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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CALX / forecast
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Calix Inc (CALX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$36.82 -3.89% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.49

Calix Inc (CALX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.32B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CALX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CALX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Calix Inc (NYSE: CALX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $36.82 (-3.89% 1D, market cap $2.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CALX ranks #558 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CALX compare to IRDM and VSAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), CALX carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 134.9x, gross margin of 56.8%, and ROIC of 2.3%. By comparison, IRDM (Iridium Communications Inc) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 42.7x, ROIC 50.9%, cap $4.77B) and VSAT (ViaSat Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.1%, cap $10.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPIR leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while IRDM leads on capital efficiency (50.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CALX?
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Per CALX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001406666), Calix Inc generated $1.00B in revenue (+20.3% YoY), $17.9M in net income, and $115.5M in free cash flow against $1.06B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.49 (-0.89%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 11.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (18)Macro (4)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target
$73 Bull$35 Base$28 Bear
📬 FREE CALX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CALX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CALX SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (37% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.38 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.6% FCF Margin ($115.5M FCF) & 56.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50.7) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$36.31-0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$36.08+6.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$38.30-3.9% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$36.82-5.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CALX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CALX currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($36.10) and Max Pain ($38.66) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $73.22.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CALX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CALX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CALX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $36.82: 271.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $27.56
$7,485
$-2,515 (-25.1%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $35.33
$9,595
$-405 (-4.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $73.22
$19,886
+$9,886 (+98.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$3774%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$6969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$3158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CALX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CALX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CALX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.24%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $38.31H $38.31L $36.82C $36.82VOL 852.2K
RES: $38.50SUP: $31.33SMA50: $36.10SMA200: $42.34
$56.92$50.26$43.60$36.94$30.28RES $38.50SUP $31.33$36.822026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CALX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CALX Butterfly Map → + Track CALX →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +20.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CALX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CALX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CALX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CALX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #558 of 1009 ⚔️ IRDM vs CALX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CALX vs. IRDM, VSAT, GSAT, SPIR)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Calix Inc (CALX) ranks #558 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #396 by equity capitalization ($2.32B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPIR leads on earnings valuation at 7.7x trailing P/E, while IRDM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 50.9% ROIC and — gross margin. IRDM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with CALX at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CALX ACTIVE
Calix Inc
D 49/100 134.9x 56.8% 2.3% -3.89% $2.32B Benchmark Subject
IRDM
Iridium Communications Inc
C+ 69/100 42.7x — 50.9% -2.48% $4.77B /irdm-vs-calx →
VSAT
ViaSat Inc.
C- 60/100 — — 1.1% -1.24% $10.61B /vsat-vs-calx →
GSAT
Globalstar Inc.
C- 61/100 — — 0.7% -1.47% $10.66B /gsat-vs-calx →
SPIR
Spire Global Inc. (Class A)
E 15/100 7.7x — -35.0% -8.37% $360.3M /spir-vs-calx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001406666 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Calix Inc (CALX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.00B (+20.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $831.5M , and -3.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.9M, operating cash flow of $135.0M, and free cash flow of $115.5M (+129.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CALX closed FY2025 with $1.06B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.38, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.00B $17.9M $135.0M $115.5M $1.06B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $831.5M -$29.7M $68.4M $50.3M $939.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.04B $29.3M $56.3M $56.3M — —

3. CALX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CALX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Calix Inc (NYSE: CALX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $36.82 (-3.89% 1D, market cap $2.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CALX ranks #558 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CALX compare to IRDM and VSAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), CALX carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 134.9x, gross margin of 56.8%, and ROIC of 2.3%. By comparison, IRDM (Iridium Communications Inc) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 42.7x, ROIC 50.9%, cap $4.77B) and VSAT (ViaSat Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.1%, cap $10.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPIR leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while IRDM leads on capital efficiency (50.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CALX?

Per CALX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001406666), Calix Inc generated $1.00B in revenue (+20.3% YoY), $17.9M in net income, and $115.5M in free cash flow against $1.06B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CALX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CALX last traded at $36.82 (-3.89% on volume of 852,160 shares), positioning the stock +1.99% above its 50-day simple moving average ($36.10) and -13.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($42.34). Across its 52-week range of $32.35 to $69.73, CALX sits at the 12.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($34.28 to $39.36).

Direct Sub-Reports: CALX RQD Cockpit CALX 12M Forecast CALX Earnings & Move CALX Dividends & DRIP CALX Insiders & 13F CALX Whale Options CALX Profit Sankey CALX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CALX — Calix Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Calix Inc (CALX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 49/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $36.82 (-3.89% 1D, market capitalization $2.32B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.3%, gross margin of 56.8%, operating margin of 2.1%, and free cash flow yield of 4.79%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 8.38, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Calix Inc is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Telecommunications Equipment industry,. FY 2025 revenue was $1.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Calix Inc (CALX) reported $1.00B in annual revenue (up from $831.5M in FY2024, +20.3% YoY) and $17.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.04B revenue, $29.3M net income) through FY2025, CALX scaled operating cash flow to $135.0M and free cash flow to $115.5M, backed by $1.06B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 49/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 4.79% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $32.35 – $69.73 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 134.9x trailing P/E and 60.5x EV/EBITDA against 2.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Telecommunications Equipment (Consumer Discretionary), CALX carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 56.8%.

  • Key Question #1: Can CALX sustain or expand its 2.1% operating margin and 2.3% ROIC against Telecommunications Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.00B and free cash flow of $115.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CALX's 113.3x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CALX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Calix Inc (CALX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CALX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CALX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $36.82?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CALX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CALX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $42.34 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 with Altman Z 8.38, Piotroski F 8/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5, and FY 2025 returned to net income of $17

Forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 with Altman Z 8.38, Piotroski F 8/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5, and FY 2025 returned to net income of $17.9M with FCF of $115.5M.. When you look under the hood at CALX, Fundamental Cash Engine is 11/20 with 56.8% gross margins and 2.3% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (7/20) has been quietly accumulating below $69.73. My 12M target is $42.34.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@AlphaFlow_Cap Agree on the RQD 49/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $36.82 and keeping dry powder in case we test $34.24.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $29.09 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $36.82

Valuation & margin reality check on CALX at $36.82 before chasing here

Fading this rally in CALX at $36.82. Valuation & margin reality check on CALX at $36.82 before chasing here. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $36.82 (52-wk range $32.35–$69.73), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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