Apogee Enterprises Inc. (APOG) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$46.95 +3.78% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.38

Apogee Enterprises Inc. (APOG) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (23% profit margin, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- β€’ BUY Cap $945.3M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is APOG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Apogee Enterprises Inc. (NASDAQ: APOG) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $46.95 (+3.78% 1D, market cap $945.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, APOG ranks #140 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does APOG compare to SMP and DCH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), APOG carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.7x, gross margin of 22.7%, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, SMP (Standard Motor Products Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 8.6%, cap $947.5M) and DCH (Dauch Corporation) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.2%, cap $1.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APOG leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APOG?
β–Ό

Per APOG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0000006845), Apogee Enterprises Inc. generated $1.40B in revenue (+3.2% YoY), $54.1M in net income, and $95.2M in free cash flow against $1.12B in total assets and $255.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.38 (+0.92%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) β€’ 6.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B-
025507510071
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B Β· Rk C
Cash (15)Whales (15)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target
$59 Bull$50 Base$39 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE APOG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for APOG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY APOG SCORES 71/100 (B-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.8% FCF Margin ($95.2M FCF) & 22.7% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±7.4% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (66.2) create a -7 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$41.97+2.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$43.13+4.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$45.03+4.3% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$46.95+6.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (63) β†’ B- (71)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the APOG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, APOG faces multiple-compression risk if 17.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 20.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($39.91) or 200D SMA ($38.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($49.70) toward Bear Floor ($38.50).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $APOGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAPOG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±7.4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (APOG)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for APOG.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating APOG & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on APOG
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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APOG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +34.99%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $45.80H $46.95L $45.24C $46.95VOL 305.9K
RES: $42.32SUP: $33.38SMA50: $39.91SMA200: $38.68
$52.14$46.91$41.68$36.45$31.22RES $42.32SUP $33.38$46.952026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

APOG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
10.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on APOG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for APOG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for APOG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (APOG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #140 of 1011 βš”οΈ SMP vs APOG Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (APOG vs. SMP, DCH, ADNT, AEVA)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Apogee Enterprises Inc. (APOG) ranks #140 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #514 by equity capitalization ($945.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APOG leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while APOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.2% ROIC and 22.7% gross margin. APOG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
APOG ACTIVE
Apogee Enterprises Inc.
B- 71/100 17.7x 22.7% 9.2% +3.78% $945.3M Benchmark Subject
SMP
Standard Motor Products Inc.
C- 61/100 20.2x 31.2% 8.6% +7.64% $947.5M /smp-vs-apog β†’
DCH
Dauch Corporation
E 30/100 β€” 12.1% 2.2% -2.93% $1.14B /dch-vs-apog β†’
ADNT
Adient plc
D- 35/100 β€” 6.6% -16.2% +3.66% $1.29B /adnt-vs-apog β†’
AEVA
Aeva Technologies Inc.
E 21/100 β€” -3.7% -35.0% -7.23% $646.2M /aeva-vs-apog β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-02-28 β€’ CIK 0000006845

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28), Apogee Enterprises Inc. (APOG) reported GAAP revenue of $1.40B (+3.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.36B , and -0.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $54.1M, operating cash flow of $122.5M, and free cash flow of $95.2M (+6.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, APOG closed FY2025 with $1.12B in total assets against $255.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-02-28 $1.40B $54.1M $122.5M $95.2M $1.12B $255.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-01 $1.36B $85.1M $125.2M $89.6M $1.18B $272.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-02 $1.42B $99.6M $204.2M $204.2M β€” β€”

3. APOG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is APOG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Apogee Enterprises Inc. (NASDAQ: APOG) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $46.95 (+3.78% 1D, market cap $945.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, APOG ranks #140 in composite RQD confidence.

How does APOG compare to SMP and DCH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), APOG carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.7x, gross margin of 22.7%, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, SMP (Standard Motor Products Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 8.6%, cap $947.5M) and DCH (Dauch Corporation) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.2%, cap $1.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APOG leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APOG?

Per APOG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0000006845), Apogee Enterprises Inc. generated $1.40B in revenue (+3.2% YoY), $54.1M in net income, and $95.2M in free cash flow against $1.12B in total assets and $255.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is APOG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

APOG last traded at $46.95 (+3.78% on volume of 280,973 shares), positioning the stock +17.64% above its 50-day simple moving average ($39.91) and +21.38% above its 200-day simple moving average ($38.68). Across its 52-week range of $30.75 to $50.88, APOG sits at the 80.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.4% ($43.48 to $50.42).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 71/100 (B-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

APOG β€” Apogee Enterprises Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:31:34Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

APOG scores 72 out of 100, graded B, with the verdict "Roarable Buy β€” Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. this pillar reflects ROIC of 9.2% and an FCF yield of 9.94%. For an investor, this suggests the business converts capital into cash at a moderate rate, and the free cash flow yield is a meaningful support for valuation if it persists.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 16 / 20. this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The underlying transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. this pillar reflects a Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is described as moving in line with the broader market, so it carries market-level rather than amplified sensitivity.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. These are moderate readings rather than standout strength.

Taken together, the score indicates a stock with reasonable cash generation and a balance sheet that is not flagged as distressed, offset by moderate margins and a macro-sensitivity profile that does not add a clear tailwind. The verdict label should be read as the rating model's output, not as a recommendation. Upside drivers the data points to include the cash-flow yield and the recent catalysts; valuation tradeoffs include a trailing P/E of 17.7 against a forward P/E of 16.5, implying expected earnings growth that the data does not itemize.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Apogee Enterprises Inc. (APOG) is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Auto Parts: O.E.M. Industry. The profile does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model, so those details are β€” Its market capitalization is $1.0B.0M.

Revenue moved from $1.42B in FY 2023 to $1.36B in FY 2024 and then $1.40B in FY 2025, while net income declined from $99.6M to $85.1M to $54.1M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 22.7%, operating margin is 6%, and net margin is 3.9%. ROIC is 9.2%, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Debt was $255.0M against cash of $41.3M in FY 2025, consistent with the reported Debt/Equity of 0.5.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case: Cash generation is solid, with a 9.94% FCF yield and a forward P/E of 16.5 below the trailing 17.7. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 (ROIC 9.2%, FCF yield 9.94%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $30.75 – $50.88 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Net income fell from $99.6M in FY 2023 to $54.1M in FY 2025 despite revenue holding near $1.4B. Investors must weigh 17.7x trailing P/E and 10.9x EV/EBITDA against 6.0% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations are therefore β€” Second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: What were the EPS figures for each reported fiscal year, given that the financials list EPS as N/A?
  • Key Question #2: Why did net income decline across FY 2023 to FY 2025 while revenue held roughly flat?
  • Key Question #3: What are the terms, size, and contribution of the acquisitions referenced in the news?

APOG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Apogee Enterprises Inc. (APOG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to APOG Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

APOG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $46.95?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON APOG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on APOG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified $100K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $54.74 (+21.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Cash generation is solid, with a 9.94% FCF yield and a forward P/E of 16.5 below the trailing 17.7.

Cash generation is solid, with a 9.94% FCF yield and a forward P/E of 16.5 below the trailing 17.7.. When you look under the hood at APOG, Fundamental Cash Engine is 15/20 with 22.7% gross margins and 9.2% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (15/20) has been quietly accumulating below $50.88. My 12M target is $54.74.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on 17.7x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Auto Parts:O.E.M.. If gross margin (22.7%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $38.91 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $45.24

Net income fell from $99.6M in FY 2023 to $54.1M in FY 2025 despite revenue holding near $1.4B.

Careful chasing APOG at $45.24. Net income fell from $99.6M in FY 2023 to $54.1M in FY 2025 despite revenue holding near $1.4B.. Gross margin is 22.7%, but operating margin is 6.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $38.91 on multiple compression.

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