Bicara Therapeutics Inc. (BCAX) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$9.13 -6.17% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.01

Bicara Therapeutics Inc. (BCAX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $643.9M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Bicara Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: BCAX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $9.13 (-6.17% 1D, market cap $643.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, BCAX ranks #842 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BCAX compare to OLMA and ABUS in the Health Care sector?
β–Ό

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), BCAX carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, OLMA (Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.8%, cap $641.4M) and ABUS (Arbutus Biopharma Corporation) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $656.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCAX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LXRX leads on capital efficiency (-31.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCAX?
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Per BCAX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002023658), Bicara Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$137.9M in net income, and -$107.1M in free cash flow against $431.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.01 (-1.30%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510030
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (4)SEC (10)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target
$33 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE BCAX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BCAX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY BCAX SCORES 30/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 2/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$17.33+0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$17.47-3.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
33
Grade E$16.89-45.9% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$9.13-9.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (38) β†’ E (30)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BCAX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While BCAX currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.46) and Max Pain ($9.59) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $32.54.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BCAXβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œBCAX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BCAX)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of BCAX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BCAX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -59.82%β–Ό SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $9.76H $9.76L $9.13C $9.13VOL 3.20M
RES: $17.30SUP: $12.97SMA50: $19.46SMA200: $21.17
$32.57$26.01$19.45$12.89$6.32RES $17.30SUP $12.97$9.132026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BCAX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BCAX today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BCAX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BCAX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BCAX)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (BCAX vs. OLMA, ABUS, LXRX, IMMX)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bicara Therapeutics Inc. (BCAX) ranks #842 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #413 by equity capitalization ($643.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCAX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LXRX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -31.5% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. OLMA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 31/100 (E) compared with BCAX at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BCAX ACTIVE
Bicara Therapeutics Inc.
E 30/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -6.17% $643.9M Benchmark Subject
OLMA
Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc.
E 31/100 β€” β€” -32.8% -4.50% $641.4M /olma-vs-bcax β†’
ABUS
Arbutus Biopharma Corporation
E 18/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -1.64% $656.0M /abus-vs-bcax β†’
LXRX
Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc.
E 27/100 β€” 96.0% -31.5% -4.05% $658.5M /lxrx-vs-bcax β†’
IMMX
Immix Biopharma Inc.
E 29/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -3.76% $661.6M /immx-vs-bcax β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0002023658

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bicara Therapeutics Inc. (BCAX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$137.9M, operating cash flow of -$106.8M, and free cash flow of -$107.1M (-43.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, BCAX closed FY2025 with $431.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$137.9M -$106.8M -$107.1M $431.0M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$68.0M -$74.8M -$74.8M $510.0M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$52.0M -$45.6M -$45.6M β€” β€”

3. BCAX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BCAX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Bicara Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: BCAX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $9.13 (-6.17% 1D, market cap $643.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, BCAX ranks #842 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BCAX compare to OLMA and ABUS in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), BCAX carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, OLMA (Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.8%, cap $641.4M) and ABUS (Arbutus Biopharma Corporation) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $656.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCAX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LXRX leads on capital efficiency (-31.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCAX?

Per BCAX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002023658), Bicara Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$137.9M in net income, and -$107.1M in free cash flow against $431.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BCAX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BCAX last traded at $9.13 (-6.17% on volume of 4,196,028 shares), positioning the stock -53.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.46) and -56.87% below its 200-day simple moving average ($21.17). Across its 52-week range of $8.36 to $30.99, BCAX sits at the 3.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 21.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($7.99 to $10.27).

BCAX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does BCAX pay a dividend and is it safe?

Bicara Therapeutics Inc. (BCAX) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 30/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BCAX β€” Bicara Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:34:14Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, BCAX scores 30 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -16.64%), Whale 13F Flow at 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 5/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillars are Insider Conviction and Whale Flow, while the Balance Sheet pillar scores highest but still only halfway. For a prospective investor, the cash engine metrics are the central concern: negative ROIC and negative FCF yield indicate the business is consuming capital rather than generating it, so any upside case depends on future value not yet visible in reported results. The valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a price of 9.73 with no earnings-based multiple available in source data to anchor it. Upside drivers would need to come from catalysts outside current cash generation, and the rating frames that as elevated risk rather than a reason to act.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-155.6M$-137.9MN/A$-107.1M$96.7MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-82.4M$-68.0MN/A$-74.8M$489.7MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-39.9M$-52.0MN/A$-45.6MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating losses widened from $-39.9M in FY 2023 to $-155.6M in FY 2025, and reported cash fell from $489.7M in FY 2024 to $96.7M in FY 2025. Gross, operating, and net margins are each listed as 0%, and ROIC is -35% per the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Debt is not reported in the financial periods provided.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the catalysts include a Yahoo Finance piece titled "Bicara Therapeutics (BCAX) Stock May Look Overvalued On Book Value" (YELLOW), a TradingView stock page (YELLOW), and a Goldman Sachs downgrade to sell reported by Investing.com (RED, flagged RISK WATCH). Wedbush's buy rating (YELLOW) and a BMO Capital buy rating with a $35 target (YELLOW) are also reported. A Yahoo Finance item covers inducement grants under Nasdaq Listing Rule 5635(c)(4) (YELLOW). The news feed contains mixed analyst signals, with one sell-side downgrade flagged as risk and two buy ratings. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals or supply-chain links are present.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE and there are no butterfly links. Upstream and downstream dependencies are not available in source data. Sector correlations are not available in source data beyond the stated beta of 1.0. A prospective investor should watch for any disclosure of partners, licensors, or manufacturing dependencies, none of which appear in the provided data.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's products, pipeline stage, and revenue model, given reported revenue of $0.0M in every period?
  • What caused the cash balance to decline from $489.7M to $96.7M between FY 2024 and FY 2025, and what is the remaining runway at the FY 2025 FCF burn rate of $-107.1M?
  • What is the current debt position, since the debt field is N/A across all periods?
  • What drove the Goldman Sachs downgrade and what is the basis for the differing buy ratings from Wedbush and BMO Capital?
  • What are the terms and scale of the inducement grants disclosed under Nasdaq Listing Rule 5635(c)(4)?

BCAX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Bicara Therapeutics Inc. (BCAX) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to BCAX Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BCAX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $9.13?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BCAX 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BCAX:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.56 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BCAX (E β€’ RQD 30/100) a Buy at $9.73?

Welcome to the BCAX (Bicara Therapeutics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 30/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.08 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $9.73

Pump the brakes on BCAX β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BCAX, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Bicara Therapeutics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.19 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $9.73

BCAX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BCAX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.73 (52-wk range $8.36 - $30.99), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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