates no free cash return to equity holders at the current price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 15 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). This is the strongest pillar, indicating comparatively more constructive institutional positioning than the other factors support.
  • Insider Conviction: 5 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). Insider and congressional flow signals are weak in this scoring.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move in line with the market; the score reflects limited regime-fit support.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 6 / 20 (Altman Z 0.2; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 8.5). The Altman Z-Score of 0.2 sits in a distress-oriented range, the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is modest, and Debt/Equity of 8.5 indicates heavy leverage relative to equity.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside case rests on the institutional flow pillar and the price recovery visible in the 52-week range, while the valuation tradeoff is that the company does not produce positive operating income, net income, or free cash flow in the reported periods, so there is no earnings-based anchor to evaluate. The balance sheet and cash engine pillars together represent the primary downside risk. This brief is analytical and educational and is not personalized financial advice.

Business

ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (CHPT) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry, per the profile section. The profile identifies a market capitalization of $0.2B. The source data does not provide a detailed product description, customer segmentation, or revenue model beyond the reported revenue figures in the financials section. Not available in source data for further business-model detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$411.2M$-210.1M$-220.2MN/A$-67.0M$141.6M$228.5M
FY 2024$417.1M$-253.0M$-277.1MN/A$-159.0M$224.6M$297.1M
FY 2023$506.6M$-450.0M$-457.6MN/A$-328.9MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue declined from $506.6M in FY 2023 to $417.1M in FY 2024 and $411.2M in FY 2025, while operating losses narrowed from $-450.0M to $-210.1M over the same span. Per the market data section, the gross margin is 30.5%, the operating margin is -51.1%, and the net margin is -53.5%. The roic_pct is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 8.5. Cash declined from $224.6M to $141.6M and debt declined from $297.1M to $228.5M across FY 2024 to FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six headlines reference CHPT:

  • "ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. (CHPT) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: What You Should Know" (Yahoo Finance, flagged GREEN / CATALYST).
  • "ChargePoint Stock Ripped 83% Higher in September. Is It a Buy?" (The Motley Fool, flagged YELLOW / MARKET WIRE).
  • "ChargePoint: The Rally Has Run Ahead Of The Stock (Rating Downgrade) (NYSE:CHPT)" (Seeking Alpha, flagged GREEN / CATALYST).
  • "ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. (CHPT) stock price, news, quote and history" (Yahoo Finance UK, flagged YELLOW / MARKET WIRE).
  • "ChargePoint stock sinks 13% in a week; September rally fades" (Seeking Alpha, flagged GREEN / CATALYST).
  • "EV charging resellers can unlock discounts and growth rebates through ChargePoint" (Stock Titan, flagged GREEN / CATALYST).

Catalyst watch items include a reported 83% September rally, a rating downgrade referenced by Seeking Alpha, and a 13% one-week decline referenced in a separate Seeking Alpha headline. The Stock Titan headline references a reseller discount and rebate program. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, and no proprietary signals are listed.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply_chain field is NONE and butterfly_links is empty, so no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data. Not available in source data for supply-chain ripple analysis. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means this analysis cannot be quantified from the provided materials.

Open Questions

  • What are the trailing and forward earnings per share and valuation multiples (P/E, EV/EBITDA), given that these fields are unavailable?
  • What is the reported cash balance and debt schedule for FY 2023, since those fields are listed as N/A?
  • What is the reason for the 83% September rally and the subsequent decline, and what specific rating downgrade is referenced?
  • What institutional (13F) and insider (Form 4) holdings exist, given that the holders section is empty?
  • What is the company's path to positive operating income and free cash flow, given sustained losses across all three reported periods?

CHPT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ChargePoint Holdings Inc. (CHPT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CHPT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CHPT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.54?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CHPT 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CHPT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.16 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CHPT (D- • RQD 37/100) a Buy at $9.27?

Welcome to the CHPT (ChargePoint Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 37/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.14 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $9.27

Pump the brakes on CHPT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CHPT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 30.5% gross margins. Unless ChargePoint Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.68 (+26.0%)
Spot @ $9.27

CHPT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CHPT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.27 (52-wk range $4.44 - $11.26), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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