Stock Ratings / Financials / ARES / options

AMP (69) APO (59) TROW (73) KKR (37) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Ares Management Corporation (ARES) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$128.15 +0.53% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $128.03

Ares Management Corporation (ARES) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $42.10B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ARES Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARES stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-02, Ares Management Corporation (NYSE: ARES) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $128.15 (+0.53% 1D, market cap $42.10B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ARES ranks #201 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARES compare to AMP and APO in the Financials sector?

▼

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), ARES carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 98.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.5%. By comparison, AMP (Ameriprise Financial Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 12.6x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $44.76B) and APO (Apollo Global Management Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 20.6x, ROIC 2.3%, cap $70.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TROW leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while TROW leads on capital efficiency (20.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARES?

▼

Per ARES's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001176948), Ares Management Corporation generated $5.60B in revenue (+44.2% YoY), $426.1M in net income, and $3.01B in free cash flow against $28.63B in total assets and $8.97B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 99x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $128.03 (-0.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 53.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARES)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ARES SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 53.8% FCF Margin ($3.01B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$115.62+0.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$116.29+5.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$122.19+4.9% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$128.15+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ARES Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, ARES faces multiple-compression risk if 98.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 99x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($125.41) or 200D SMA ($124.32) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($133.34) toward Bear Floor ($104.01).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARES• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ARES Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±6.8%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ARES)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ARES.

Sponsored / Partner SpotlightACTIVE TRADER & PROP EVALUATION DESK

Practice in Our Weekly $100,000 Paper Arena Before Risking Personal Capital

Keep your personal nest egg in cash while trading NQ, ES, Crude, and Gold momentum using institutional prop-desk buying power.

FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

🏆 Enter Free $100K Paper Arena →

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ARES & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ARES
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ARES // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.81%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $123.8H $128.2L $123.8C $128.2VOL 2.39M

RES: $161.0SUP: $108.7SMA50: $125.4SMA200: $124.3

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARES Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ARES Butterfly Map → + Track ARES →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +44.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARES today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARES. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARES today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARES)

Financials Rank #201 of 1096 ⚔️ AMP vs ARES Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ARES vs. AMP, APO, TROW, KKR)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ares Management Corporation (ARES) ranks #201 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #73 by equity capitalization ($42.10B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TROW leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while TROW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.5% ROIC and — gross margin. TROW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with ARES at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ARES ACTIVE Ares Management Corporation	C+	67/100	98.8x	—	4.5%	+0.53%	$42.10B	Benchmark Subject
AMP Ameriprise Financial Inc.	C+	69/100	12.6x	—	5.6%	-1.42%	$44.76B	/amp-vs-ares →
APO Apollo Global Management Inc.	C-	59/100	20.6x	—	2.3%	-2.29%	$70.01B	/apo-vs-ares →
TROW T. Rowe Price Group Inc.	B	73/100	10.9x	—	20.5%	-2.56%	$22.75B	/trow-vs-ares →
KKR KKR & Co. Inc.	D-	37/100	36.3x	—	1.9%	-1.49%	$86.01B	/kkr-vs-ares →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001176948

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ares Management Corporation (ARES) reported GAAP revenue of $5.60B (+44.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.88B , and +54.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $426.1M, operating cash flow of $3.27B, and free cash flow of $3.01B (+15.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARES closed FY2025 with $28.63B in total assets against $8.97B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$5.60B	$426.1M	$3.27B	$3.01B	$28.63B	$8.97B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.88B	$441.0M	$2.79B	$2.62B	$24.88B	$7.87B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.63B	$474.3M	-$233.3M	-$396.7M	$23.16B	$5.42B

3. ARES Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARES stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ARES compare to AMP and APO in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARES?

Where is ARES trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARES last traded at $128.15 (+0.53% on volume of 3,191,833 shares), positioning the stock +2.18% above its 50-day simple moving average ($125.41) and +3.08% above its 200-day simple moving average ($124.32). Across its 52-week range of $95.80 to $181.19, ARES sits at the 37.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($119.44 to $136.86).

ARES Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ARES's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ARES.

Direct Sub-Reports: ARES RQD Cockpit ARES 12M Forecast ARES Earnings & Move ARES Dividends & DRIP ARES Insiders & 13F ARES Whale Options ARES Profit Sankey ARES News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ARES — Ares Management Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:11:37Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ARES scores 67 out of 100, earning a C+ grade and the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Cited inputs are ROIC of 4.5% and FCF yield of 7.16%. Per the market data, the ROIC figure is modest and the FCF yield is the stronger of the two cash-generation signals. For a prospective investor, the cash yield offers some support, but the low ROIC suggests capital is not being deployed at high returns.
Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20. The rating reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying 13F and options detail is not itemized in the source data, so the pillar score is accepted as stated without decomposition.
Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. The rating reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. No individual insider or congressional trades are itemized in the source data (holders section is empty), so this is the lowest-scoring pillar and signals limited insider conviction support.
Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Cited inputs are beta of 0.87 and sector sensitivity. A beta below 1.0 indicates the stock has historically moved less than the broader market in the source-provided measure, which may appeal to investors seeking lower market sensitivity, though the score reflects only a partial macro fit.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Cited inputs are Altman Z-Score of 2.5, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, indicating relatively sound balance-sheet health on the source-provided metrics.

Taken together, the rating points to a balanced picture: solid forensic balance-sheet and moderate cash-flow support, offset by low ROIC, weak insider-conviction signals, and only partial macro fit. The "Watch for Breakout" label indicates the rating frames the stock as near neutral with potential upside if pillar conditions improve. Valuation is a meaningful tradeoff: per the market data, the trailing P/E of 98.8 and EV/EBITDA of 64.1 are elevated relative to the rating's cash-engine score, so the upside case depends on earnings growth not yet visible in the trailing figures.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
127.47	$42.1B	98.8	83	64.1	1.29	0%	0.87	$95.8 - $181.19	4.5%

Open Questions

What are the Q3 2026 reported revenue, earnings, and cash-flow figures, and how do they compare with the FY 2025 baseline?
What is the cash balance, given that cash is listed as N/A across all reported periods?
What drove the decline in net and operating income from FY 2023 to FY 2025 despite revenue growth?
Which specific 13F holders, options positions, and insider transactions underpin the whale-flow and insider-conviction pillar scores?
Does the source data include any analyst coverage or price targets that would test the elevated trailing valuation multiples?

ARES Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ares Management Corporation (ARES) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ARES Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 8h ago

3 Reasons We’re Fans of Ares (ARES)

Yahoo Finance report covering Ares Management Corporation (ARES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 11h ago

Ares Management Corporation 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:ARES) 2026-11-02

Seeking Alpha report covering Ares Management Corporation (ARES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 14h ago

Ares Management Q3 Earnings on the Deck: What's in Store for the Stock?

TradingView report covering Ares Management Corporation (ARES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE marketscreener.com • 17h ago

Ares Management Corporation Declares Quarterly Dividend on Class A and Non-Voting Common Stock, Payable on December 31, 2026

marketscreener.com report covering Ares Management Corporation (ARES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE PR Newswire • 20h ago

ARES MANAGEMENT CORPORATION REPORTS THIRD QUARTER 2026 RESULTS

PR Newswire report covering Ares Management Corporation (ARES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

What Ares Management (ARES) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

Yahoo Finance report covering Ares Management Corporation (ARES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Overbrook Management Corp Sells 20,507 Shares of Ares Management Corporation $ARES

MarketBeat report covering Ares Management Corporation (ARES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST TradingView • 1d ago

Ares Management Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, AUM Rises Y/Y

TradingView report covering Ares Management Corporation (ARES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ARES Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $128.15?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARES 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $137.67 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ARES (C+ • RQD 67/100) a Buy at $127.47?

Welcome to the ARES (Ares Management Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 67/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Investment Managers. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (98.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $99.43 (-22.0%)

Spot @ $127.47

Pump the brakes on ARES — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ARES, but look at what you are paying: 98.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Ares Management Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $146.59 (+15.0%)

Spot @ $127.47

ARES cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ARES, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Managers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $127.47 (52-wk range $95.80 - $181.19), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.