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Why BCDA Stock surged +4.75% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$0.90 +4.75% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.91

BioCardia Inc. (BCDA) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $13.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BCDA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, BioCardia Inc. (NASDAQ: BCDA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $0.90 (+4.75% 1D, market cap $13.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, BCDA ranks #548 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BCDA compare to ATYR and ABOS in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), BCDA carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ATYR (aTyr Pharma Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $12.4M) and ABOS (Acumen Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $15.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCDA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BCDA leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCDA?
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Per BCDA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000925741), BioCardia Inc. generated $23.2M in revenue (+3.5% YoY), -$8.2M in net income, and -$7.4M in free cash flow against $3.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.91 (+0.67%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (5)SEC (10)Macro (9)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE BCDA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BCDA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BCDA SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 14% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$0.99+5.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$1.04-11.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$0.92-2.2% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$0.90-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BCDA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BCDA currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.04) and Max Pain ($0.95) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.89.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BCDA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BCDA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why BCDA Stock surged +4.75% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

BioCardia Inc. (BCDA) surged +4.75% to $0.90, trading at 14% of its 52-week range ($0.75 – $1.8). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 14% of its 52-week range ($0.75 – $1.8) with RSI-14 at 40 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.90 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live BCDA Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BCDA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BCDA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BCDA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.35%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $0.92H $0.92L $0.86C $0.90VOL 79.3K
RES: $1.49SUP: $0.86SMA50: $1.04SMA200: $1.07
$1.87$1.57$1.26$0.96$0.66RES $1.49SUP $0.86$0.902026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BCDA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BCDA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BCDA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BCDA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BCDA)

Health Care Rank #548 of 1015 ⚔️ ATYR vs BCDA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (BCDA vs. ATYR, ABOS, DYAI, PASG)

Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BioCardia Inc. (BCDA) ranks #548 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #863 by equity capitalization ($13.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCDA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BCDA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. ATYR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with BCDA at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BCDA ACTIVE
BioCardia Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -35.0% +4.75% $13.0M Benchmark Subject
ATYR
aTyr Pharma Inc.
D 46/100 — — -35.0% +27.33% $12.4M /atyr-vs-bcda →
ABOS
Acumen Pharmaceuticals Inc.
E 33/100 — — -35.0% +14.09% $15.2M /abos-vs-bcda →
DYAI
Dyadic International Inc.
E 31/100 — 24.9% -35.0% -1.10% $15.2M /dyai-vs-bcda →
PASG
Passage Bio Inc.
E 34/100 — — -35.0% -3.77% $11.1M /pasg-vs-bcda →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000925741 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BioCardia Inc. (BCDA) reported GAAP revenue of $23.2M (+3.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $22.4M , and -28.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$8.2M, operating cash flow of -$7.4M, and free cash flow of -$7.4M (+5.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, BCDA closed FY2025 with $3.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $23.2M -$8.2M -$7.4M -$7.4M $3.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $22.4M -$7.9M -$7.9M -$7.9M $3.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $32.6M -$11.6M -$10.0M -$10.0M — —

3. BCDA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BCDA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, BioCardia Inc. (NASDAQ: BCDA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $0.90 (+4.75% 1D, market cap $13.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, BCDA ranks #548 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BCDA compare to ATYR and ABOS in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), BCDA carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ATYR (aTyr Pharma Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $12.4M) and ABOS (Acumen Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $15.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCDA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BCDA leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCDA?

Per BCDA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000925741), BioCardia Inc. generated $23.2M in revenue (+3.5% YoY), -$8.2M in net income, and -$7.4M in free cash flow against $3.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BCDA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BCDA last traded at $0.90 (+4.75% on volume of 81,694 shares), positioning the stock -13.46% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.04) and -15.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.07). Across its 52-week range of $0.75 to $1.80, BCDA sits at the 14.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.01).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BCDA — BioCardia Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

BioCardia Inc. (BCDA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $0.90 (+4.75% 1D, market capitalization $13.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

BioCardia Inc. (BCDA) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) industry..

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), BioCardia Inc. (BCDA) reported $23.2M in annual revenue (up from $22.4M in FY2024, +3.5% YoY) and -$8.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($32.6M revenue, -$11.6M net income) through FY2025, BCDA scaled operating cash flow to -$7.4M and free cash flow to -$7.4M, backed by $3.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.75 – $1.80 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies are — Sector correlation data is — The main 2nd-order watch item an investor should track is the regulatory path: per the news wire, the FDA acceptance and procedural steps are the primary ripple channel, since clearance or delay would affect the company directly without any identified supply-chain transmission.

  • Key Question #1: Can BCDA sustain or expand its — operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $23.2M and free cash flow of -$7.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BCDA's equity valuation to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BCDA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BioCardia Inc. (BCDA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BCDA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BCDA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.90?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BCDA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BCDA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.10 (+27.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

FDA acceptance of the Helix Catheter pre-submission and a reported FDA view that the heart-failure trial may support approval could be

Picked up a starter position in BCDA in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $0.86. FDA acceptance of the Helix Catheter pre-submission and a reported FDA view that the heart-failure trial may support approval could be catalysts for the shares.. Trading inside a $0.75–$1.80 52-week range with 0.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) multiples expand this quarter.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $0.86 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Health Care.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.72 (-16.3%)
Spot @ $0.86

The company reports $0.0M revenue, -35% ROIC, an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, with cash of $2.5M against FY 2

Careful chasing BCDA at $0.86. The company reports $0.0M revenue, -35% ROIC, an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, with cash of $2.5M against FY 2025 free cash outflows of -$7.4M.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $0.72 on multiple compression.

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