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Big Digital Energy Inc. (BGDE) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$3.10 -9.36% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.04

Big Digital Energy Inc. (BGDE) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 21/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $19.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BGDE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Big Digital Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: BGDE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $3.10 (-9.36% 1D, market cap $19.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, BGDE ranks #1088 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BGDE compare to PTIV and ORIO in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), BGDE carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, PTIV (Pineapple Financial Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $18.9M) and ORIO (Orion Digital Corp.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $20.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BGDE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BGDE leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGDE?
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Per BGDE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001218683), Big Digital Energy Inc. generated $39.8M in revenue (-32.9% YoY), -$23.7M in net income, and -$6.9M in free cash flow against $57.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.04 (-1.87%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (21/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510021
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.8% Base Target
$30 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE BGDE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BGDE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (21/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BGDE SCORES 21/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (38% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+5/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 34.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
29
Grade E$5.27-18.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
26
Grade E$4.28-6.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
24
Grade E$4.02-22.9% Next Q
Current
21
Grade E$3.10-11.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (29) → E (21)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BGDE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BGDE currently carries a cautious 21/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.48) and Max Pain ($3.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $30.45.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BGDE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BGDE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 21%NO 79%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BGDE)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BGDE.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BGDE)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BGDE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BGDE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.65%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $3.86H $3.86L $3.10C $3.10VOL 44.9K
RES: $4.88SUP: $1.32SMA50: $5.48SMA200: $5.37
$12.29$9.80$7.31$4.82$2.33RES $4.88SUP $1.32$3.102026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BGDE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BGDE Butterfly Map → + Track BGDE →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -32.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BGDE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BGDE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BGDE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BGDE)

Financials Rank #1088 of 1097 ⚔️ PTIV vs BGDE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BGDE vs. PTIV, ORIO, DRK, ARBK)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Big Digital Energy Inc. (BGDE) ranks #1088 by composite RQD confidence (21/100, grade E) and #1057 by equity capitalization ($19.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BGDE leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BGDE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. ORIO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with BGDE at 21/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BGDE ACTIVE
Big Digital Energy Inc.
E 21/100 — — -35.0% -9.36% $19.6M Benchmark Subject
PTIV
Pineapple Financial Inc.
E 30/100 — — -35.0% -2.96% $18.9M /ptiv-vs-bgde →
ORIO
Orion Digital Corp.
D 48/100 — — — +6.32% $20.5M /orio-vs-bgde →
DRK
DarkHorse Technologies Inc.
E 26/100 — — -35.0% -1.70% $18.6M /drk-vs-bgde →
ARBK
Argo Blockchain plc
D 45/100 — — — -3.23% $20.7M /arbk-vs-bgde →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001218683 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Big Digital Energy Inc. (BGDE) reported GAAP revenue of $39.8M (-32.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $59.3M , and -8.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$23.7M, operating cash flow of -$6.9M, and free cash flow of -$6.9M (-293.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, BGDE closed FY2025 with $57.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $39.8M -$23.7M -$6.9M -$6.9M $57.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $59.3M -$46.1M $3.6M $3.6M $61.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $43.6M -$60.4M -$2.5M -$2.5M — —

3. BGDE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BGDE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Big Digital Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: BGDE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $3.10 (-9.36% 1D, market cap $19.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, BGDE ranks #1088 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BGDE compare to PTIV and ORIO in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), BGDE carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, PTIV (Pineapple Financial Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $18.9M) and ORIO (Orion Digital Corp.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $20.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BGDE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BGDE leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BGDE?

Per BGDE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001218683), Big Digital Energy Inc. generated $39.8M in revenue (-32.9% YoY), -$23.7M in net income, and -$6.9M in free cash flow against $57.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BGDE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BGDE last traded at $3.10 (-9.36% on volume of 69,662 shares), positioning the stock -43.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.48) and -42.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.37). Across its 52-week range of $1.70 to $29.00, BGDE sits at the 5.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.71 to $3.49).

Direct Sub-Reports: BGDE RQD Cockpit BGDE 12M Forecast BGDE Earnings & Move BGDE Dividends & DRIP BGDE Insiders & 13F BGDE Whale Options BGDE Profit Sankey BGDE News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 21/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BGDE — Big Digital Energy Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Big Digital Energy Inc. (BGDE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 21/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $3.10 (-9.36% 1D, market capitalization $19.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -48.5%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Big Digital Energy Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry. The company reported revenue of $39.8M for FY 2025, indicating an operating business with a revenue base. Its market capitalization is listed as $22.1M in the market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Big Digital Energy Inc. (BGDE) reported $39.8M in annual revenue (up from $59.3M in FY2024, -32.9% YoY) and -$23.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($43.6M revenue, -$60.4M net income) through FY2025, BGDE scaled operating cash flow to -$6.9M and free cash flow to -$6.9M, backed by $57.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 21/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.70 – $29.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -48.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies are — Sector correlation data is — beyond the beta of 1.0 in the market data.

  • Key Question #1: Can BGDE sustain or expand its -48.5% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $39.8M and free cash flow of -$6.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BGDE's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BGDE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Big Digital Energy Inc. (BGDE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BGDE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BGDE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.10?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BGDE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BGDE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.41 (+28.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue of $39.8M in FY 2025 and a beta of 1.0 show an operating business with a sizeable revenue base and a macro-sensitivity profile

The street is overcomplicating Big Digital Energy Inc. (BGDE). Revenue of $39.8M in FY 2025 and a beta of 1.0 show an operating business with a sizeable revenue base and a macro-sensitivity profile the RQD scores at 6 / 20.. With an RQD score of 21/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $3.69.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — BGDE's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.63 (-23.1%)
Spot @ $3.42

ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of 0%, and operating losses of -$19.3M in FY 2025 indicate the business is not currently generating returns on

I respect the product at Big Digital Energy Inc., but the stock at $3.42 is a different story. ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of 0%, and operating losses of -$19.3M in FY 2025 indicate the business is not currently generating returns on capital.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 21/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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