Burlington Stores Inc. (BURL) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BURL scores 58 out of 100, equivalent to a letter grade of D+ and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are as follows:

• Fundamental Cash Engine (15 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 22.8% and an FCF yield of 1.13%. The ROIC figure is strong relative to the other inputs, while the thin FCF yield signals that the cash generated per dollar of market value is modest at the current price.
• Whale 13F Flow (6 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning and scores low, indicating limited institutional tailwind in the source data.
• Insider Conviction (14 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow and scores moderately, though the underlying trade-level detail is not included in the source data.
• Macro Regime Fit (7 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 0.97 and this pillar captures sector sensitivity. The low score suggests the stock does not screen favorably on macro regime alignment.
• Forensic Balance Sheet (16 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.69, the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 1.11. This is the strongest pillar and points to a financially sound balance sheet.

Investor implications: the upside drivers in the source data are the high ROIC and the strong forensic balance sheet. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the P/E of 25 on a TTM basis against a forward P/E of 23.3 and an FCF yield of 1.13%, meaning the market is pricing in earnings growth that the cash-flow metrics do not yet confirm. Weak institutional flow and a low macro-fit score reduce the confidence an investor can place in near-term price momentum. This analysis is educational and does not constitute personalized financial advice.

Per the market data, gross margin is 43.8%, operating margin is 6.4%, and net margin is 5.3%, with ROIC of 22.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.69 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, with Debt/Equity of 1.11. Per the SEC financials, debt declined from $2726.3M in FY 2023 to $2321.1M in FY 2025 while cash rose to $1232.5M, and FCF turned positive at $171.6M in FY 2025 after a negative $-17.0M in FY 2024.

Per the recent news feed, the items are as follows:

• GREEN / CATALYST: A Moomoo report on earnings growth screening, and a Simply Wall St report questioning whether recent earnings shifted the investment narrative.
• YELLOW / MARKET WIRE: Yahoo Finance and GuruFocus items, the latter reporting that JPMorgan Chase & Co added BURL and that shares look roughly 10% undervalued on GF Value.
• RED / RISK WATCH: TradingView and Zacks "Bear of the Day" items flagging negative positioning.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply-chain designation is NONE, there are no butterfly links, and there are no proprietary signals.

• What are the EPS figures for FY 2023 through FY 2025, since the source reports EPS as N/A for all periods?
• What is the cash balance for FY 2023, which is recorded as N/A?
• What is the consensus analyst rating and price target, given that analyst data is empty?
• Which institutions and insiders drove the 13F and Form 4 flows that produced the pillar scores?
• What drove the FY 2025 FCF swing from -$17.0M to $171.6M, and is it repeatable?