FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts

AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$36.33 -11.32% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.52

AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $15.94B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ASTS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ASTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, AST SpaceMobile Inc. (NASDAQ: ASTS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $36.33 (-11.32% 1D, market cap $15.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ASTS ranks #798 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ASTS compare to WCC and GSAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), ASTS carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -14.6%. By comparison, WCC (WESCO International Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 27.9x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $16.70B) and GSAT (Globalstar Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $10.66B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WCC leads on earnings multiple (27.9x) while WCC leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASTS?
▼

Per ASTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001780312), AST SpaceMobile Inc. generated $1.13B in revenue (+8071.9% YoY), -$341.9M in net income, and -$1.14B in free cash flow against $5.01B in total assets and $2.21B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.52 (-2.23%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (6)Whales (6)SEC (14)Macro (3)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target
$141 Bull$32 Base$25 Bear
📬 FREE ASTS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ASTS SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (41% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.82 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (18% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (37.6) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$42.14-2.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$40.90+3.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$42.30-14.1% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$36.33-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ASTS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ASTS currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($53.70) and Max Pain ($38.15) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $140.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASTS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ASTS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (15.1% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $40,809

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $245/yr
$11.5K
Yr 1
$13.2K
Yr 2
$15.2K
Yr 3
$17.6K
Yr 4
$20.2K
Yr 5
$23.3K
Yr 6
$26.8K
Yr 7
$30.8K
Yr 8
$35.5K
Yr 9
$40.8K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASTS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ASTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ASTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -46.91%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $43.07H $43.07L $36.33C $36.33VOL 13.71M
RES: $57.90SUP: $32.62SMA50: $53.70SMA200: $76.49
$140.7$112.4$84.12$55.84$27.55RES $57.90SUP $32.62$36.332026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
22.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8071.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASTS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASTS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #798 of 1009 ⚔️ WCC vs ASTS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ASTS vs. WCC, GSAT, VSAT, ECHO)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) ranks #798 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #117 by equity capitalization ($15.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WCC leads on earnings valuation at 27.9x trailing P/E, while WCC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.1% ROIC and 21.1% gross margin. GSAT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with ASTS at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ASTS ACTIVE
AST SpaceMobile Inc.
E 34/100 — — -14.6% -11.32% $15.94B Benchmark Subject
WCC
WESCO International Inc.
D 48/100 27.9x 21.1% 11.1% -2.20% $16.70B /wcc-vs-asts →
GSAT
Globalstar Inc.
C- 61/100 — — 0.7% +0.78% $10.66B /gsat-vs-asts →
VSAT
ViaSat Inc.
C- 60/100 — — 1.1% -3.78% $10.61B /vsat-vs-asts →
ECHO
EchoStar Corporation
E 22/100 — — -35.0% +1.33% $28.19B /echo-vs-asts →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001780312 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.13B (+8071.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $13.8M , and +290.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$341.9M, operating cash flow of -$71.5M, and free cash flow of -$1.14B (-278.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASTS closed FY2025 with $5.01B in total assets against $2.21B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.82, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.13B -$341.9M -$71.5M -$1.14B $5.01B $2.21B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $13.8M -$300.1M -$126.1M -$300.3M $954.6M $155.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $289.3M -$87.6M -$148.9M -$148.9M $9.22B $2.16B

3. ASTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, AST SpaceMobile Inc. (NASDAQ: ASTS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $36.33 (-11.32% 1D, market cap $15.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ASTS ranks #798 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASTS compare to WCC and GSAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), ASTS carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -14.6%. By comparison, WCC (WESCO International Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 27.9x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $16.70B) and GSAT (Globalstar Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.7%, cap $10.66B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WCC leads on earnings multiple (27.9x) while WCC leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASTS?

Per ASTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001780312), AST SpaceMobile Inc. generated $1.13B in revenue (+8071.9% YoY), -$341.9M in net income, and -$1.14B in free cash flow against $5.01B in total assets and $2.21B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASTS last traded at $36.33 (-11.32% on volume of 17,771,226 shares), positioning the stock -32.35% below its 50-day simple moving average ($53.70) and -52.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($76.49). Across its 52-week range of $36.72 to $133.86, ASTS sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($31.79 to $40.87).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ASTS — AST SpaceMobile Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 34/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $36.33 (-11.32% 1D, market capitalization $15.94B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -14.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -8.9%, and free cash flow yield of -6.78%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 0.99x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.82, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.92x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Telecommunications Equipment industry. The profile does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) reported $1.13B in annual revenue (up from $13.8M in FY2024, +8071.9% YoY) and -$341.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($289.3M revenue, -$87.6M net income) through FY2025, ASTS scaled operating cash flow to -$71.5M and free cash flow to -$1.14B, backed by $5.01B in total assets against $2.21B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 34/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -6.78% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $36.72 – $133.86 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -8.9% operating margins and a 0.99x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies are recorded (supply_chain: NONE; butterfly_links: empty). Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the source.

  • Key Question #1: Can ASTS sustain or expand its -8.9% operating margin and -14.6% ROIC against Telecommunications Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.13B and free cash flow of -$1.14B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.21B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ASTS's 29.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.99x)?

ASTS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ASTS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ASTS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $36.33?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ASTS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ASTS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $51.21 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The balance sheet carries an Altman Z-Score of 4.82 and $2.34B in FY 2025 cash against $2.21B in debt, the strongest pillar in the

Don't sleep on ASTS's setup in Consumer Discretionary. The balance sheet carries an Altman Z-Score of 4.82 and $2.34B in FY 2025 cash against $2.21B in debt, the strongest pillar in the RQD rating at 14 of 20.. Beta of 0.99 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (34/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 6/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $40.97 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $34.01 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $40.97

ROIC of -14.6%, FCF yield of -6.78%, and FY 2025 revenue of $0.0M with net income of -$341.9M show no current cash-generating operation

Fading this rally in ASTS at $40.97. ROIC of -14.6%, FCF yield of -6.78%, and FY 2025 revenue of $0.0M with net income of -$341.9M show no current cash-generating operations.. With a beta of 0.99 and the stock sitting at $40.97 (52-wk range $36.72–$133.86), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%