Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AUR scores 37 out of 100, earning a D- and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars:

• Fundamental Cash Engine (9 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of -6.88%. The earnings engine is currently consuming cash rather than generating it, which weighs heavily on the score.
• Whale 13F Flow (5 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning are scored weakly. The source data does not provide the underlying 13F holdings, so the drivers of this score cannot be independently traced in this dossier.
• Insider Conviction (5 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow are scored weakly. No insider transaction detail is supplied in the source data.
• Macro Regime Fit (4 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta of 1.22 and sector sensitivity place this pillar among the lowest. Per the Market Data section, beta is 1.22, meaning the stock has historically been more volatile than the broader market, which amplifies drawdowns in risk-off regimes.
• Forensic Balance Sheet (14 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 22.56, Piotroski F is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.04. This is the strongest pillar, indicating the balance sheet is comparatively less stressed than the cash-flow and flow pillars.

For a prospective investor, the investment implication is an asymmetric profile: the low leverage and strong Altman Z provide some downside cushion against solvency concerns, but the negative ROIC, negative FCF yield, and weak flow and macro scores point to a stock that has not yet shown a self-funding operating model. Valuation tradeoffs are notable: the forward P/E of 28 is provided, while trailing P/E is not available, and EPS (TTM) is -0.4, so the forward multiple rests on earnings expectations not detailed in the source data. The upside case depends on the company reaching cash generation; the downside case is continued cash burn and sensitivity to sector and market swings.

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating losses in each of the three periods, with operating income of $-901.0M in FY 2025. Per the Market Data section, gross margin is -30%, operating margin -60%, and net margin -60%, with ROIC of -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 22.56 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9. Per the SEC financials, debt declined from $1145.4M in FY 2023 to $91.3M in FY 2025, while reported cash rose from $211.0M to $221.0M over FY 2024–FY 2025.

• Risk Watch: A headline reports that "Preproduction Bottlenecks" delayed the driverless truck ramp by six weeks, with the stock down 12% on that report (per the news wire, RISK WATCH flag).
• Mixed Analyst Signal: A MarketBeat item reports that Zacks Research moved the stock down to Strong Sell (YELLOW flag).
• Catalyst: A Stocktwits item asks why the stock is soaring today, flagged as a GREEN catalyst; the body of that report is not available in source data.
• Regulatory: A Yahoo Finance headline references "Regulatory Progress," while also characterizing the stock as overvalued (YELLOW flag).
• Additional YELLOW market-wire items from Seeking Alpha and StockInvest.us cover the company's technology maturity and forecast outlook.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

• What is the company's product and customer base, and what drives the $3.0M FY 2025 revenue figure?
• What is the P/E (TTM) and EV/EBITDA, which are both Not available in source data, and how does the forward P/E of 28 reconcile with negative EPS?
• What is the cash runway, given operating and FCF losses of roughly $-612.0M to $-901.0M per year against $221.0M of reported cash?
• What institutional (13F) and insider (Form 4) positioning sits behind the weak flow and insider pillar scores?
• What is the nature of the "Preproduction Bottlenecks" delay and of the regulatory progress referenced in the news wire?