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Stock Ratings / Real Estate / AXR / options
IRS (47) JOE (76) BXBL (44) SPHL (35) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

AMREP Corporation (AXR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$20.87 -1.14% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.79

AMREP Corporation (AXR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $111.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AXR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AXR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, AMREP Corporation (NYSE: AXR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $20.87 (-1.14% 1D, market cap $111.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, AXR ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AXR compare to IRS and JOE in the Real Estate sector?
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Within the Real Estate sector (Homebuilding), AXR carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, IRS (IRSA Inversiones Y Representaciones S.A. Global )) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.21B) and JOE (St. Joe Company) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 35.1x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $3.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AXR leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while JOE leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AXR?
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Per AXR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0000006207), AMREP Corporation generated $52.8M in revenue (+6.3% YoY), $10.4M in net income, and $12.8M in free cash flow against $143.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.79 (-0.40%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 24.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (17)Whales (6)SEC (16)Macro (10)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$30 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE AXR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AXR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AXR SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 24.2% FCF Margin ($12.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 16.45 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$20.40-1.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$20.12+4.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$20.99-0.6% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$20.87+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AXR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, AXR faces multiple-compression risk if 10.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($21.82) or 200D SMA ($24.29) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.53) toward Bear Floor ($16.79).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AXR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AXR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±7.1%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AXR)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for AXR.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating AXR & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on AXR
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
AXR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.44%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $21.11H $21.11L $20.87C $20.87VOL 3.6K
RES: $21.79SUP: $19.05SMA50: $21.82SMA200: $24.29
$29.68$26.91$24.14$21.37$18.60RES $21.79SUP $19.05$20.872026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AXR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AXR Butterfly Map → + Track AXR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
0.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AXR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AXR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AXR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AXR)

Real Estate Rank #10 of 51 ⚔️ IRS vs AXR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (AXR vs. IRS, JOE, BXBL, SPHL)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AMREP Corporation (AXR) ranks #10 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #24 by equity capitalization ($111.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AXR leads on earnings valuation at 10.8x trailing P/E, while JOE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.1% ROIC and 43.1% gross margin. JOE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with AXR at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AXR ACTIVE
AMREP Corporation
C 65/100 10.8x — 11.0% -1.14% $111.1M Benchmark Subject
IRS
IRSA Inversiones Y Representaciones S.A. Global )
D 47/100 — — — -2.99% $1.21B /irs-vs-axr →
JOE
St. Joe Company
B+ 76/100 35.1x 43.1% 18.1% -2.48% $3.96B /joe-vs-axr →
BXBL
BOXABL Inc.
D 44/100 46.1x — -23.4% +3.68% $68.2M /bxbl-vs-axr →
SPHL
Springview Holdings Ltd (Class A)
D- 35/100 — 13.7% -27.0% -4.94% $28.3M /sphl-vs-axr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-04-30 • CIK 0000006207

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30), AMREP Corporation (AXR) reported GAAP revenue of $52.8M (+6.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $49.7M , and +2.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $10.4M, operating cash flow of $12.9M, and free cash flow of $12.8M (+32.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, AXR closed FY2025 with $143.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 16.45, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-04-30 $52.8M $10.4M $12.9M $12.8M $143.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-04-30 $49.7M $12.7M $10.2M $9.7M $128.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-04-30 $51.4M $6.7M $10.7M $10.7M — —

3. AXR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AXR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, AMREP Corporation (NYSE: AXR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $20.87 (-1.14% 1D, market cap $111.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, AXR ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AXR compare to IRS and JOE in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Homebuilding), AXR carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, IRS (IRSA Inversiones Y Representaciones S.A. Global )) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.21B) and JOE (St. Joe Company) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 35.1x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $3.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AXR leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while JOE leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AXR?

Per AXR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0000006207), AMREP Corporation generated $52.8M in revenue (+6.3% YoY), $10.4M in net income, and $12.8M in free cash flow against $143.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AXR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AXR last traded at $20.87 (-1.14% on volume of 3,593 shares), positioning the stock -4.35% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.82) and -14.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($24.29). Across its 52-week range of $17.61 to $29.01, AXR sits at the 28.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($19.39 to $22.35).

AXR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AXR's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for AXR.

Direct Sub-Reports: AXR RQD Cockpit AXR 12M Forecast AXR Earnings & Move AXR Dividends & DRIP AXR Insiders & 13F AXR Whale Options AXR Profit Sankey AXR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AXR — AMREP Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:43:37Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AXR scores 65 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 (ROIC 11%; FCF yield 11.37%), which is the strongest contributor and suggests the business generates meaningful cash relative to its market value. Whale 13F Flow scores 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), the weakest pillar, indicating limited evidence of institutional conviction. Insider Conviction scores 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), a supportive signal. Macro Regime Fit scores 10/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), a middling reading that reflects market-level exposure without a clear tailwind. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 16/20 (Altman Z 16.45; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.5), indicating a financially sound profile by the cited measures. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on cash generation and balance-sheet strength; the valuation tradeoff is that the low institutional-flow score tempers conviction, and the verdict itself is a balanced hold rather than a strong signal in either direction.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
21.11$112.4M10.81051.950%1.0$17.61 - $29.0111%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$52.8M$12.4M$10.4MN/A$12.8M$50.0MN/A
FY 2024$49.7M$12.1M$12.7MN/A$9.7M$36.9MN/A
FY 2023$51.4M$7.6M$6.7MN/A$10.7MN/AN/A

Per the market data, operating margin is 23.4%, net margin is 19.7%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 11%. Per the RQD pillars, the Altman Z-Score is 16.45 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Cash rose from $36.9M in FY 2024 to $50.0M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials, while FY 2025 net income was lower than FY 2024 ($10.4M versus $12.7M).

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six headlines reference AXR. Yahoo Finance and other outlets published comparative and market-action pieces covering institutional positioning and fundamental catalysts (headline-level only; underlying article content is Not available in source data). One item, a report on a price gain to $21.32, is flagged as a catalyst, and one item reports that Wall Street Zen upgraded AMREP to Sell amid weak results, flagged as a catalyst. The feed's own tagging marks the bulk of items as market wire. Risk watch items per the news feed include the cited Sell rating and the reference to weak results. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What specific products and customers generate AMREP's revenue, and what drove the FY 2025 net income decline versus FY 2024?
  • Why is the FY 2025 EPS, debt, and FY 2023 cash figure absent from the filings, and how would those change the Piotroski and balance-sheet read?
  • What is the basis for the reported Sell upgrade, and what "weak results" does it reference?
  • What institutional and insider activity sits behind the Whale 13F and Insider Conviction pillar scores?
  • Does the 11.37% FCF yield hold up against the cited ROIC and cash balance trend over multiple years?

AXR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AMREP Corporation (AXR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AXR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AXR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.87?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AXR 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AXR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $22.80 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AXR (C • RQD 65/100) a Buy at $21.11?

Welcome to the AXR (AMREP Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Homebuilding. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.47 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $21.11

Pump the brakes on AXR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AXR, but look at what you are paying: 10.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless AMREP Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.33 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $21.11

AXR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AXR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Homebuilding and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $21.11 (52-wk range $17.61 - $29.01), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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