MARKET WIRETradingView • 21h ago
CAKE Stock Price and Chart — NASDAQ:CAKETradingView report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why CAKE Stock advanced +0.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$112.96 +0.28% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $113.29
Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B- • BUY
Cap $5.61B
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER
Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CAKE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is CAKE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-03, Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ: CAKE) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $112.96 (+0.28% 1D, market cap $5.61B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CAKE ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CAKE compare to JMKE and CAVA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), CAKE carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 38.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.9%. By comparison, JMKE (Jersey Mike's Subs Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 2.4%, cap $5.81B) and CAVA (CAVA Group Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 108.5x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $6.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WING leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while WING leads on capital efficiency (45.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAKE?
▼
Per CAKE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-30, CIK 0000887596), Cheesecake Factory Incorporated generated $3.75B in revenue (+4.7% YoY), $148.0M in net income, and $155.1M in free cash flow against $3.26B in total assets and $561.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $113.29 (+0.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 4.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CAKE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CAKE SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.1% FCF Margin ($155.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (24% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.2% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54.8) create a -9 pt regime headwind
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$112.85+1.4% Next Q
63
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$114.39-7.6% Next Q
66
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$105.73+6.8% Next Q
68
CurrentGrade B-$112.96+6.8% Hist 90D α
71
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CAKE Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, CAKE faces multiple-compression risk if 38.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($107.97) or 200D SMA ($80.48) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($119.57) toward Bear Floor ($92.63).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CAKE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CAKE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CAKE Stock advanced +0.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) advanced +0.28% to $112.96, trading at 92% of its 52-week range ($43.07 – $118.63). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 92% of its 52-week range ($43.07 – $118.63) with RSI-14 at 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.2% around $112.96 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B- (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $155.1M annual free cash flow.
Live CAKE Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
The Cheesecake Factory Stock Has More Than Doubled This YearYahoo Finance report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTSeeking Alpha • 1d ago
Cheesecake Factory: Massive Traffic Burst Can't Be Ignored (Upgrade)Seeking Alpha report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) Hits Fresh High: Is There Still Room to Run?Yahoo Finance report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMarketBeat • 1d ago
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) Stock Has Consensus Price Target of $90.33 According to AnalystsMarketBeat report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREmarketscreener.com • 1d ago
Earnings Flash (CAKE) The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Posts Q3 Adjusted EPS $1.02 per Share, vs. FactSet Est of $0.96marketscreener.com report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Titan • 1d ago
Comparable sales at Cheesecake Factory restaurants rose 15.2% year over yearStock Titan report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHSeeking Alpha • 1d ago
Cheesecake Factory: Good Results Overwhelmed By Valuation And Macro Risks (NASDAQ:CAKE)Seeking Alpha report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
The Cheesecake Factory can’t get enough of the Gen Z ‘Tuscan moms’It’s always going to be 2006 at the Cheesecake Factory. And for the crowds of young people dining there in cheetah print and sunglasses bigger than the restaurant’s portions, that’s exactly how they want it.
RISK WATCHYahoo • 2d ago
Cheesecake Factory found the diners every chain is chasingWhile rivals cut prices to win back customers, Cheesecake Factory’s CFO says its newest guests want something else entirely.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CAKE Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CAKE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +90.52%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $113.1H $113.1L $112.6C $113.0VOL 1.63M
RES: $119.7SUP: $99.35SMA50: $108.0SMA200: $80.48
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CAKE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
29.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CAKE today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CAKE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CAKE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CAKE)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #134 of 1011
⚔️ JMKE vs CAKE Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CAKE vs. JMKE, CAVA, BROS, WING)
Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) ranks #134 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #248 by equity capitalization ($5.61B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WING leads on earnings valuation at 22.6x trailing P/E, while WING leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 45.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CAKE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAKE
ACTIVE
Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | B- | 71/100 | 38.0x | — | 18.9% | +0.28% | $5.61B | Benchmark Subject |
| JMKE Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. | D | 47/100 | 32.8x | — | 2.4% | +2.84% | $5.81B | /jmke-vs-cake → |
| CAVA CAVA Group Inc. | D | 51/100 | 108.5x | — | 5.9% | +5.64% | $6.86B | /cava-vs-cake → |
| BROS Dutch Bros Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 96.2x | 25.9% | 20.7% | +2.33% | $7.49B | /bros-vs-cake → |
| WING Wingstop Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 22.6x | — | 45.0% | +8.89% | $4.05B | /wing-vs-cake → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-30 • CIK 0000887596In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-30), Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) reported GAAP revenue of $3.75B (+4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.58B , and +9.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $148.0M, operating cash flow of $301.3M, and free cash flow of $155.1M (+43.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CAKE closed FY2025 with $3.26B in total assets against $561.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.02, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-30 | $3.75B | $148.0M | $301.3M | $155.1M | $3.26B | $561.3M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $3.58B | $157.0M | $268.3M | $108.0M | $3.04B | $452.1M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-01-02 | $3.44B | $101.0M | $218.4M | $63.6M | $4.13B | $965.8M |
3. CAKE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CAKE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ: CAKE) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $112.96 (+0.28% 1D, market cap $5.61B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CAKE ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CAKE compare to JMKE and CAVA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), CAKE carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 38.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.9%. By comparison, JMKE (Jersey Mike's Subs Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 2.4%, cap $5.81B) and CAVA (CAVA Group Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 108.5x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $6.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WING leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while WING leads on capital efficiency (45.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAKE?
Per CAKE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-30, CIK 0000887596), Cheesecake Factory Incorporated generated $3.75B in revenue (+4.7% YoY), $148.0M in net income, and $155.1M in free cash flow against $3.26B in total assets and $561.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CAKE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CAKE last traded at $112.96 (+0.28% on volume of 1,479,153 shares), positioning the stock +4.62% above its 50-day simple moving average ($107.97) and +40.36% above its 200-day simple moving average ($80.48). Across its 52-week range of $43.07 to $118.63, CAKE sits at the 92.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($102.57 to $123.35).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 71/100 (B-)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
CAKE — Cheesecake Factory Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-30
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 71/100, corresponding to a B- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $112.96 (+0.28% 1D, market capitalization $5.61B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 18.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 5.0%, and free cash flow yield of 2.76%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.90x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.02, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.29x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
— The profile identifies Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (The) as a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Restaurants industry, with a market capitalization of $5.6B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-30), Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) reported $3.75B in annual revenue (up from $3.58B in FY2024, +4.7% YoY) and $148.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.44B revenue, $101.0M net income) through FY2025, CAKE scaled operating cash flow to $301.3M and free cash flow to $155.1M, backed by $3.26B in total assets against $561.3M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B- • RQD 71/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $43.07 – $118.63 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 38.0x trailing P/E and 19.2x EV/EBITDA against 5.0% operating margins and a 0.90x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
The source data therefore does not establish upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or cross-sector dependencies. The only sector context available is Consumer Discretionary and Restaurants, with the RQD macro regime score noting sector sensitivity.
- Key Question #1: Can CAKE sustain or expand its 5.0% operating margin and 18.9% ROIC against Restaurants peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.75B and free cash flow of $155.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $561.3M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is CAKE's 35.3x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.90x)?
CAKE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 21h ago
CAKE Stock Price and Chart — NASDAQ:CAKE TradingView report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
The Cheesecake Factory Stock Has More Than Doubled This Year Yahoo Finance report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 1d ago
Cheesecake Factory: Massive Traffic Burst Can't Be Ignored (Upgrade) Seeking Alpha report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) Hits Fresh High: Is There Still Room to Run? Yahoo Finance report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) Stock Has Consensus Price Target of $90.33 According to Analysts MarketBeat report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE marketscreener.com • 1d ago
Earnings Flash (CAKE) The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Posts Q3 Adjusted EPS $1.02 per Share, vs. FactSet Est of $0.96 marketscreener.com report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago
Comparable sales at Cheesecake Factory restaurants rose 15.2% year over year Stock Titan report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH Seeking Alpha • 1d ago
Cheesecake Factory: Good Results Overwhelmed By Valuation And Macro Risks (NASDAQ:CAKE) Seeking Alpha report covering Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
CAKE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $112.96?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CAKE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $139.67 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Solid 18.9% ROIC and a 17/20 cash-engine pillar, plus reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.02 beating the $0.96 FactSet estimate.
Here is why I am bullish on CAKE here at $112.64: Solid 18.9% ROIC and a 17/20 cash-engine pillar, plus reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.02 beating the $0.96 FactSet estimate.. Compare CAKE's 5.0% operating margin and 18.9% ROIC against the rest of Restaurants. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $107.01 are getting bought.
ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL
@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on 38.0x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Restaurants. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $95.74 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $112.64 A 38 trailing P/E and a 2.76% FCF yield sit well above the $90.33 consensus target, leaving little valuation cushion.
Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short CAKE above $112.64. A 38 trailing P/E and a 2.76% FCF yield sit well above the $90.33 consensus target, leaving little valuation cushion.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20) and FCF yield (2.76%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $118.63.