American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.22 -4.31% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.21

American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $136.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AREC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AREC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, American Resources Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: AREC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.22 (-4.31% 1D, market cap $136.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, AREC ranks #179 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AREC compare to NC and METCB in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), AREC carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -14.0%. By comparison, NC (NACCO Industries Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $269.6M) and METCB (Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $270.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NC leads on earnings multiple (15.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AREC?
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Per AREC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001590715), American Resources Corporation (Class A) generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $55.4M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $168.9M in total assets and $965.3K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.21 (-0.97%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510038
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (11)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9% Base Target
$5 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE AREC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AREC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AREC SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 4% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 38.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$1.50-24.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$1.13-3.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$1.09+11.9% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$1.22-7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AREC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AREC currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.80) and Max Pain ($1.28) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.19.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AREC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AREC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
38.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE4% OF RANGE
L: $1$1.22H: $5
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 10 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on AREC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (35)

-14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (35)

10/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AREC
  • ✓Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AREC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AREC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AREC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -46.26%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $1.21H $1.27L $1.21C $1.22VOL 3.97M
RES: $3.09SUP: $1.02SMA50: $1.80SMA200: $2.34
$3.08$2.53$1.99$1.44$0.89RES $3.09SUP $1.02$1.222026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AREC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AREC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AREC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AREC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AREC)

Energy Rank #179 of 211 ⚔️ NC vs AREC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (AREC vs. NC, METCB, METC, NRP)

Industry: Coal Mining (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) ranks #179 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #183 by equity capitalization ($136.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NC leads on earnings valuation at 15.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with AREC at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AREC ACTIVE
American Resources Corporation (Class A)
D- 38/100 — — -14.0% -4.31% $136.4M Benchmark Subject
NC
NACCO Industries Inc.
D 47/100 15.3x 13.9% 4.6% -1.93% $269.6M /nc-vs-arec →
METCB
Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B)
D 46/100 — — -35.0% -2.82% $270.7M /metcb-vs-arec →
METC
Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class A)
D- 43/100 — — -35.0% -4.08% $468.1M /metc-vs-arec →
NRP
Natural Resource Partners LP
B- 70/100 — — 18.4% -0.75% $1.54B /nrp-vs-arec →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001590715

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $34.1K , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $55.4M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, AREC closed FY2025 with $168.9M in total assets against $965.3K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $55.4M — — $168.9M $965.3K
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $34.1K -$39.2M -$21.2M -$22.3M $281.7M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $11.8M -$38.5M -$19.5M -$19.5M — —

3. AREC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AREC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, American Resources Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: AREC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.22 (-4.31% 1D, market cap $136.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, AREC ranks #179 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AREC compare to NC and METCB in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), AREC carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -14.0%. By comparison, NC (NACCO Industries Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $269.6M) and METCB (Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $270.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NC leads on earnings multiple (15.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AREC?

Per AREC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001590715), American Resources Corporation (Class A) generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $55.4M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $168.9M in total assets and $965.3K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AREC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AREC last traded at $1.22 (-4.31% on volume of 2,150,019 shares), positioning the stock -32.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.80) and -47.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.34). Across its 52-week range of $1.06 to $4.94, AREC sits at the 4.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.07 to $1.37).

AREC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell AREC stock right now?

American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 38/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-14% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is AREC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AREC's 12-month base price target is $1.11 (range $0.87 to $5.19), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 38/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AREC — American Resources Corporation (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:42:55Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AREC scores 38 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow."

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -14% and FCF yield is 0%. For an investor, this indicates the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow to support valuation on earnings or cash-flow terms.
  • Whale 13F Flow (3 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the lowest-scoring pillar, suggesting limited institutional support in the data set.
  • Insider Conviction (7 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score indicates weak insider conviction signals.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. The stock's market sensitivity is equal to the market's, with no stated defensive or cyclical advantage in the score.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (10 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 0.2, Piotroski F is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.01. The low Altman Z reflects financial distress risk; the very low debt level is a partial offset.

Investor implications: upside drivers are limited to the catalysts in the news wire and any re-rating of the forensic balance sheet; the valuation tradeoff is that without positive earnings or cash flow, the stock cannot be anchored to conventional earnings multiples. The 52-week range of $1.06 to $4.94 per the market data section shows a wide trading band, and the current price sits near its low end, which the RQD framework treats as a signal of weak flow rather than a value indicator on its own.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-11.3M$55.4MN/AN/A$31.7M$1.0M
FY 2024$0.0M$-14.2M$-39.2MN/A$-22.3M$0.2M$0.0M
FY 2023$11.8M$-36.4M$-38.5MN/A$-19.5MN/AN/A

Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, and ROIC is -14%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and Piotroski F-Score is 4/9. Debt/Equity is 0.01 per the RQD forensic pillar. FY 2025 shows a reported net income of $55.4M against an operating loss of $-11.3M, a divergence the source data does not explain.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, six items relate to AREC, all tagged YELLOW with the impact label MARKET WIRE:

  • A Seeking Alpha report titled "American Resources: Interesting Assets, But Too Much Success Is Priced In" (1h ago).
  • A Stock Titan report that Nasdaq granted the company more time for two late quarterly reports (3h ago).
  • A Simply Wall St stock analysis (6h ago) and a StockInvest.us price forecast article (9h ago).
  • A Mugglehead report that the company signed an Uzbek tungsten refining test agreement (12h ago).
  • A Stock Titan report that tungsten from Uzbekistan was refined to high purity and a U.S. commercial test is planned (15h ago).

Risk watch items: the late-filing notice from Nasdaq is the most direct compliance-related item in the feed. Proprietary signals: none are listed in the Butterfly graph.

Open Questions

  • Why does FY 2025 show a net income of $55.4M alongside an operating loss of $-11.3M and zero revenue, and what drives the difference?
  • What is the status of the late quarterly filings referenced in the Nasdaq notice, and when are they expected?
  • What is the commercial scale and timeline of the Uzbek tungsten refining test, and does it affect revenue in the reported periods?
  • What were the FY 2025 and FY 2024 EPS, FCF, and cash figures, which are listed as N/A or unavailable?
  • What is the company's path to positive operating income given the -14% ROIC and zero margins?

AREC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for American Resources Corporation (Class A) (AREC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AREC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AREC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.22?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AREC 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AREC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.12 (-11.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AREC (D- • RQD 38/100) a Buy at $1.27?

Welcome to the AREC (American Resources Corporation (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 38/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Coal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.00 (-21.3%)
Spot @ $1.27

Pump the brakes on AREC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AREC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless American Resources Corporation (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.45 (+14.2%)
Spot @ $1.27

AREC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AREC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Coal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.27 (52-wk range $1.06 - $4.94), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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