Yahoo Finance report covering Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why CARR Stock dropped -3.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is CARR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Carrier Global Corporation (NYSE: CARR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $53.63 (-3.44% 1D, market cap $45.78B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CARR ranks #196 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CARR compare to ROP and ROK in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CARR carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.2%. By comparison, ROP (Roper Technologies Inc.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 29.0x, ROIC 6.3%, cap $44.47B) and ROK (Rockwell Automation Inc.) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 57.8x, ROIC 22.9%, cap $50.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ROP leads on earnings multiple (29.0x) while ROK leads on capital efficiency (22.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CARR?
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Per CARR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001783180), Carrier Global Corporation generated $21.75B in revenue (-3.3% YoY), $1.48B in net income, and $1.53B in free cash flow against $37.19B in total assets and $11.37B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.1% FCF Margin ($1.53B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (48) create a -14 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CARR Turnaround Squeeze
While CARR currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($56.20) and Max Pain ($56.31) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $80.60.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why CARR Stock dropped -3.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) dropped -3.44% to $53.63, trading at 13% of its 52-week range ($50.24 – $76.76). Stretched risk/reward at 31x P/E (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 13% of its 52-week range ($50.24 – $76.76) with RSI-14 at 48 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.6% around $53.63 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $1.5B annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Dublin, Nov. 02, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- "Seasonal Setpoint Optimization Services Market Global Report 2026" has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering. The global seasonal setpoint optimization services market
High input costs and a write-down have been challenges, but a growing line of commercial products is boosting sales, the company’s third-quarter earnings show.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CARR)
- ✓Walkthrough of CARR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
CARR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CARR today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CARR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CARR)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CARR vs. ROP, ROK, LHX, GRMN)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) ranks #196 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #38 by equity capitalization ($45.78B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ROP leads on earnings valuation at 29.0x trailing P/E, while ROK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.9% ROIC and 48.1% gross margin. ROK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with CARR at 54/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARR
ACTIVE
Carrier Global Corporation | D+ | 54/100 | 30.9x | — | 7.2% | -3.44% | $45.78B | Benchmark Subject |
| ROP Roper Technologies Inc. | B | 75/100 | 29.0x | 69.2% | 6.3% | +3.77% | $44.47B | /rop-vs-carr → |
| ROK Rockwell Automation Inc. | B+ | 77/100 | 57.8x | 48.1% | 22.9% | -3.37% | $50.23B | /rok-vs-carr → |
| LHX L3Harris Technologies Inc. | C | 65/100 | 32.3x | — | 5.7% | -0.29% | $51.85B | /lhx-vs-carr → |
| GRMN Garmin Ltd. (Switzerland) | B | 72/100 | 32.4x | 58.7% | 16.6% | -2.60% | $53.94B | /grmn-vs-carr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001783180In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) reported GAAP revenue of $21.75B (-3.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $22.49B , and +14.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.48B, operating cash flow of $2.51B, and free cash flow of $1.53B (+441.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, CARR closed FY2025 with $37.19B in total assets against $11.37B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.47, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $21.75B | $1.48B | $2.51B | $1.53B | $37.19B | $11.37B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $22.49B | $5.60B | $563.0M | -$448.9M | $37.40B | $11.03B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $18.95B | $1.35B | $2.61B | $1.75B | $25.18B | $5.89B |
3. CARR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CARR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Carrier Global Corporation (NYSE: CARR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $53.63 (-3.44% 1D, market cap $45.78B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CARR ranks #196 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CARR compare to ROP and ROK in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CARR carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.2%. By comparison, ROP (Roper Technologies Inc.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 29.0x, ROIC 6.3%, cap $44.47B) and ROK (Rockwell Automation Inc.) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 57.8x, ROIC 22.9%, cap $50.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ROP leads on earnings multiple (29.0x) while ROK leads on capital efficiency (22.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CARR?
Per CARR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001783180), Carrier Global Corporation generated $21.75B in revenue (-3.3% YoY), $1.48B in net income, and $1.53B in free cash flow against $37.19B in total assets and $11.37B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CARR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CARR last traded at $53.63 (-3.44% on volume of 9,822,309 shares), positioning the stock -4.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($56.20) and -13.23% below its 200-day simple moving average ($61.81). Across its 52-week range of $50.24 to $76.76, CARR sits at the 12.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($50.63 to $56.63).
CARR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CARR stock moving today?
Why CARR Stock dropped -3.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 31x P/E (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
CARR — Carrier Global Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, CARR scores 54 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20 (ROIC 7.2%; FCF yield 3.35%). This is the strongest pillar relative to its maximum, indicating moderate return generation and cash yield.
- Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). This is a weak reading; the source data contains no holder detail to explain it further.
- Insider Conviction: 14 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). Moderate, with no transaction-level detail in the source data.
- Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20 (Beta 1; sector sensitivity). This is the weakest pillar, suggesting limited alignment with the current macro regime as scored.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 11 / 20 (Altman Z 2.47; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.8). Moderate; the Piotroski reading is comparatively solid, while the Altman Z-Score sits in a range that warrants monitoring.
For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a mixed picture: reasonable cash generation and balance sheet quality, offset by weak institutional flow and poor macro fit. The verdict label itself advises trimming, which frames the rating as a caution signal rather than a buy case. Valuation (P/E TTM 30.9 versus Forward P/E 28.7) is elevated relative to the stated fundamentals, so upside depends on earnings growth delivering into the forward multiple.
Snapshot
Business
Per the Profile section, Carrier Global Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. The source data does not describe specific products, customers, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification. Not available in source data for detailed business description. Gross margin is reported as 0% and operating margin as 10% in the market data, with net margin at 6.8%.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $21747.0M | $2172.0M | $1484.0M | N/A | $1534.4M | $1555.0M | $11365.0M |
| FY 2024 | $22486.0M | $2646.0M | $5604.0M | N/A | $-448.9M | $3969.0M | $11026.0M |
| FY 2023 | $18951.0M | $2160.0M | $1349.0M | N/A | $1754.2M | N/A | $5892.3M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $22486.0M in FY 2024 to $21747.0M in FY 2025, while operating income fell from $2646.0M to $2172.0M. FY 2024 net income of $5604.0M is well above operating income, a divergence the source data does not explain. Per the market data, ROIC is 7.2% and the net margin is 6.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.47, the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.8. Free cash flow swung from $-448.9M in FY 2024 to $1534.4M in FY 2025.
Open Questions
- What drove the gap between FY 2024 net income ($5604.0M) and operating income ($2646.0M), and is that figure recurring?
- What are the EPS figures for FY 2023 through FY 2025, which the financials table reports as N/A?
- Do the cited data center order growth and $8.5B backlog figures reconcile with the reported revenue decline in FY 2025?
- What were the actual Q3 2026 results and guidance figures underlying the earnings-beat and mixed-results headlines?
- What is the cash balance and debt schedule for FY 2023, where cash is reported as N/A?
CARR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CARR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $53.63?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CARR (D+ • RQD 54/100) a Buy at $55.54?
Welcome to the CARR (Carrier Global Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 54/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (30.9x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on CARR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CARR, but look at what you are paying: 30.9x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Carrier Global Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
CARR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CARR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $55.54 (52-wk range $50.24 - $76.76), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.