Candel Therapeutics Inc. (CADL) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$8.33 -3.70% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.26

Candel Therapeutics Inc. (CADL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $661.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CADL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Candel Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: CADL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $8.33 (-3.70% 1D, market cap $661.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, CADL ranks #709 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CADL compare to SLBT and AURA in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), CADL carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SLBT (SL Science Holding Limited) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $656.1M) and AURA (Aura Biosciences Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $652.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CADL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CADL leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CADL?
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Per CADL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001841387), Candel Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$38.2M in net income, and -$38.9M in free cash flow against $125.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.26 (-0.86%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Cash (4)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (11)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target
$15 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE CADL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CADL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CADL SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (32% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 41% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$9.78-16.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$8.21-5.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$7.79+6.9% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$8.33-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CADL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CADL currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.59) and Max Pain ($8.75) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.70.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CADL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CADL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CADL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CADL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CADL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.62%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $8.67H $8.67L $8.33C $8.33VOL 741.0K
RES: $17.02SUP: $7.60SMA50: $10.59SMA200: $8.30
$14.60$12.11$9.61$7.11$4.62RES $17.02SUP $7.60$8.332026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CADL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CADL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CADL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CADL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CADL)

Health Care Rank #709 of 1016 ⚔️ SLBT vs CADL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (CADL vs. SLBT, AURA, IAM, DBVT)

Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Candel Therapeutics Inc. (CADL) ranks #709 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #406 by equity capitalization ($661.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CADL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CADL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. IAM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with CADL at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CADL ACTIVE
Candel Therapeutics Inc.
E 34/100 — — -35.0% -3.70% $661.9M Benchmark Subject
SLBT
SL Science Holding Limited
D 45/100 — — — +2.56% $656.1M /slbt-vs-cadl →
AURA
Aura Biosciences Inc.
E 31/100 — — -35.0% -2.46% $652.8M /aura-vs-cadl →
IAM
Iambic Therapeutics Inc.
D 49/100 — — — -5.95% $676.9M /iam-vs-cadl →
DBVT
DBV Technologies S.A.
E 23/100 — — -35.0% -7.77% $647.0M /dbvt-vs-cadl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001841387

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Candel Therapeutics Inc. (CADL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$38.2M, operating cash flow of -$38.3M, and free cash flow of -$38.9M (-43.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CADL closed FY2025 with $125.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$38.2M -$38.3M -$38.9M $125.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$55.2M -$27.0M -$27.0M $106.9M $1.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$37.9M -$34.2M -$34.2M — —

3. CADL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CADL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Candel Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: CADL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $8.33 (-3.70% 1D, market cap $661.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, CADL ranks #709 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CADL compare to SLBT and AURA in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), CADL carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SLBT (SL Science Holding Limited) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $656.1M) and AURA (Aura Biosciences Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $652.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CADL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CADL leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CADL?

Per CADL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001841387), Candel Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$38.2M in net income, and -$38.9M in free cash flow against $125.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CADL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CADL last traded at $8.33 (-3.70% on volume of 779,948 shares), positioning the stock -21.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.59) and +0.36% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.30). Across its 52-week range of $4.35 to $14.00, CADL sits at the 41.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.0% ($7.33 to $9.33).

CADL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does CADL pay a dividend and is it safe?

Candel Therapeutics Inc. (CADL) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CADL — Candel Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:34:03Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CADL scores 34 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -5.88%), the weakest reading in the rating; Whale 13F Flow at 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 11/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the pillar profile points to a company whose operating economics are negative. Upside would have to come from a change in that cash engine, which the source data does not show in the reported periods. The balance sheet reads as middling rather than distressed, with cash reported at $119.7M in FY 2025, but the Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals weak fundamental quality. Insider and institutional signals are muted to weak. Valuation cannot be anchored to earnings, since P/E and EPS are not available in source data and net income is negative in every reported period. Any investment case here rests on future events not captured in the sources, which is the core reason the rating assigns a sell verdict.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-48.3M$-38.2MN/A$-38.9M$119.7MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-33.4M$-55.2MN/A$-27.0M$102.7M$1.7M
FY 2023$0.0M$-38.4M$-37.9MN/A$-34.2MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating and net losses appear in all three periods, and margins are 0% gross, 0% operating, and 0% net in the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -35%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, both per the Roarable forensic balance sheet pillar; Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported cash is $119.7M for FY 2025, while FCF was $-38.9M, indicating ongoing cash consumption.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, six items reference CADL, all published within roughly 15 hours before the data timestamp, and each carries a YELLOW light and "MARKET WIRE" impact label. The headlines reference a stock price forecast from StockInvest.us, a TradingView estimates page, Yahoo Finance options chain coverage, a Simply Wall St note on analysts expecting breakeven, a MarketBeat short interest update dated October 2026, and a kalkine.ca list of biotech stocks to watch. These items are general market commentary; none describes a specific clinical, regulatory, or financing event in the provided text. Risk watch items drawn from the data are the short-interest reference and the negative cash flow. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What clinical, regulatory, or partnership milestones are expected, and what is their timing? The source data does not describe a pipeline.
  • What is the company's cash runway relative to the FY 2025 FCF of $-38.9M, and will new financing be needed?
  • Why is the FY 2023 cash and debt position marked N/A, and what are the full balance sheet figures?
  • What drove the year-over-year change in net loss between FY 2024 and FY 2025?
  • What are the TTM earnings, forward estimates, and any analyst coverage, none of which appear in the source data?

CADL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Candel Therapeutics Inc. (CADL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CADL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CADL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.33?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CADL 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CADL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.61 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CADL (E • RQD 34/100) a Buy at $8.65?

Welcome to the CADL (Candel Therapeutics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 34/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances). Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.66 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $8.65

Pump the brakes on CADL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CADL, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Candel Therapeutics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.90 (+26.0%)
Spot @ $8.65

CADL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CADL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $8.65 (52-wk range $4.35 - $14.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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