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FreeCast Inc. (Class A) (CAST) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.22 -6.15% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.20

FreeCast Inc. (Class A) (CAST) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $66.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CAST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, FreeCast Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CAST) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $1.22 (-6.15% 1D, market cap $66.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CAST ranks #593 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CAST compare to DGNX and RSSS in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), CAST carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 44.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, DGNX (Diginex Limited) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $70.2M) and RSSS (Research Solutions Inc) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 49.4x, ROIC 39.8%, cap $61.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RSSS leads on earnings multiple (49.4x) while RSSS leads on capital efficiency (39.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAST?
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Per CAST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001633369), FreeCast Inc. (Class A) generated $628.1K in revenue (+23.7% YoY), -$14.1M in net income, and -$12.4M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.20 (-1.30%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510030
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (7)Whales (8)SEC (8)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.3% Base Target
$35 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE CAST RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CAST)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CAST SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
22
Grade E$1.12-13.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
25
Grade E$0.97+7.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
27
Grade E$1.04+17.3% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$1.22-9.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (22) → E (30)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CAST Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CAST currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.25) and Max Pain ($1.28) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $34.65.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CAST• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CAST Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 30%NO 70%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CAST Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.22: 8196.7 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.83
$6,803
$-3,197 (-32.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.07
$8,770
$-1,230 (-12.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $34.65
$284,016
+$274,016 (+2740.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$3369%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CAST)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CAST's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CAST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -36.79%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.36H $1.36L $1.22C $1.22VOL 311.8K
SUP: $0.90SMA50: $1.25SMA200: $2.39
$13.02$9.63$6.23$2.84$-0.55SUP $0.90$1.222026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CAST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CAST Butterfly Map → + Track CAST →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +23.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CAST today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CAST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CAST today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CAST)

Technology Rank #593 of 714 ⚔️ DGNX vs CAST Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CAST vs. DGNX, RSSS, WYY, CSPI)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FreeCast Inc. (Class A) (CAST) ranks #593 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #544 by equity capitalization ($66.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RSSS leads on earnings valuation at 49.4x trailing P/E, while RSSS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.8% ROIC and 49.3% gross margin. RSSS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with CAST at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CAST ACTIVE
FreeCast Inc. (Class A)
E 30/100 — 44.8% -35.0% -6.15% $66.0M Benchmark Subject
DGNX
Diginex Limited
D+ 52/100 — — — 0.00% $70.2M /dgnx-vs-cast →
RSSS
Research Solutions Inc
D+ 55/100 49.4x 49.3% 39.8% +1.37% $61.8M /rsss-vs-cast →
WYY
WidePoint Corporation
D- 36/100 — 14.0% -35.0% -7.02% $76.9M /wyy-vs-cast →
CSPI
CSP Inc.
D 44/100 — 31.5% -12.4% -2.45% $78.0M /cspi-vs-cast →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001633369 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), FreeCast Inc. (Class A) (CAST) reported GAAP revenue of $628.1K (+23.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $507.9K ) , GAAP net income of -$14.1M, operating cash flow of -$12.3M, and free cash flow of -$12.4M (-9.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, CAST closed FY2025 with $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $628.1K -$14.1M -$12.3M -$12.4M — —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $507.9K -$12.4M -$11.3M -$11.3M — —

3. CAST Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CAST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, FreeCast Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CAST) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $1.22 (-6.15% 1D, market cap $66.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, CAST ranks #593 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CAST compare to DGNX and RSSS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), CAST carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 44.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, DGNX (Diginex Limited) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $70.2M) and RSSS (Research Solutions Inc) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 49.4x, ROIC 39.8%, cap $61.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RSSS leads on earnings multiple (49.4x) while RSSS leads on capital efficiency (39.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAST?

Per CAST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001633369), FreeCast Inc. (Class A) generated $628.1K in revenue (+23.7% YoY), -$14.1M in net income, and -$12.4M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CAST trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CAST last traded at $1.22 (-6.15% on volume of 220,257 shares), positioning the stock -2.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.25) and -48.95% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.39). Across its 52-week range of $0.50 to $33.00, CAST sits at the 2.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.07 to $1.37).

Direct Sub-Reports: CAST RQD Cockpit CAST 12M Forecast CAST Earnings & Move CAST Dividends & DRIP CAST Insiders & 13F CAST Whale Options CAST Profit Sankey CAST News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 30/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CAST — FreeCast Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

FreeCast Inc. (Class A) (CAST) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 30/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.22 (-6.15% 1D, market capitalization $66.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 44.8%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -17.89%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

FreeCast Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and the EDP Services industry. Per the recent news wire, the company offers Starlink Business services within its portfolio and has published a 16-part series on how businesses could build media services around existing customers. Revenue in the most recent reported period is $0.6M.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), FreeCast Inc. (Class A) (CAST) reported $628.1K in annual revenue (up from $507.9K in FY2024, +23.7% YoY) and -$14.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2024 ($507.9K revenue, -$12.4M net income) through FY2025, CAST scaled operating cash flow to -$12.3M and free cash flow to -$12.4M, backed by $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 30/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -17.89% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.50 – $33.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

A prospective investor should watch for any dependency on satellite connectivity partners, and for how competing streaming distribution developments in the sector affect demand for FreeCast's offerings.

  • Key Question #1: Can CAST sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against EDP Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $628.1K and free cash flow of -$12.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CAST's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CAST Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for FreeCast Inc. (Class A) (CAST) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CAST Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CAST Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.22?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CAST 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CAST:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.49 (+14.6%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning earn the strongest RQD pillar score (12 / 20), and two GREEN catalyst reports show b

Institutional accumulation and options positioning earn the strongest RQD pillar score (12 / 20), and two GREEN catalyst reports show buyers testing resistance near $1.06–$1.09.. When you look under the hood at CAST, Fundamental Cash Engine is 7/20 with 44.8% gross margins and -35.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (8/20) has been quietly accumulating below $33.00. My 12M target is $1.49.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in EDP Services. If gross margin (44.8%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.00 (-23.1%)
Spot @ $1.30

With ROIC at -35%, FCF yield at -17.89%, and operating margin at -60%, the business is not generating cash, and the insider conviction

With ROIC at -35%, FCF yield at -17.89%, and operating margin at -60%, the business is not generating cash, and the insider conviction pillar scores only 3 / 20.. Look at the math on CAST: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -35.0% ROIC and -60.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if EDP Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $1.14 before getting long.

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