BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$17.87 -6.93% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.61

BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 18/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $785.8M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: BKSY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $17.87 (-6.93% 1D, market cap $785.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, BKSY ranks #707 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BKSY compare to UMAC and GILT in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), BKSY carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -15.1%. By comparison, UMAC (Unusual Machines Inc.) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.7%, cap $863.2M) and GILT (Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E 29.3x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $607.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GILT leads on earnings multiple (29.3x) while GILT leads on capital efficiency (5.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BKSY?
β–Ό

Per BKSY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001753539), BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) generated $106.6M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $70.3K in net income, and -$28.3M in free cash flow against $386.2M in total assets and $193.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.61 (-1.44%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (18/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510018
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (5)SEC (5)Macro (3)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18% Base Target
$56 Bull$15 Base$11 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE BKSY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BKSY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (18/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY BKSY SCORES 18/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+5/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (48.4) create a -16 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
26
Grade E$19.86-13.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
23
Grade E$17.13+4.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
21
Grade E$17.84+0.2% Next Q
Current
18
Grade E$17.87-12.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (26) β†’ E (18)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BKSY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While BKSY currently carries a cautious 18/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.96) and Max Pain ($18.76) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $55.52.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BKSYβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œBKSY Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BKSY)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BKSY.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BKSY)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of BKSY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BKSY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -50.81%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $19.11H $19.20L $17.87C $17.87VOL 1.01M
RES: $19.53SUP: $15.44SMA50: $20.96SMA200: $27.24
$55.45$44.80$34.14$23.48$12.82RES $19.53SUP $15.44$17.872026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BKSY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BKSY today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BKSY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BKSY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BKSY)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (BKSY vs. UMAC, GILT, SATL, HLIT)

Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) ranks #707 by composite RQD confidence (18/100, grade E) and #375 by equity capitalization ($785.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GILT leads on earnings valuation at 29.3x trailing P/E, while GILT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.6% ROIC and 29.5% gross margin. HLIT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with BKSY at 18/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BKSY ACTIVE
BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A)
E 18/100 β€” β€” -15.1% -6.93% $785.8M Benchmark Subject
UMAC
Unusual Machines Inc.
E 23/100 β€” 34.9% -27.7% -10.13% $863.2M /umac-vs-bksy β†’
GILT
Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.
D- 41/100 29.3x 29.5% 5.6% -3.35% $607.5M /gilt-vs-bksy β†’
SATL
Satellogic Inc. (Class A)
E 11/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -11.23% $575.0M /satl-vs-bksy β†’
HLIT
Harmonic Inc.
D 50/100 β€” 48.5% 3.0% -5.28% $1.18B /hlit-vs-bksy β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001753539

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) reported GAAP revenue of $106.6M (+4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $102.1M , and +12.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $70.3K, operating cash flow of -$28.3M, and free cash flow of -$28.3M (-343.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, BKSY closed FY2025 with $386.2M in total assets against $193.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $106.6M $70.3K -$28.3M -$28.3M $386.2M $193.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $102.1M $57.2K -$6.4M -$6.4M $254.1M $105.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $94.5M $53.9K -$17.4M -$17.4M β€” β€”

3. BKSY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BKSY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: BKSY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $17.87 (-6.93% 1D, market cap $785.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, BKSY ranks #707 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BKSY compare to UMAC and GILT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), BKSY carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -15.1%. By comparison, UMAC (Unusual Machines Inc.) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.7%, cap $863.2M) and GILT (Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E 29.3x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $607.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GILT leads on earnings multiple (29.3x) while GILT leads on capital efficiency (5.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BKSY?

Per BKSY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001753539), BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) generated $106.6M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $70.3K in net income, and -$28.3M in free cash flow against $386.2M in total assets and $193.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BKSY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BKSY last traded at $17.87 (-6.93% on volume of 924,514 shares), positioning the stock -14.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.96) and -34.40% below its 200-day simple moving average ($27.24). Across its 52-week range of $12.41 to $52.88, BKSY sits at the 13.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($15.64 to $20.10).

BKSY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is BKSY's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for BKSY.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 18/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BKSY β€” BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:32:55Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BKSY scores 18 out of 100 and receives a letter grade of E, with the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 0/20 (ROIC -15.1%; FCF yield -3.6%); Whale 13F Flow 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 5/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 3/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 5/20 (Altman Z 0.2; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 2.04).

For a prospective investor, the fundamental pillar is the most decisive: the rating assigns zero points because returns on invested capital are negative and free cash flow yield is negative. The forensic pillar is weak on all three cited measures, indicating elevated financial-distress and balance-sheet risk. The whale and insider pillars carry modest scores that reflect limited supportive positioning rather than strong conviction. The macro pillar is low-to-middling, with Beta of 1.0 indicating market-level sensitivity. Upside drivers implied by the data are limited to a recovery in cash generation; valuation cannot be assessed on earnings multiples because the relevant fields are not available in source data. Because the rating frames the stock as a forensic-risk avoid, the appropriate educational takeaway is that the score emphasizes balance-sheet and cash-flow durability before any growth narrative.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$106.6M$-46.9M$0.1MN/A$-28.3M$42.4M$193.2M
FY 2024$102.1M$-44.3M$0.1MN/A$-6.4M$13.1M$105.7M
FY 2023$94.5M$-56.0M$0.1MN/A$-17.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $94.5M (FY 2023) to $106.6M (FY 2025), while operating losses persisted in each period. Per the market data, the operating margin is -44%, gross margin is 0%, net margin is 0.1%, and ROIC is -15.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9. Per the RQD forensic pillar, Debt/Equity is 2.04, and reported debt rose from $105.7M (FY 2024) to $193.2M (FY 2025) while cash rose to $42.4M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items are listed with relatedSymbol BKSY, each marked YELLOW and categorized as MARKET WIRE: a Yahoo Finance Singapore quote and overview page, a GuruFocus item describing the stock as down 5.1% but still overvalued, a TradingView comparison with Planet Labs, a Simply Wall St item titled "BlackSky Technology Fell While Sales Rose," a Benzinga Q2 2026 earnings call transcript listing, and a MarketBeat short-interest update dated October 2026. The feed summaries are generic and do not state specific figures; no catalyst details beyond these headlines are available in source data. Per the butterfly supply-chain graph, the supply_chain value is NONE, no butterfly links are listed, and no proprietary signals are provided.

Open Questions

  • What are the forward earnings and cash-flow expectations, given that P/E, forward P/E, EPS, and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data?
  • What drove the increase in debt from $105.7M to $193.2M, and what are the maturity and covenant terms?
  • What is the path to positive operating income, given operating income of $-46.9M in FY 2025?
  • Who holds the shares, and how has institutional and insider ownership changed, given the holders section is empty?
  • What is the nature of the Q2 2026 earnings results referenced in the news feed, since no figures are provided?

BKSY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) (BKSY) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to BKSY Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BKSY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $17.87?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BKSY 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BKSY:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.90 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BKSY (E β€’ RQD 18/100) a Buy at $19.20?

Welcome to the BKSY (BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 18/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.40 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $19.20

Pump the brakes on BKSY β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BKSY, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $23.62 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $19.20

BKSY cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BKSY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $19.20 (52-wk range $12.41 - $52.88), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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