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Stock Ratings / Energy / BP / insiders
MPC (70) EQNR (74) VLO (69) PSX (56) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

BP p.l.c. (BP) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$50.39 +0.08% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.52

BP p.l.c. (BP) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 68.7% hit rate) β†’
ROARABLE B β€’ BUY Cap $131.81B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BP Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, BP p.l.c. (NYSE: BP) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $50.39 (+0.08% 1D, market cap $131.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, BP ranks #23 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BP compare to MPC and EQNR in the Energy sector?
β–Ό

Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), BP carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, MPC (Marathon Petroleum Corporation) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 30.0x, ROIC 16.9%, cap $121.46B) and EQNR (Equinor ASA) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $118.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PSX leads on earnings multiple (24.2x) while MPC leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BP?
β–Ό

For BP p.l.c. (BP), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.52 (+0.25%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ Β· Rk B+
Cash (11)Whales (18)SEC (16)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$63 Bull$54 Base$41 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE BP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±4.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY BP SCORES 72/100 (B) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±4.2% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 13.9% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$48.53+1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$49.39-0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$48.93+3% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$50.39+7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (64) β†’ B (72)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, BP faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($46.21) or 200D SMA ($43.16) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($53.56) toward Bear Floor ($41.32).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BPβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œBP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

BP Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (BP)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on BP. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BP Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) β†’$100K Arena
BP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.35%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $49.79H $50.39L $49.79C $50.39VOL 7.30M
RES: $52.43SUP: $43.66SMA50: $46.21SMA200: $43.16
$52.57$48.09$43.61$39.13$34.65RES $52.43SUP $43.66$50.392026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ BP Butterfly Map β†’ + Track BP β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BP today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BP)

Energy Rank #23 of 211 βš”οΈ MPC vs BP Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (BP vs. MPC, EQNR, VLO, PSX)

Industry: Integrated oil Companies (15 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BP p.l.c. (BP) ranks #23 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #8 by equity capitalization ($131.81B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PSX leads on earnings valuation at 24.2x trailing P/E, while MPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 10.0% gross margin. EQNR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with BP at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BP ACTIVE
BP p.l.c.
B 72/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +0.08% $131.81B Benchmark Subject
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
B- 70/100 30.0x 10.0% 16.9% +2.83% $121.46B /mpc-vs-bp β†’
EQNR
Equinor ASA
B 74/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +2.46% $118.96B /eqnr-vs-bp β†’
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation
C+ 69/100 45.7x β€” 8.2% +3.92% $107.25B /vlo-vs-bp β†’
PSX
Phillips 66
D+ 56/100 24.2x 12.3% 9.2% +3.37% $106.73B /psx-vs-bp β†’

2. BP Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

BP p.l.c. (BP) operates in Integrated oil Companies (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $131.81B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. BP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, BP p.l.c. (NYSE: BP) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $50.39 (+0.08% 1D, market cap $131.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, BP ranks #23 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BP compare to MPC and EQNR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), BP carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, MPC (Marathon Petroleum Corporation) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 30.0x, ROIC 16.9%, cap $121.46B) and EQNR (Equinor ASA) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $118.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PSX leads on earnings multiple (24.2x) while MPC leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BP?

For BP p.l.c. (BP), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BP last traded at $50.39 (+0.08% on volume of 9,870,497 shares), positioning the stock +9.05% above its 50-day simple moving average ($46.21) and +16.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($43.16). Across its 52-week range of $33.22 to $51.49, BP sits at the 94.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±4.2% ($48.27 to $52.51).

BP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are BP insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies BP leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: BP RQD Cockpit BP 12M Forecast BP Earnings & Move BP Dividends & DRIP BP Insiders & 13F BP Whale Options BP Profit Sankey BP News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 72/100 (B) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BP β€” BP p.l.c.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:08:04Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BP scores 72 out of 100, grade B, labeled "Roarable Buy β€” Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC 9.9%; FCF yield 2.21%), Whale 13F Flow at 18/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 15/20 (Beta 1.08; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20 (Altman Z 3.74; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.39).

Read against each other, the pillars show a stock whose strongest support comes from institutional positioning and balance-sheet strength, while its weakest contributions come from cash generation relative to valuation and insider conviction. The fundamental cash pillar's modest score aligns with the 2.21% FCF yield set against a trailing P/E of 32.8, which means the market is pricing in substantial future earnings growth relative to current cash returns. Upside drivers, per the rating inputs, are the institutional accumulation signal and the forensic balance-sheet profile; valuation is the principal tradeoff, since the multiples in the market data are high relative to the cash yield. The 72 score reflects a favorable composite, but the individual pillars do not uniformly support the same conclusion, and an investor would need to weigh the valuation premium against the rating's positive signals.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
50.35$131.81B32.830.5211.530%1.08$33.22 - $51.499.9%

Business

Sector: Energy. Industry: Integrated oil Companies. Exchange: NYSE. Per the profile, BP p.l.c. is a NYSE-listed Energy issuer operating in Integrated oil Companies with a market capitalization of $131.8B. Not available in source data: the specific products sold, customer segments, and revenue model.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six items relate to BP, all tagged to BP as related symbol. Two are tagged CATALYST (a Seeking Alpha piece headlined "BP p.l.c.: An Oil And Gas Play Primed For Outperformance" rated GREEN, and a Zacks piece "Bull of the Day: BP plc (BP)" rated GREEN). The remaining four are tagged MARKET WIRE with YELLOW lights, including a TradingKey item on an October 8 move of 3.50% and a Yahoo Finance item on the stock declining while the market improved. Risk watch items are limited to the YELLOW-flagged market-wire entries; no specific operational or regulatory risk is described in the source headlines. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, free cash flow, cash, and debt figures by period, given that the financials section is empty?
  • What is the analyst consensus rating and price target distribution, since the analyst data section is empty?
  • Which institutions and insiders hold or traded BP shares, and what are the sizes and dates of those positions, since the holders section is empty?
  • Why is the gross margin reported as 0%, and does that reflect a data gap or the reporting basis?
  • What specific events drove the YELLOW-flagged market-wire items and the reported 3.50% move on October 8?

BP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BP p.l.c. (BP) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to BP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟒 CATALYST Zacks Investment Research β€’ 15h ago
Bull of the Day: BP plc (BP)

Zacks Investment Research report covering BP p.l.c. (BP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source β†—
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $50.39?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BP:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $59.41 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BP (B β€’ RQD 72/100) a Buy at $50.35?

Welcome to the BP (BP p.l.c.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Good Risk/Reward) in Integrated oil Companies. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $38.27 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $50.35

Pump the brakes on BP β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BP, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless BP p.l.c. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $61.43 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $50.35

BP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Integrated oil Companies and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $50.35 (52-wk range $33.22 - $51.49), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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