Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BTU scores 24 out of 100, a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." Across the five pillars: Fundamental Cash Engine scores 4/20 (ROIC -2.1%; FCF yield -2.87%), indicating the business is not currently generating returns above its cost of capital or positive free cash flow yield. Whale 13F Flow scores 4/20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning signals rated weak. Insider Conviction scores 3/20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 4/20 with a beta of 1.0 and noted sector sensitivity. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 9/20 (Altman Z 1.83; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5), the strongest pillar but still marked by a weak Piotroski reading. For a prospective investor, the rating frames the stock as carrying elevated forensic and cash-generation risk; any upside case would need to rest on a turnaround in operating cash flow, which the reported figures do not yet show. The current price of 22.23 sits near the lower portion of the 52-week range, so valuation optics alone do not resolve the fundamental concerns.

Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating in the Coal Mining industry, per the company profile. The source data does not itemize specific products, customer segments, or revenue mix. Per the SEC financials, reported revenue was $3861.5M for FY 2025, indicating the scale of current operations. Specific revenue-generation detail beyond sector and industry classification is not available in source data.

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined across the three reported periods, and operating income moved from $1074.7M (FY 2023) to $-80.1M (FY 2025), with FY 2025 operating income negative. Per the market data, the operating margin is -2.1%, the gross and net margins are each 0%, and ROIC is -2.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.83 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5 in the forensic pillar; the source does not provide the underlying debt figure. Cash was $575.3M at FY 2025 versus $700.4M at FY 2024.

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six items are dated within the last 15 hours. Five are tagged as market wire items and one is tagged as a catalyst (rated GREEN). Headlines reference analyst and commentary coverage: a Seeking Alpha piece framing the recovery case as dependent on "Centurion," a TradingView estimates page, a Yahoo Finance item flagging a possible negative earnings report, a MarketBeat item citing an average price target of $33.88, and a Seeking Alpha item reporting a raise to Buy at B. Riley on valuation. The positive-tagged item is the B. Riley upgrade; the Yahoo Finance negative-earnings headline is the primary risk watch item. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded for this issuer.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The only sector context provided is the Energy / Coal Mining classification and a beta of 1.0. A prospective investor should treat the absence of mapped links as a gap in the analysis rather than evidence of a lack of exposure.

Per the analyst data section, no analyst records are provided. Per the recent news feed, a MarketBeat headline cites an average price target of $33.88, and a Seeking Alpha headline reports a raise to Buy at B. Riley, but the consensus rating count and individual target detail are not available in source data. Per the holders section, no insider Form 4, 13F, or Congressional trade records are provided.

• What drove the swing from positive operating income in FY 2024 ($445.3M) and FY 2023 ($1074.7M) to a negative figure in FY 2025, and is it cyclical or structural?
• Net income is reported as $0.0M across all periods and EPS as N/A; what is the actual bottom-line profitability picture?
• Debt is reported as N/A in the financials, yet Debt/Equity is cited as 0.5; what is the total debt balance?
• What does the "Centurion" recovery thesis referenced in the news depend on, and what are its measurable milestones?
• Which insider, institutional, and congressional holdings are present, given that the holders section is empty?