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Stock Ratings / Materials / AU / forecast
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AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$79.79 -6.22% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.75

AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $43.03B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AU Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, AngloGold Ashanti PLC (NYSE: AU) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $79.79 (-6.22% 1D, market cap $43.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, AU ranks #63 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AU compare to FNV and WPM in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), AU carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, FNV (Franco-Nevada Corporation) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $44.67B) and WPM (Wheaton Precious Metals Corp (Canada)) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $55.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AU leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while AU leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AU?
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For AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #63 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.74 (-1.31%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (11)Whales (6)SEC (16)Macro (9)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$136 Bull$78 Base$61 Bear
📬 FREE AU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AU SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$91.65-0.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$90.83-4.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
57
Grade C$86.73-8% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$79.79-0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (62) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AU Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AU currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($97.69) and Max Pain ($83.78) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $135.60.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AU Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $79.79: 125.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $61.11
$7,659
$-2,341 (-23.4%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $78.35
$9,820
$-180 (-1.8%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $135.60
$16,995
+$6,995 (+69.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$8174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$12769%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$7058%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AU)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AU's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
AU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.02%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $87.25H $87.25L $79.79C $79.79VOL 2.16M
RES: $131.0SUP: $78.35SMA50: $97.69SMA200: $96.68
$126.9$112.4$97.90$83.40$68.90RES $131.0SUP $78.35$79.792026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AU Butterfly Map → + Track AU →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AU)

Materials Rank #63 of 270 ⚔️ FNV vs AU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (AU vs. FNV, WPM, GFI, B)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) ranks #63 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #14 by equity capitalization ($43.03B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AU leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while AU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. B currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with AU at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AU ACTIVE
AngloGold Ashanti PLC
D+ 54/100 32.8x — 9.9% -6.22% $43.03B Benchmark Subject
FNV
Franco-Nevada Corporation
D+ 55/100 32.8x — 9.9% -2.87% $44.67B /fnv-vs-au →
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp (Canada)
D+ 55/100 32.8x — 9.9% -5.42% $55.98B /wpm-vs-au →
GFI
Gold Fields Limited
D+ 54/100 32.8x — 9.9% -6.26% $31.43B /gfi-vs-au →
B
Barrick Mining Corporation
D+ 56/100 32.8x — 9.9% -4.29% $63.65B /b-vs-au →

2. AU Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $43.03B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. AU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, AngloGold Ashanti PLC (NYSE: AU) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $79.79 (-6.22% 1D, market cap $43.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, AU ranks #63 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AU compare to FNV and WPM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), AU carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, FNV (Franco-Nevada Corporation) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $44.67B) and WPM (Wheaton Precious Metals Corp (Canada)) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $55.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AU leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while AU leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AU?

For AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #63 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AU last traded at $79.79 (-6.22% on volume of 3,272,881 shares), positioning the stock -18.32% below its 50-day simple moving average ($97.69) and -17.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($96.68). Across its 52-week range of $63.29 to $129.14, AU sits at the 25.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($74.84 to $84.74).

AU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AU's 12-month stock price target?

AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $78.35 (-1.8% from $79.79), with a bull-case target of $135.6 and a bear-case floor of $61.11.

Is AU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates AU D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 54/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: AU RQD Cockpit AU 12M Forecast AU Earnings & Move AU Dividends & DRIP AU Insiders & 13F AU Whale Options AU Profit Sankey AU News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 54/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AU — AngloGold Ashanti PLC: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:08:53Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AU carries an RQD Score of 54 and a letter grade of D+, labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 11 / 20 (ROIC 9.9%; FCF yield 2.21%), indicating modest capital efficiency and thin free-cash-flow generation relative to the share price. Whale 13F Flow scores 6 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), the weakest pillar and a signal that institutional conviction is not currently a tailwind. Insider Conviction scores 12 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), a middling reading. Macro Regime Fit scores 9 / 20 (Beta 1.14; sector sensitivity), suggesting above-market sensitivity to the broader tape. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 16 / 20 (Altman Z 3.74; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.39), the strongest pillar and the main offset to the weaker cash and flow readings.

For a prospective investor, the implication is a tradeoff: the balance sheet supports durability, but the valuation (P/E TTM 32.8; EV/EBITDA 21) and the low FCF yield (2.21%) leave limited margin for error if cash generation or sector sentiment disappoints. Upside drivers would be sustained operating-margin strength (13.9%) and a re-rating of cash conversion; the rating itself frames the stock as one to weigh for trimming rather than adding on current fundamentals. This is an educational read of the scores, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
85.08$43.03B32.830.5212.590%1.14$63.29 - $129.149.9%

Business

AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector and Precious Metals industry, per the Profile section. Market capitalization is $43.0B. Per the market data, the company reports an operating margin of 13.9% and a net margin of 10.9%. Not available in source data: specific products sold, customer base, and the detailed mechanics of how the company generates revenue.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per <recent_news_and_catalysts>, five items are listed, all related to AU:

  • Market wire (YELLOW): Yahoo! Finance Canada stock-price and quote coverage.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): StockInvest.us price-forecast coverage asking whether to buy AU.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): ChartMill coverage describing AU as a decent value stock "with caveats."
  • Catalyst (GREEN): Yahoo Finance coverage noting the stock dipping while the market gained.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): Seeking Alpha coverage framing AU as a free-cash-flow dividend at roughly 12x earnings.
  • Risk watch (RED): GuruFocus coverage reporting shares falling 3.1%, with a GF Score of 85 referenced.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is "NONE," there are no butterfly links, and no proprietary signals. The news summaries are generic descriptions and do not specify underlying fundamental events; the sole green item is a market-action headline rather than a company-specific operational catalyst.

Open Questions

  • What drives the gross margin reported as 0%, and how does it reconcile with the positive operating and net margins?
  • What are the period-level revenue, operating income, net income, and free-cash-flow figures underlying the ROIC and FCF yield?
  • Which specific holders and insiders drove the 13F and Form 4 readings behind the Whale and Insider pillars?
  • What upstream inputs, commodity exposures, or sector correlations shape AU's earnings sensitivity?
  • What analyst consensus and price-target range exists against the current $85.08 price?

AU Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AU Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AU Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $79.79?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AU 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AU:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $91.89 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AU (D+ • RQD 54/100) a Buy at $85.08?

Welcome to the AU (AngloGold Ashanti PLC) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 54/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $65.51 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $85.08

Pump the brakes on AU — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AU, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless AngloGold Ashanti PLC expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $102.95 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $85.08

AU cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AU, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $85.08 (52-wk range $63.29 - $129.14), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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