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Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$15.73 -10.62% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.40

Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $273.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ARQQ Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARQQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Arqit Quantum Inc. (NASDAQ: ARQQ) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $15.73 (-10.62% 1D, market cap $273.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ARQQ ranks #440 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARQQ compare to CMRC and XPER in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ARQQ carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CMRC (Commerce.com Inc. Series 1) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $272.6M) and XPER (Xperi Inc.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.7%, cap $260.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MKTW leads on earnings multiple (56.1x) while MKTW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARQQ?
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For Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #440 in Technology, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.40 (-2.10%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$46 Bull$15 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE ARQQ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARQQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ARQQ SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.2% FCF Margin ($7.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$16.84-9.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$15.31+17.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$18.04-12.8% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$15.73-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ARQQ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ARQQ currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.63) and Max Pain ($16.52) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $45.53.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARQQ• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ARQQ Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ARQQ Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $15.73: 635.7 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $11.50
$7,311
$-2,689 (-26.9%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $14.74
$9,371
$-629 (-6.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $45.53
$28,945
+$18,945 (+189.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1574%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$4369%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARQQ)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ARQQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
ARQQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.08%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $17.60H $17.60L $15.73C $15.73VOL 304.9K
RES: $25.26SUP: $12.97SMA50: $19.63SMA200: $18.08
$32.32$26.76$21.20$15.64$10.07RES $25.26SUP $12.97$15.732026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARQQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ARQQ Butterfly Map → + Track ARQQ →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARQQ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARQQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARQQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARQQ)

Technology Rank #440 of 714 ⚔️ CMRC vs ARQQ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ARQQ vs. CMRC, XPER, MKTW, GIBO)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) ranks #440 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #449 by equity capitalization ($273.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MKTW leads on earnings valuation at 56.1x trailing P/E, while MKTW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 86.5% gross margin. MKTW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with ARQQ at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARQQ ACTIVE
Arqit Quantum Inc.
D 44/100 — — — -10.62% $273.7M Benchmark Subject
CMRC
Commerce.com Inc. Series 1
D- 43/100 — 78.7% -35.0% -4.36% $272.6M /cmrc-vs-arqq →
XPER
Xperi Inc.
E 22/100 — — -9.7% -1.84% $260.0M /xper-vs-arqq →
MKTW
MarketWise Inc. (Class A)
C+ 69/100 56.1x 86.5% 85.0% -0.43% $313.7M /mktw-vs-arqq →
GIBO
GIBO Holdings Limited (Class A)
D+ 52/100 — — -35.0% +17.91% $226.7M /gibo-vs-arqq →

2. ARQQ Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) operates in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (Technology) with an equity capitalization of $273.7M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ARQQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARQQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Arqit Quantum Inc. (NASDAQ: ARQQ) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $15.73 (-10.62% 1D, market cap $273.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ARQQ ranks #440 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARQQ compare to CMRC and XPER in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ARQQ carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CMRC (Commerce.com Inc. Series 1) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $272.6M) and XPER (Xperi Inc.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.7%, cap $260.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MKTW leads on earnings multiple (56.1x) while MKTW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARQQ?

For Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #440 in Technology, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARQQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARQQ last traded at $15.73 (-10.62% on volume of 304,928 shares), positioning the stock -19.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.63) and -13.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.08). Across its 52-week range of $11.52 to $43.36, ARQQ sits at the 13.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($13.76 to $17.70).

ARQQ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ARQQ's 12-month stock price target?

Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $14.74 (-6.3% from $15.73), with a bull-case target of $45.53 and a bear-case floor of $11.5.

Is ARQQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ARQQ D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 44/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: ARQQ RQD Cockpit ARQQ 12M Forecast ARQQ Earnings & Move ARQQ Dividends & DRIP ARQQ Insiders & 13F ARQQ Whale Options ARQQ Profit Sankey ARQQ News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ARQQ — Arqit Quantum Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:16:47Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 46, graded D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning," per the Roarable RQD rating. The score is built from five pillars, each out of 20:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%). Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar is the weakest on a cash-generation basis, since the source reports zero return on invested capital and zero free-cash-flow yield. For a prospective investor, this means the score is not being lifted by current operating cash returns; any valuation case must rest on future cash generation rather than present earnings power.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 5 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the lowest pillar. The source does not provide 13F or holder detail in the holders section, so the score cannot be traced to specific holders here. Investors should read it as a signal of weak institutional support rather than as a confirmed holder count.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar is below midpoint. Insider-related headlines in the news wire point to selling activity (see Recent Catalysts), which is consistent with a below-midpoint reading.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20 (beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). Per the Roarable RQD rating, a beta of 1.0 means the stock is modeled to move in line with the broad market, so it offers no defensive cushion. The low pillar score reflects sector sensitivity rather than a directional forecast.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar. A Piotroski F-score of 6 out of 9 and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5 indicate a comparatively stable balance sheet relative to the rest of the profile.

Practical reading for a prospective investor: The rating frames ARQQ as a stock where the balance sheet is the relative bright spot, while cash generation, institutional support, insider conviction, and macro fit all score weakly. The upside case depends on whether the balance sheet strength can be converted into sustained cash returns; the valuation tradeoff is that current profitability metrics are at zero, so valuation cannot be anchored to earnings. The rating is an analytical summary and not a recommendation.

ARQQ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ARQQ Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ARQQ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.73?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARQQ 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ARQQ:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $19.01 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ARQQ (D • RQD 46/100) a Buy at $17.60?

Welcome to the ARQQ (Arqit Quantum Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 46/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.78 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $17.60

Pump the brakes on ARQQ — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ARQQ, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Arqit Quantum Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.82 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $17.60

ARQQ cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ARQQ, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $17.60 (52-wk range $11.52 - $46.20), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%