BT Brands Inc. (BTBD) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$1.84 +0.55% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.84

BT Brands Inc. (BTBD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $11.4M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, BT Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: BTBD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $1.84 (+0.55% 1D, market cap $11.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BTBD compare to GTIM and REBN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BTBD carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -3.5%. By comparison, GTIM (Good Times Restaurants Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E 13.3x, ROIC 0.7%, cap $13.6M) and REBN (Reborn Coffee Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTIM leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while GTIM leads on capital efficiency (0.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BTBD?
β–Ό

Per BTBD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001718224), BT Brands Inc. generated $13.5M in revenue (-9.0% YoY), -$687.8K in net income, and $112.0K in free cash flow against $10.7M in total assets and $1.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.84 (-0.09%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 0.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510049
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (13)SEC (7)Macro (13)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.8% Base Target
$3 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE BTBD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BTBD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY BTBD SCORES 49/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 56% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 57.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$1.76+1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$1.78-3.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$1.72+7% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$1.84-5.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (41) β†’ D (49)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BTBD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While BTBD currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.72) and Max Pain ($1.93) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.60.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BTBDβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œBTBD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How BTBD Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$112.0K (0.8% FCF Margin)
Revenue$13.5MGross Profit $7.0M (52%)Cost of Sales $6.5MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $7.0MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $14.1M
FY24
Rev $14.8M
FY25
Rev $13.5M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$13.5M52%-2.7%-$687.8K$112.0K-3.5%
FY 2024$14.8M52%-12.4%-$2.3M-$1.2M-16%
FY 2023$14.1M52%-7.6%-$887.4K-$258.8K-3.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BTBD)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of BTBD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BTBD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.22%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $1.83H $1.84L $1.83C $1.84VOL 8.1K
RES: $2.24SUP: $1.59SMA50: $1.72SMA200: $1.45
$2.03$1.76$1.49$1.22$0.95RES $2.24SUP $1.59$1.842026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BTBD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BTBD today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BTBD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BTBD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BTBD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #577 of 1011 βš”οΈ GTIM vs BTBD Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BTBD vs. GTIM, REBN, CCHH, ARKR)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BT Brands Inc. (BTBD) ranks #577 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #921 by equity capitalization ($11.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GTIM leads on earnings valuation at 13.3x trailing P/E, while GTIM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.7% ROIC and β€” gross margin. BTBD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BTBD ACTIVE
BT Brands Inc.
D 49/100 β€” β€” -3.5% +0.55% $11.4M Benchmark Subject
GTIM
Good Times Restaurants Inc.
D- 39/100 13.3x β€” 0.7% 0.00% $13.6M /gtim-vs-btbd β†’
REBN
Reborn Coffee Inc.
E 34/100 β€” 92.0% -35.0% +1.27% $13.7M /rebn-vs-btbd β†’
CCHH
CCH Holdings Ltd (Class A)
E 21/100 β€” 19.3% -21.4% -7.37% $17.6M /cchh-vs-btbd β†’
ARKR
Ark Restaurants Corp.
E 25/100 β€” β€” -13.1% +7.97% $18.1M /arkr-vs-btbd β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-28 β€’ CIK 0001718224

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), BT Brands Inc. (BTBD) reported GAAP revenue of $13.5M (-9.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $14.8M , and -4.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$687.8K, operating cash flow of $284.9K, and free cash flow of $112.0K (+109.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, BTBD closed FY2025 with $10.7M in total assets against $1.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.58, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-28 $13.5M -$687.8K $284.9K $112.0K $10.7M $1.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-29 $14.8M -$2.3M -$713.5K -$1.2M $12.0M $2.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $14.1M -$887.4K -$258.8K -$258.8K β€” β€”

3. BTBD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BTBD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, BT Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: BTBD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $1.84 (+0.55% 1D, market cap $11.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does BTBD compare to GTIM and REBN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), BTBD carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -3.5%. By comparison, GTIM (Good Times Restaurants Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E 13.3x, ROIC 0.7%, cap $13.6M) and REBN (Reborn Coffee Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTIM leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while GTIM leads on capital efficiency (0.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BTBD?

Per BTBD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001718224), BT Brands Inc. generated $13.5M in revenue (-9.0% YoY), -$687.8K in net income, and $112.0K in free cash flow against $10.7M in total assets and $1.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BTBD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BTBD last traded at $1.84 (+0.55% on volume of 8,096 shares), positioning the stock +6.98% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.72) and +26.90% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.45). Across its 52-week range of $1.03 to $2.48, BTBD sits at the 55.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.61 to $2.07).

BTBD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

How profitable is BT Brands Inc. (BTBD)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), BTBD converted $13.5M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $111951 in free cash flow (0.8% FCF margin).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 49/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BTBD β€” BT Brands Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:51:29Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BTBD scores 49 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of -3.5% and an FCF yield of 0.99%. For a prospective investor, negative return on invested capital means the business is not currently generating returns above its capital base, and a sub-1% FCF yield offers little cash cushion relative to the share price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 13 / 20. The RQD rating describes this pillar as reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning.
  • Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the lowest-scoring pillar, indicating weak insider conviction signals in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is modeled to move in line with the broader market, offering no defensive dampening.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.58, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.3. The balance sheet metrics are moderate, not distressed, but do not offset the weak cash-generation profile.

Taken together, the RQD rating points to a company with thin operating economics, weak insider signals, and a valuation that the cash-flow data does not strongly support. Upside drivers would need to come from operational improvement or sentiment shifts; the rating's negative verdict frames the current distribution risk.

Business

BT Brands Inc. (BTBD) is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Restaurants industry. Per the profile, the company operates as a restaurant business.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all tagged to BTBD, with the majority of headlines being generic market commentary rather than company-specific events. Notable items include a "Top U.S. Stock Gainers" listing tagged as a CATALYST, and a market report noting BTBD slipping 2.31% to $1.69, consistent with a near-mid-range trading position. Risk watch items include the sub-$2 price relative to a $1.03–$2.48 range and the negative operating and net margins. Several headlines reference other tickers (GTIM, SERV, BIVI) and carry unreliable source attribution, so they should not be treated as company-specific evidence.

The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph carries a LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND signal with a severity score of 94 and a BULLISH direction, labeled as a Macro Tailwind Score of 96/100. Per that graph, BTBD is assigned a 3.81x Net Liquidity beta with r = -0.25, and the True Net Liquidity Index is cited at $5,745.73B with a -0.64% 4-week rate of change. This signal is macro-driven and is not corroborated by company-specific fundamentals in the source data, which show negative returns on capital.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as "NONE" and no butterfly links are provided. The sector is Consumer Discretionary and the industry is Restaurants. The liquidity-beta signal implies that BTBD's price may be sensitive to changes in net liquidity conditions, which is a 2nd-order macro channel rather than a supply-chain one. Investors should watch whether the liquidity tailwind persists relative to the company's weak cash generation, since macro support cannot by itself fix negative ROIC.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's cash and cash-equivalent balances in each reported period, given that the cash field is N/A throughout the financials?
  • What is the EPS (TTM) and forward earnings outlook, given that P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA are all unavailable?
  • What drives the restaurant revenue decline from $14.8M to $13.5M, and is it tied to location count, same-store sales, or pricing?
  • Who are the institutional holders and insiders, given that the holders section is empty?
  • What is the composition of the FY 2023 debt figure, which is listed as N/A, and how does debt trend across the reported periods?

BTBD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BT Brands Inc. (BTBD) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to BTBD Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BTBD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.84?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BTBD 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BTBD:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $1.98 (+8.2%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BTBD (D β€’ RQD 49/100) a Buy at $1.83?

Welcome to the BTBD (BT Brands Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 49/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Restaurants. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.50 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $1.83

Pump the brakes on BTBD β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BTBD, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless BT Brands Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.31 (+26.2%)
Spot @ $1.83

BTBD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BTBD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.83 (52-wk range $1.03 - $2.48), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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