Caris Life Sciences Inc. (CAI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.4% Move

$34.33 -5.01% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.10

Caris Life Sciences Inc. (CAI) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 4% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $10.21B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CAI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Caris Life Sciences Inc. (NASDAQ: CAI) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $34.33 (-5.01% 1D, market cap $10.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, CAI ranks #58 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CAI compare to MOH and HSIC in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), CAI carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.4%. By comparison, MOH (Molina Healthcare Inc) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 22.0x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $10.39B) and HSIC (Henry Schein Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 23.0x, ROIC 11.2%, cap $9.63B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MOH leads on earnings multiple (22.0x) while MOH leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAI?
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Per CAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002019410), Caris Life Sciences Inc. generated $812.0M in revenue (+97.0% YoY), -$68.1M in net income, and $66.9M in free cash flow against $1.13B in total assets and $378.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.10 (-0.66%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 8.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510073
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B
Cash (14)Whales (18)SEC (16)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target
$43 Bull$37 Base$28 Bear
📬 FREE CAI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CAI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CAI SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.4% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 9.79 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$29.53+5.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$31.11+8.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
70
Grade B$33.67+2% Next Q
Current
73
Grade B$34.33+7.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CAI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, CAI faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($29.56) or 200D SMA ($21.67) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($36.65) toward Bear Floor ($28.15).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CAI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CAI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.4% Swing Band

±$4.26 Expected Swing
$30.07 (-12.4%)Spot $34.33$38.59 (+12.4%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CAI Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 73/100

Trailing EPS: $-0.24 • YoY Revenue Growth: 97%

Model Bullish Setup (73/100)Model Risk Weight (27/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$812.0M-$68.1M$66.9M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$412.3M-$281.9M-$253.6M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$306.1M-$341.4M-$289.9M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CAI & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CAI
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CAI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +83.68%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $35.45H $36.14L $34.33C $34.33VOL 3.79M
RES: $37.05SUP: $16.49SMA50: $29.56SMA200: $21.67
$38.06$31.59$25.12$18.65$12.18RES $37.05SUP $16.49$34.332026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CAI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +97.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CAI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CAI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CAI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CAI)

Health Care Rank #58 of 1016 ⚔️ MOH vs CAI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (CAI vs. MOH, HSIC, OSCR, GRAL)

Industry: Medical Specialities (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Caris Life Sciences Inc. (CAI) ranks #58 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #112 by equity capitalization ($10.21B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MOH leads on earnings valuation at 22.0x trailing P/E, while MOH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.2% ROIC and 13.1% gross margin. CAI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CAI ACTIVE
Caris Life Sciences Inc.
B 73/100 — — 4.4% -5.01% $10.21B Benchmark Subject
MOH
Molina Healthcare Inc
D+ 54/100 22.0x 13.1% 17.2% +2.93% $10.39B /moh-vs-cai →
HSIC
Henry Schein Inc.
C- 60/100 23.0x 31.1% 11.2% -1.80% $9.63B /hsic-vs-cai →
OSCR
Oscar Health Inc.
D+ 53/100 — — -35.0% -1.36% $9.50B /oscr-vs-cai →
GRAL
GRAIL Inc.
D+ 54/100 — — -18.0% -9.75% $7.10B /gral-vs-cai →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002019410

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Caris Life Sciences Inc. (CAI) reported GAAP revenue of $812.0M (+97.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $412.3M , and +165.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$68.1M, operating cash flow of $83.2M, and free cash flow of $66.9M (+126.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CAI closed FY2025 with $1.13B in total assets against $378.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 9.79, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $812.0M -$68.1M $83.2M $66.9M $1.13B $378.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $412.3M -$281.9M -$245.2M -$253.6M $343.7M $319.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $306.1M -$341.4M -$276.1M -$289.9M $5.62B $1.31B

3. CAI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CAI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Caris Life Sciences Inc. (NASDAQ: CAI) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $34.33 (-5.01% 1D, market cap $10.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, CAI ranks #58 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CAI compare to MOH and HSIC in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), CAI carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.4%. By comparison, MOH (Molina Healthcare Inc) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 22.0x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $10.39B) and HSIC (Henry Schein Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 23.0x, ROIC 11.2%, cap $9.63B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MOH leads on earnings multiple (22.0x) while MOH leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CAI?

Per CAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002019410), Caris Life Sciences Inc. generated $812.0M in revenue (+97.0% YoY), -$68.1M in net income, and $66.9M in free cash flow against $1.13B in total assets and $378.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CAI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CAI last traded at $34.33 (-5.01% on volume of 3,672,988 shares), positioning the stock +16.14% above its 50-day simple moving average ($29.56) and +58.42% above its 200-day simple moving average ($21.67). Across its 52-week range of $14.19 to $36.50, CAI sits at the 90.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.4% ($30.07 to $38.59).

CAI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CAI's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Caris Life Sciences Inc. (CAI)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is CAI stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.4% event move for CAI, spanning a range between $30.07 and $38.59.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 73/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CAI — Caris Life Sciences Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:16:34Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CAI scores 73 out of 100, graded B and labeled "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 4.4% and an FCF yield of 0.65%. For an investor, these are modest return-on-capital and cash-generation figures, meaning the business currently converts little of its capital and market value into free cash flow.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 18 / 20. The strongest pillar, described as institutional accumulation and options positioning. This suggests sophisticated holders have been building positions, a supportive signal, though the underlying 13F detail is not itemized in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is a middling reading; insider activity is present but not a dominant bullish signal.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 0.91 with notable sector sensitivity. A beta below 1 implies somewhat lower volatility than the broad market, which may appeal to investors seeking moderated swings, but the sector sensitivity caveat limits the score.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 9.79, Piotroski F is 8 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.66. These are the strongest fundamental supports in the profile and indicate a sound balance-sheet posture.

Taken together, the investment case rests on institutional accumulation and a strong balance sheet, offset by thin cash returns and valuation that the source data flags as stretched (EV/EBITDA of 95). Valuation tradeoffs are significant: the stock trades at a forward P/E of 21 but carries negative trailing EPS of -0.24, so near-term earnings support depends on forecasts rather than realized results.

Business

Caris Life Sciences Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector and Medical Specialities industry, per the company profile. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $10.2B. The source data does not describe the company's products, customers, or revenue model.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$812.0M$45.1M$-68.1MN/A$66.9M$796.3M$378.8M
FY 2024$412.3M$-257.1M$-281.9MN/A$-253.6M$64.0M$319.4M
FY 2023$306.1M$-319.6M$-341.4MN/A$-289.9MN/A$1314.4M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $306.1M (FY 2023) to $812.0M (FY 2025), and operating income moved from a loss to $45.1M in FY 2025, though FY 2025 net income remained negative at $-68.1M. Per the market data, operating margin is 5.6% and net margin is -8.4%. ROIC is 4.4%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 9.79, the Piotroski F-Score is 8 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.66, indicating a strong balance-sheet posture. Reported debt declined from $1314.4M in FY 2023 to $378.8M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Six headlines reference CAI. Per the recent news feed, a TradingView item reports a 12-month price target raised to $30.23 implying 10% upside, tagged as a green catalyst. A MarketBeat item reports a price target raised at JPMorgan Chase & Co., also tagged green. Other items, including Simply Wall St, MarketBeat ("Shares Up 7.6%"), and Stock Titan, are tagged yellow as market-wire coverage. Risk watch items are not separately identified in the source data. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What products and customers generate the FY 2025 revenue of $812.0M, and what drove the swing to positive operating income?
  • Why is trailing P/E unavailable while forward P/E is 21, and what earnings path underlies that forecast?
  • What specific institutional holders and options positions underlie the 18/20 whale-flow score?
  • Which insider transactions drive the 12/20 insider conviction score, and over what timeframe?
  • What explains the EV/EBITDA of 95 relative to the 4.4% ROIC and 0.65% FCF yield?

CAI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Caris Life Sciences Inc. (CAI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CAI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CAI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $34.33?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CAI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CAI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $42.65 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CAI (B • RQD 73/100) a Buy at $36.14?

Welcome to the CAI (Caris Life Sciences Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 73/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Medical Specialities. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $30.36 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $36.14

Pump the brakes on CAI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CAI, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Caris Life Sciences Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $43.01 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $36.14

CAI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CAI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Medical Specialities and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $36.14 (52-wk range $14.19 - $36.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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