Why CCOI Stock dropped -13.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$6.74 -13.14% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.57

Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (CCOI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $397.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CCOI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CCOI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: CCOI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $6.74 (-13.14% 1D, market cap $397.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CCOI ranks #826 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CCOI compare to SPIR and GOGO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), CCOI carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SPIR (Spire Global Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $393.2M) and GOGO (Gogo Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 26.5x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $342.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPIR leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while GOGO leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CCOI?
▼

Per CCOI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001158324), Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$182.2M in net income, and -$198.1M in free cash flow against $3.10B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.57 (-2.56%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (5)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target
$44 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE CCOI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CCOI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CCOI SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$8.40-7.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$7.76-5.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$7.36-8.4% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$6.74-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CCOI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CCOI currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.63) and Max Pain ($7.08) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $43.61.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CCOI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CCOI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CCOI Stock dropped -13.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (CCOI) dropped -13.14% to $6.74, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($6.61 – $41.53). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($6.61 – $41.53) with RSI-14 at 47.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $6.74 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live CCOI Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CCOI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CCOI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CCOI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -58.83%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $7.64H $7.76L $6.74C $6.74VOL 1.46M
RES: $8.96SUP: $5.62SMA50: $8.63SMA200: $15.69
$30.60$24.10$17.60$11.09$4.59RES $8.96SUP $5.62$6.742026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CCOI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CCOI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CCOI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CCOI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CCOI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #826 of 1011 ⚔️ SPIR vs CCOI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CCOI vs. SPIR, GOGO, NSTR, SAIQ)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (CCOI) ranks #826 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #615 by equity capitalization ($397.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPIR leads on earnings valuation at 7.7x trailing P/E, while GOGO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GOGO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with CCOI at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CCOI ACTIVE
Cogent Communications Holdings Inc.
E 34/100 — — -35.0% -13.14% $397.4M Benchmark Subject
SPIR
Spire Global Inc. (Class A)
E 17/100 7.7x — -35.0% -8.37% $393.2M /spir-vs-ccoi →
GOGO
Gogo Inc.
D 50/100 26.5x — 11.1% -6.72% $342.8M /gogo-vs-ccoi →
NSTR
NorthStar Earth & Space Enterprises Inc.
D 49/100 — — — +2.15% $208.5M /nstr-vs-ccoi →
SAIQ
WISeSat.Space Holdings Corp.
D 49/100 — — — -13.07% $188.1M /saiq-vs-ccoi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001158324

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (CCOI) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$182.2M, operating cash flow of -$10.6M, and free cash flow of -$198.1M (+2.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, CCOI closed FY2025 with $3.10B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$182.2M -$10.6M -$198.1M $3.10B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$204.1M -$8.6M -$203.6M $3.17B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $1.27B $17.3M $17.3M — —

3. CCOI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CCOI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: CCOI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $6.74 (-13.14% 1D, market cap $397.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CCOI ranks #826 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CCOI compare to SPIR and GOGO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), CCOI carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SPIR (Spire Global Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $393.2M) and GOGO (Gogo Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 26.5x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $342.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPIR leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while GOGO leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CCOI?

Per CCOI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001158324), Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$182.2M in net income, and -$198.1M in free cash flow against $3.10B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CCOI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CCOI last traded at $6.74 (-13.14% on volume of 1,995,326 shares), positioning the stock -21.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.63) and -57.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.69). Across its 52-week range of $6.61 to $41.53, CCOI sits at the 0.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.90 to $7.58).

CCOI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is CCOI stock moving today?

Why CCOI Stock dropped -13.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CCOI — Cogent Communications Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:37:07Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CCOI scores 34 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 (ROIC of -35%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 5/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). Every pillar sits in the lower half of its range, and the two cash-generation and ownership-flow pillars are the weakest. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests almost entirely on a turnaround in cash generation that the reported figures do not yet show: negative ROIC and zero FCF yield mean valuation is not supported by current earnings power. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar's mid-range reading indicates the company is not in the most distressed category, but a Piotroski F of 3/9 signals weak fundamental health. Any valuation tradeoff therefore depends on whether the business can convert its asset base into positive returns, which the source data does not demonstrate.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-101.1M$-182.2MN/A$-198.1M$148.5MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-197.6M$-204.1MN/A$-203.6M$198.5MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-129.3M$1273.4MN/A$17.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue is $0.0M in each listed period and operating income is negative in FY 2025, FY 2024, and FY 2023. Net margin, gross margin, and operating margin are each recorded as 0% in the market data section. ROIC is -35% per market data, and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9 and Altman Z-Score is 2.5 per the Roarable RQD rating. Cash declined from $198.5M to $148.5M between FY 2024 and FY 2025, and FCF was negative in both of those years.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Credit and refinancing risk: A GuruFocus item reports a 10% decline attributed to a credit downgrade and refinancing concerns (flagged RED, RISK WATCH).
  • Debt-focused commentary: A Seeking Alpha piece titled around debt being a real issue (flagged YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • Price action and sentiment: A Yahoo Finance piece references an 81% fall and what bears saw (flagged RED, RISK WATCH).
  • Analyst target revision: A TradingView item reports a 12-month price target cut to $17.18, implying 100% upside (flagged RED, RISK WATCH).
  • Institutional positioning: A Stock Titan item reports an update to BlackRock's passive stake (flagged YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • Risk framing: A Yahoo Finance piece frames CCOI as risky relative to an alternative stock (flagged RED, RISK WATCH).

The butterfly supply-chain graph reports a sector of Consumer Discretionary, an industry of Telecommunications Equipment, and a supply chain value of NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the revenue line behind the $0.0M figures reported in each period, and what drives the negative operating income?
  • What are the terms, maturities, and size of the debt implicated in the credit-downgrade and refinancing headlines?
  • What explains the gap between the FY 2023 positive net income of $1273.4M and the negative operating income in the same period?
  • What is the basis for the price target and analyst consensus, given that no analyst data is provided?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders behind the cited BlackRock and Form 4 / 13F activity, and how large are their positions?

CCOI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. (CCOI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CCOI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CCOI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.74?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CCOI 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CCOI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.83 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CCOI (E • RQD 34/100) a Buy at $7.76?

Welcome to the CCOI (Cogent Communications Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 34/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Telecommunications Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.90 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $7.76

Pump the brakes on CCOI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CCOI, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Cogent Communications Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.08 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $7.76

CCOI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CCOI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Telecommunications Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $7.76 (52-wk range $6.61 - $41.53), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%