Does ASLE pay a dividend and is it safe?

AerSale Corporation (ASLE) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ASLE / dividends

HDSN (30) VIRC (42) ADSE (48) WBX (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

AerSale Corporation (ASLE) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$4.86 +0.62% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.86

AerSale Corporation (ASLE) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $230.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ASLE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ASLE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, AerSale Corporation (NASDAQ: ASLE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $4.86 (+0.62% 1D, market cap $230.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ASLE ranks #877 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ASLE compare to HDSN and VIRC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), ASLE carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.1x, gross margin of 31.5%, and ROIC of 2.3%. By comparison, HDSN (Hudson Technologies Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E 11.2x, ROIC 7.2%, cap $181.4M) and VIRC (Virco Manufacturing Corporation) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 38.2x, ROIC 3.0%, cap $97.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HDSN leads on earnings multiple (11.2x) while HDSN leads on capital efficiency (7.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASLE?

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Per ASLE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001754170), AerSale Corporation generated $335.3M in revenue (-2.8% YoY), $8.6M in net income, and -$29.1M in free cash flow against $640.5M in total assets and $111.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.86 (-0.08%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASLE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ASLE SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (40% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.92 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+5/20 pts (17% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.2% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 4.7% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$4.77-1.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$4.68+0.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$4.72+3% Next Q

Current

Grade E$4.86-9.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (22) → E (30)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ASLE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ASLE currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.16) and Max Pain ($5.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.33.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASLE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ASLE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 30%NO 70%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

0.6% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASLE)

✓Walkthrough of ASLE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ASLE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.42%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $4.69H $4.86L $4.69C $4.86VOL 467.4K

RES: $5.66SUP: $4.41SMA50: $5.16SMA200: $6.23

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASLE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ASLE Butterfly Map → + Track ASLE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

19.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASLE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASLE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASLE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASLE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #877 of 1011 ⚔️ HDSN vs ASLE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ASLE vs. HDSN, VIRC, ADSE, WBX)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AerSale Corporation (ASLE) ranks #877 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #675 by equity capitalization ($230.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HDSN leads on earnings valuation at 11.2x trailing P/E, while HDSN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.2% ROIC and 25.2% gross margin. WBX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with ASLE at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ASLE ACTIVE AerSale Corporation	E	30/100	26.1x	31.5%	2.3%	+0.62%	$230.5M	Benchmark Subject
HDSN Hudson Technologies Inc.	E	30/100	11.2x	25.2%	7.2%	-1.86%	$181.4M	/hdsn-vs-asle →
VIRC Virco Manufacturing Corporation	D-	42/100	38.2x	40.7%	3.0%	+0.16%	$97.7M	/virc-vs-asle →
ADSE ADS-TEC ENERGY PLC	D	48/100	—	—	—	-10.38%	$738.5M	/adse-vs-asle →
WBX Wallbox N.V. (Class A)	D	49/100	—	—	—	-2.91%	$65.7M	/wbx-vs-asle →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001754170

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AerSale Corporation (ASLE) reported GAAP revenue of $335.3M (-2.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $345.1M , and +0.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.6M, operating cash flow of -$23.0M, and free cash flow of -$29.1M (-912.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASLE closed FY2025 with $640.5M in total assets against $111.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.92, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$335.3M	$8.6M	-$23.0M	-$29.1M	$640.5M	$111.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$345.1M	$5.9M	$11.2M	-$2.9M	$604.7M	$40.4M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$334.5M	-$5.6M	-$174.2M	-$174.2M	—	—

3. ASLE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASLE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ASLE compare to HDSN and VIRC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASLE?

Where is ASLE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASLE last traded at $4.86 (+0.62% on volume of 480,924 shares), positioning the stock -5.81% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.16) and -21.99% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.23). Across its 52-week range of $4.54 to $7.93, ASLE sits at the 9.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($4.51 to $5.21).

Direct Sub-Reports: ASLE RQD Cockpit ASLE 12M Forecast ASLE Earnings & Move ASLE Dividends & DRIP ASLE Insiders & 13F ASLE Whale Options ASLE Profit Sankey ASLE News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 30/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ASLE — AerSale Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:40:37Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

ASLE scores 28 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 3 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of 2.3% and FCF yield of -12.98%. Low returns on invested capital combined with negative free-cash-flow yield mean the business is not currently generating cash relative to its market value. For a prospective investor, the upside case here depends on a return to cash generation that the rating does not show as established.
Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Institutional accumulation and options positioning scored low. Investors evaluating the stock should note the absence of strong institutional sponsorship signals in the rating.
Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scored low, indicating limited insider-conviction signals.
Macro Regime Fit: 5 / 20. Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity were scored low. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market, so it offers no defensive character from the rating's perspective, and its sector sensitivity was judged unfavorable.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. This is the strongest pillar, citing Altman Z of 1.92, Piotroski F of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.26. These support a balance sheet that is not in acute distress, though the Altman and Piotroski readings are moderate rather than strong.

Taken together, the rating points to weak cash economics and weak market-signal support, partially offset by a balance sheet that the rating considers serviceable. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: P/E (TTM) of 26.1 and EV/EBITDA of 15.8 are elevated relative to the cash-yield picture, so a prospective investor is paying a premium for earnings that the free-cash-flow data does not yet confirm.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

AerSale Corporation (ASLE) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under Consumer Discretionary, within the Industrial Specialties industry..2B. Per the market data, gross margin is 31.5%, operating margin is 4.7%, and net margin is 2.6%. Specifics regarding products, customers, and revenue model are —

Operating income moved from -$10.8M in FY 2023 to $9.7M in FY 2024 and $15.8M in FY 2025, and net income moved from -$5.6M to $5.9M to $8.6M over the same span. Free cash flow remained negative in all three periods, at -$174.2M, -$2.9M, and -$29.1M. Debt rose from $40.4M in FY 2024 to $111.3M in FY 2025, while cash was $4.4M at FY 2025. ROIC is 2.3%, Altman Z is 1.92, Piotroski F is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.26.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: Balance sheet holds up with Altman Z of 1.92, Piotroski F of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.26, and operating income rose from -$10.8M in FY 2023 to $15.8M in FY 2025. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 (ROIC 2.3%, FCF yield -12.98%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $4.54 – $7.93 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: Free cash flow was negative in every reported period, with an FCF yield of -12.98% and ROIC of 2.3%, while debt rose to $111.3M in FY 2025. Investors must weigh 26.1x trailing P/E and 15.8x EV/EBITDA against 4.7% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlation pathways are — A prospective investor should therefore treat second-order ripple effects as unmapped. The one structural point the data does support is that the company's operating margin (4.7%) is thin relative to its gross margin (31.5%), so cost pressure or revenue softness in any dependency would flow quickly into operating results.

Key Question #1: Why is free cash flow negative in all three reported periods despite positive operating and net income in FY 2024 and FY 2025?
Key Question #2: What drove the increase in debt from $40.4M to $111.3M between FY 2024 and FY 2025, and how is it being serviced?
Key Question #3: What is the EPS figure for each reported period, since the financials show N/A throughout?

ASLE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AerSale Corporation (ASLE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ASLE Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

AerSale® Announces Date for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release Conference Call

Yahoo Finance report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 23h ago

AerSale Corporation Estimates – NASDAQ:ASLE

TradingView report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

AerSale Corporation (NASDAQ:ASLE) Stock Has Average Price Target of $6.83 According to Analysts

MarketBeat report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE www.marketscreener.com • 1d ago

B. Riley Adjusts Price Target on AerSale to $6 From $7.50, Keeps Neutral Rating

www.marketscreener.com report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

(ASLE) as a Liquidity Pulse for Institutional Tactics

Stock Traders Daily report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

AerSale Corporation (NASDAQ:ASLE) Stock Has Consensus Target Price of $6.33

MarketBeat report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

ASLE Q3'26 Earnings: revenue estimate is 91.22M USD

TradingView report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago

AerSale Corporation (ASLE) Ticks Higher to $4.69 as Stock Holds Above Key Support - News Sentiment

https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering AerSale Corporation (ASLE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ASLE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.86?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ASLE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

BR BreakoutHunter Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.38 (+32.1%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Balance sheet holds up with Altman Z of 1.92, Piotroski F of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.26, and operating income rose from -$10.8M in FY

Long ASLE at $4.83 targeting $6.38. Balance sheet holds up with Altman Z of 1.92, Piotroski F of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.26, and operating income rose from -$10.8M in FY 2023 to $15.8M in FY 2025.. Institutional whale score is 5/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $4.54 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Fair point on 26.1x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Industrial Specialties. If gross margin (31.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SK SkepticalCFA Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.96 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $4.83

Free cash flow was negative in every reported period, with an FCF yield of -12.98% and ROIC of 2.3%, while debt rose to $111.3M in FY 2

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short ASLE above $4.83. Free cash flow was negative in every reported period, with an FCF yield of -12.98% and ROIC of 2.3%, while debt rose to $111.3M in FY 2025.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20) and FCF yield (-12.98%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $7.93.