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BGSF Inc. (BGSF) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$3.99 -5.90% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.94

BGSF Inc. (BGSF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $45.3M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BGSF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, BGSF Inc. (NYSE: BGSF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $3.99 (-5.90% 1D, market cap $45.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BGSF ranks #718 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BGSF compare to CTM and DLHC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), BGSF carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.7%, and ROIC of -24.2%. By comparison, CTM (Castellum Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.2%, cap $46.0M) and DLHC (DLH Holdings Corp.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.8%, cap $52.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACCL leads on earnings multiple (35.4x) while DLHC leads on capital efficiency (5.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGSF?
β–Ό

Per BGSF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001474903), BGSF Inc. generated $93.3M in revenue (-10.6% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and $142.0K in free cash flow against $57.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.94 (-1.25%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510041
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (4)SEC (12)Macro (9)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.8% Base Target
$7 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE BGSF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BGSF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY BGSF SCORES 41/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 6/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.2% FCF Margin ($142.0K FCF) & 35.7% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$4.55-11% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$4.05+3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$4.17-4.3% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$3.99-7.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (49) β†’ D- (41)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BGSF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While BGSF currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.82) and Max Pain ($4.19) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.09.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BGSFβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œBGSF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BGSF)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of BGSF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BGSF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.11%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $4.29H $4.29L $3.99C $3.99VOL 1.1K
RES: $5.48SUP: $3.83SMA50: $4.82SMA200: $5.48
$6.28$5.66$5.03$4.41$3.79RES $5.48SUP $3.83$3.992026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BGSF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BGSF today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BGSF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BGSF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BGSF)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #718 of 1009 βš”οΈ CTM vs BGSF Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BGSF vs. CTM, DLHC, STRR, ACCL)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BGSF Inc. (BGSF) ranks #718 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #819 by equity capitalization ($45.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACCL leads on earnings valuation at 35.4x trailing P/E, while DLHC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.8% ROIC and β€” gross margin. ACCL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with BGSF at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BGSF ACTIVE
BGSF Inc.
D- 41/100 β€” 35.7% -24.2% -5.90% $45.3M Benchmark Subject
CTM
Castellum Inc.
E 32/100 β€” 36.6% -6.2% -1.86% $46.0M /ctm-vs-bgsf β†’
DLHC
DLH Holdings Corp.
D- 40/100 β€” β€” 5.8% +0.55% $52.6M /dlhc-vs-bgsf β†’
STRR
Star Equity Holdings Inc.
E 18/100 β€” 46.4% -5.3% -1.99% $36.2M /strr-vs-bgsf β†’
ACCL
Acco Group Holdings Limited (Class A)
C+ 66/100 35.4x 44.1% β€” +3.20% $34.9M /accl-vs-bgsf β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-28 β€’ CIK 0001474903 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), BGSF Inc. (BGSF) reported GAAP revenue of $93.3M (-10.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $104.4M , and -25.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.4M, operating cash flow of $142.0K, and free cash flow of $142.0K (-99.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BGSF closed FY2025 with $57.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.00, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-28 $93.3M -$11.4M $142.0K $142.0K $57.8M $0
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-29 $104.4M -$3.3M $24.4M $24.4M $150.1M $32.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $125.1M -$10.2M $20.4M $20.4M β€” β€”

3. BGSF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BGSF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, BGSF Inc. (NYSE: BGSF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $3.99 (-5.90% 1D, market cap $45.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BGSF ranks #718 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BGSF compare to CTM and DLHC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), BGSF carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.7%, and ROIC of -24.2%. By comparison, CTM (Castellum Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.2%, cap $46.0M) and DLHC (DLH Holdings Corp.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.8%, cap $52.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACCL leads on earnings multiple (35.4x) while DLHC leads on capital efficiency (5.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGSF?

Per BGSF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001474903), BGSF Inc. generated $93.3M in revenue (-10.6% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and $142.0K in free cash flow against $57.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BGSF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BGSF last traded at $3.99 (-5.90% on volume of 28,060 shares), positioning the stock -17.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.82) and -27.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.48). Across its 52-week range of $3.25 to $6.75, BGSF sits at the 21.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.4% ($3.73 to $4.25).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 41/100 (D-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BGSF β€” BGSF Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-28

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

BGSF Inc. (BGSF) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 41/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $3.99 (-5.90% 1D, market capitalization $45.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -24.2%, gross margin of 35.7%, operating margin of -9.5%, and free cash flow yield of 0.31%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.00, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.00x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Professional Services industry. β€” for specific product lines, customer segments, or revenue model details. The profile reports a market capitalization of $0.0B, which conflicts with the $45.8M figure in the market data section and should be treated with caution.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-28), BGSF Inc. (BGSF) reported $93.3M in annual revenue (up from $104.4M in FY2024, -10.6% YoY) and -$11.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($125.1M revenue, -$10.2M net income) through FY2025, BGSF scaled operating cash flow to $142.0K and free cash flow to $142.0K, backed by $57.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D- β€’ RQD 41/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 0.31% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.25 – $6.75 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -9.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Professional Services (Consumer Discretionary), BGSF carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 35.7%.

  • Key Question #1: Can BGSF sustain or expand its -9.5% operating margin and -24.2% ROIC against Professional Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $93.3M and free cash flow of $142.0K, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BGSF's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BGSF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BGSF Inc. (BGSF) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to BGSF Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BGSF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $3.99?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BGSF 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BGSF:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Price Action & Volume Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.00 (+17.9%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 12 of 20 with Altman Z 4 and debt reduced from $32.5M to $0.0M, giving the company room to rep

Here is why I am bullish on BGSF here at $4.24: The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 12 of 20 with Altman Z 4 and debt reduced from $32.5M to $0.0M, giving the company room to reposition its cash engine.. Compare BGSF's -9.5% operating margin and -24.2% ROIC against the rest of Professional Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $4.03 are getting bought.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@FadeTheHype Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Professional Services. If gross margin (35.7%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.31 (-21.9%)
Spot @ $4.24

ROIC of -24.2% and revenue falling from $125.1M to $93.3M show a cash engine still unable to earn back its invested capital.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short BGSF above $4.24. ROIC of -24.2% and revenue falling from $125.1M to $93.3M show a cash engine still unable to earn back its invested capital.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20) and FCF yield (0.31%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $6.75.

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