HCC (56) CNR (37) BTU (24) AMR (43) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

BHP Group Limited American (BHP) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$79.16 -3.25% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.55

BHP Group Limited American (BHP) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $207.99B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BHP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BHP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, BHP Group Limited American (NYSE: BHP) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $79.16 (-3.25% 1D, market cap $207.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, BHP ranks #91 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BHP compare to HCC and CNR in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), BHP carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, HCC (Warrior Met Coal Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 79.3x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $4.52B) and CNR (Core Natural Resources Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.0%, cap $4.33B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BHP leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while BHP leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BHP?

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For BHP Group Limited American (BHP), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #91 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.55 (-0.77%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 15.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BHP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BHP SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46.4) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$84.95-3.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$81.87+0.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$82.60-4.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$79.16+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BHP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, BHP faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($86.21) or 200D SMA ($81.63) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($80.23) toward Bear Floor ($62.58).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BHP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BHP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±3.9%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BHP)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BHP.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating BHP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on BHP
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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BHP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.66%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $82.22H $82.22L $79.16C $79.16VOL 4.34M

RES: $102.9SUP: $75.61SMA50: $86.21SMA200: $81.63

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BHP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BHP Butterfly Map → + Track BHP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BHP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BHP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BHP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BHP)

Energy Rank #91 of 211 ⚔️ HCC vs BHP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (BHP vs. HCC, CNR, BTU, AMR)

Industry: Coal Mining (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BHP Group Limited American (BHP) ranks #91 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #4 by equity capitalization ($207.99B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BHP leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while BHP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. BHP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BHP ACTIVE BHP Group Limited American	C-	61/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-3.25%	$207.99B	Benchmark Subject
HCC Warrior Met Coal Inc.	D+	56/100	79.3x	22.4%	1.8%	+0.41%	$4.52B	/hcc-vs-bhp →
CNR Core Natural Resources Inc.	D-	37/100	—	—	-4.0%	-0.25%	$4.33B	/cnr-vs-bhp →
BTU Peabody Energy Corporation	E	24/100	—	—	-2.1%	-0.22%	$2.71B	/btu-vs-bhp →
AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.	D-	43/100	—	—	-4.1%	-1.62%	$2.05B	/amr-vs-bhp →

2. BHP Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

BHP Group Limited American (BHP) operates in Coal Mining (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $207.99B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. BHP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BHP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BHP compare to HCC and CNR in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BHP?

Where is BHP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BHP last traded at $79.16 (-3.25% on volume of 3,275,598 shares), positioning the stock -8.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($86.21) and -3.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($81.63). Across its 52-week range of $52.18 to $98.71, BHP sits at the 58.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($76.07 to $82.25).

BHP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BHP's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for BHP.

Direct Sub-Reports: BHP RQD Cockpit BHP 12M Forecast BHP Earnings & Move BHP Dividends & DRIP BHP Insiders & 13F BHP Whale Options BHP Profit Sankey BHP News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BHP — BHP Group Limited American: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:07:54Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BHP scores 61 out of 100, a C- grade labeled "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC 9.9%; FCF yield 2.21%), Whale 13F Flow at 11/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 11/20 (Beta 1.14; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20 (Altman Z 3.74; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.39). The strongest pillar is the balance sheet, which supports downside resilience. The cash-generation and macro-fit pillars sit at mid-range, and the low FCF yield of 2.21% implies that the current price leaves limited cash return per dollar invested. For a prospective investor, the rating points to a neutral posture: financial strength is evident, but the valuation tradeoff (P/E TTM of 32.8 against a 2.21% FCF yield) and the market-sensitivity profile (Beta 1.14) argue against assuming a clear upside driver from the data alone. Upside would depend on improving cash returns relative to the current price; downside exposure is amplified by above-market beta.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
81.82	$207.99B	32.8	30.5	21	2.49	0%	1.14	$52.18 - $98.71	9.9%

Business

Sector: Energy. Industry: Coal Mining. Exchange: NYSE. Per the company profile, BHP Group Limited American is a NYSE-listed Energy issuer operating in Coal Mining. Not available in source data for products, customers, or revenue model.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Sector: Energy; Industry: Coal Mining. Not available in source data for upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or bottlenecks.

Open Questions

What are BHP's reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow across recent periods, and what is the trend direction?
What is the analyst consensus rating and price target distribution?
Which institutional 13F holders and insider Form 4 or Congressional transactions drive the whale and insider pillar scores?
What catalysts, commodity exposures, or regulatory events are currently affecting Coal Mining operations?
What drives the 0% gross margin and 0% dividend yield reported in the source data?

BHP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BHP Group Limited American (BHP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BHP Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 15h ago

3 Great Dividend Shares To Own In November 2026

Inflation pressures have central banks lifting interest rates, which has pushed many investors to look harder at reliable cash income rather than speculative stories. Fully franked dividends can help keep more of each do

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 21h ago

Why Is This Rare Earth Metal 346 Times More Expensive In America Than in China?

Samarium sells for 346 times more in North America than in China, and new Western magnet plants are racing ahead of the metal supply they need.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 2d ago

Medibank Private Heads These 3 Australian Dividend Stocks To Watch

AI heavyweights are pouring up to $828b into new infrastructure this year, and that rush has shaken global markets and cut more than $1t from Nasdaq 100 values in a single day. When growth stories are questioned, attenti

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 3d ago

Construction Begins on Harvest34, Bringing 44 Deeply Affordable Family Townhomes to Boulder

BHP closes financing on Harvest34 with construction starting next week at 3125 34th Street; every home will carry a project-based voucher allowing families to pay about 30% of their income in rentBOULDER, Colo., Oct. 30,

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE SeekingAlpha • 3d ago

Nickel Miners News For The Month Of October 2026

Nickel market update: small surplus, rising demand, lower spot prices, and key company moves. Read the full analysis now.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 4d ago

3 Australian Dividend Stocks With Yields Over 3%

Oil refineries have become prime targets in recent conflicts, which has strained global fuel supply and kept energy costs under pressure. For Australian dividend stocks, that kind of backdrop can keep investors focused o

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🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 5d ago

3 Australian Dividend Stocks With Up To 4% Yield

High inflation and stubbornly high interest rates in the US keep pressure on borrowing costs worldwide, which puts regular income front and centre for many Australian investors. Reliable dividends can feel more attractiv

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🔴 RISK WATCH Benzinga • 6d ago

Shares of precious metals stocks are trading lower as markets react to President Trump's announcement of sweeping tariffs.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BHP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $79.16?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BHP 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $88.37 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BHP (C- • RQD 61/100) a Buy at $81.82?

Welcome to the BHP (BHP Group Limited American) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 61/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Coal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $67.09 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $81.82

Pump the brakes on BHP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BHP, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless BHP Group Limited American expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $103.09 (+26.0%)

Spot @ $81.82

BHP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BHP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Coal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $81.82 (52-wk range $52.18 - $98.71), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.