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Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$187.01 +2.63% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $188.34

Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (29% profit margin, 17% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $13.81B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AVY Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AVY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Avery Dennison Corporation (NYSE: AVY) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $187.01 (+2.63% 1D, market cap $13.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AVY ranks #74 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AVY compare to WMS and SW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), AVY carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.1x, gross margin of 28.8%, and ROIC of 17.4%. By comparison, WMS (Advanced Drainage Systems Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 24.0x, ROIC 22.3%, cap $10.21B) and SW (Smurfit WestRock plc) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 31.9x, ROIC 4.7%, cap $22.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KMB leads on earnings multiple (18.1x) while KMB leads on capital efficiency (43.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVY?
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Per AVY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000008818), Avery Dennison Corporation generated $8.86B in revenue (+1.1% YoY), $688.0M in net income, and $712.4M in free cash flow against $8.80B in total assets and $2.06B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (29% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $188.34 (+0.71%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510074
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C+
Cash (16)Whales (15)SEC (14)Macro (13)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
$237 Bull$200 Base$153 Bear
📬 FREE AVY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AVY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AVY SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8% FCF Margin ($712.4M FCF) & 28.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.5) create a -7 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$171.84+4.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$179.04+0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$180.70+3.5% Next Q
Current
74
Grade B$187.01+7.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AVY Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, AVY faces multiple-compression risk if 20.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 26.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($174.13) or 200D SMA ($171.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($200.47) toward Bear Floor ($153.35).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AVY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AVY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
3.89% Total Yield
2.09% Cash ($3.91/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
26.3% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (7.4% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $20,419

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $794/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.5K
Yr 2
$12.4K
Yr 3
$13.3K
Yr 4
$14.3K
Yr 5
$15.3K
Yr 6
$16.5K
Yr 7
$17.7K
Yr 8
$19.0K
Yr 9
$20.4K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in AVY & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on AVY and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
AVY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.55%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $182.1H $187.0L $182.1C $187.0VOL 932.0K
RES: $185.7SUP: $167.4SMA50: $174.1SMA200: $171.9
$190.4$180.1$169.8$159.5$149.2RES $185.7SUP $167.4$187.02026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AVY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
13.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AVY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AVY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AVY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AVY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #74 of 1011 ⚔️ WMS vs AVY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AVY vs. WMS, SW, PKG, KMB)

Industry: Containers/Packaging (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) ranks #74 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #134 by equity capitalization ($13.81B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KMB leads on earnings valuation at 18.1x trailing P/E, while KMB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 43.6% ROIC and 36.0% gross margin. PKG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with AVY at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AVY ACTIVE
Avery Dennison Corporation
B 74/100 20.1x 28.8% 17.4% +2.63% $13.81B Benchmark Subject
WMS
Advanced Drainage Systems Inc.
B- 71/100 24.0x 38.3% 22.3% +2.63% $10.21B /wms-vs-avy →
SW
Smurfit WestRock plc
D+ 56/100 31.9x 19.4% 4.7% +0.72% $22.60B /sw-vs-avy →
PKG
Packaging Corporation of America
B 75/100 29.3x 21.0% 10.9% +0.71% $22.88B /pkg-vs-avy →
KMB
Kimberly-Clark Corporation
B 72/100 18.1x 36.0% 43.6% +0.29% $35.90B /kmb-vs-avy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000008818

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) reported GAAP revenue of $8.86B (+1.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.76B , and +5.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $688.0M, operating cash flow of $881.4M, and free cash flow of $712.4M (-2.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, AVY closed FY2025 with $8.80B in total assets against $2.06B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.22, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $8.86B $688.0M $881.4M $712.4M $8.80B $2.06B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $8.76B $704.9M $938.8M $730.0M $8.40B $1.97B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $8.36B $503.0M $826.0M $449.6M $10.04B $2.35B

3. AVY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AVY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Avery Dennison Corporation (NYSE: AVY) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $187.01 (+2.63% 1D, market cap $13.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AVY ranks #74 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AVY compare to WMS and SW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), AVY carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.1x, gross margin of 28.8%, and ROIC of 17.4%. By comparison, WMS (Advanced Drainage Systems Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 24.0x, ROIC 22.3%, cap $10.21B) and SW (Smurfit WestRock plc) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 31.9x, ROIC 4.7%, cap $22.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KMB leads on earnings multiple (18.1x) while KMB leads on capital efficiency (43.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVY?

Per AVY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000008818), Avery Dennison Corporation generated $8.86B in revenue (+1.1% YoY), $688.0M in net income, and $712.4M in free cash flow against $8.80B in total assets and $2.06B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (29% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AVY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AVY last traded at $187.01 (+2.63% on volume of 951,797 shares), positioning the stock +7.40% above its 50-day simple moving average ($174.13) and +8.78% above its 200-day simple moving average ($171.91). Across its 52-week range of $152.42 to $199.54, AVY sits at the 73.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.1% ($179.34 to $194.68).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 74/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AVY — Avery Dennison Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 74/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $187.01 (+2.63% 1D, market capitalization $13.81B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 17.4%, gross margin of 28.8%, operating margin of 9.5%, and free cash flow yield of 5.16%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 0.94x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.22, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.79x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Avery Dennison Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Containers/Packaging industry,. Per the financials, the company reported FY 2025 revenue of $8.86B, and per the market data its gross margin is 28.8%, operating margin 9.5%, and net margin 7.8%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) reported $8.86B in annual revenue (up from $8.76B in FY2024, +1.1% YoY) and $688.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($8.36B revenue, $503.0M net income) through FY2025, AVY scaled operating cash flow to $881.4M and free cash flow to $712.4M, backed by $8.80B in total assets against $2.06B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 74/100): Strong cash generator (29% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $152.42 – $199.54 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 20.1x trailing P/E and 15.6x EV/EBITDA against 9.5% operating margins and a 0.94x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists the supply chain as NONE, with an empty set of butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations therefore cannot be mapped from the source. The one related observation in the news feed is the customer-stockpiling headline, which suggests customer order timing as a possible second-order variable, but the source does not connect it to any named counterparty.

  • Key Question #1: Can AVY sustain or expand its 9.5% operating margin and 17.4% ROIC against Containers/Packaging peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $8.86B and free cash flow of $712.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.06B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AVY's 18.7x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.94x)?

AVY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AVY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AVY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $187.01?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AVY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AVY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $220.49 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, the 17.4% ROIC and 5.16% FCF yield support a Fundamental Cash Engine score of 16 out of 20.

Per the RQD rating, the 17.4% ROIC and 5.16% FCF yield support a Fundamental Cash Engine score of 16 out of 20.. When you look under the hood at AVY, Fundamental Cash Engine is 16/20 with 28.8% gross margins and 17.4% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (15/20) has been quietly accumulating below $199.54. My 12M target is $220.49.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 15/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $182.22 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $136.66 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $182.22

Per the news feed, a headline questions whether the earnings discount is justified after customers stop stockpiling, a demand-timing ri

Careful chasing AVY at $182.22. Per the news feed, a headline questions whether the earnings discount is justified after customers stop stockpiling, a demand-timing risk the source does not quantify.. Gross margin is 28.8%, but operating margin is 9.5%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $136.66 on multiple compression.

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