Apollo Global Management Inc. (APO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$115.84 -2.29% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $115.14

Apollo Global Management Inc. (APO) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $70.01B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on APO Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is APO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Apollo Global Management Inc. (NYSE: APO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $115.84 (-2.29% 1D, market cap $70.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, APO ranks #445 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does APO compare to KKR and BX in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), APO carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.6x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 2.3%. By comparison, KKR (KKR & Co. Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 36.3x, ROIC 1.9%, cap $86.01B) and BX (Blackstone Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 30.0x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $90.53B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMP leads on earnings multiple (12.6x) while BX leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APO?
β–Ό

Per APO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001858681), Apollo Global Management Inc. generated $32.05B in revenue (+22.7% YoY), $3.40B in net income, and $5.80B in free cash flow against $460.95B in total assets and $188.30B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $115.14 (-0.60%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 18.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.1% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C Β· Rk D+
Cash (13)Whales (10)SEC (15)Macro (7)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$161 Bull$116 Base$91 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE APO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for APO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY APO SCORES 59/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (53.8) create a -13 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$116.28-4.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$111.22+2.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$114.26+1.4% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$115.84+0.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (67) β†’ C- (59)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the APO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, APO faces multiple-compression risk if 20.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($121.68) or 200D SMA ($123.15) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($116.36) toward Bear Floor ($90.76).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $APOβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAPO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±7.1%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (APO)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for APO.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating APO & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on APO
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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APO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.33%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $113.5H $118.6L $113.5C $115.8VOL 3.33M
RES: $148.1SUP: $109.1SMA50: $121.7SMA200: $123.2
$146.7$136.8$126.8$116.8$106.8RES $148.1SUP $109.1$115.82026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

APO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on APO today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for APO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for APO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (APO)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (APO vs. KKR, BX, AMP, ARES)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Apollo Global Management Inc. (APO) ranks #445 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #50 by equity capitalization ($70.01B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMP leads on earnings valuation at 12.6x trailing P/E, while BX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.2% ROIC and β€” gross margin. BX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with APO at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
APO ACTIVE
Apollo Global Management Inc.
C- 59/100 20.6x β€” 2.3% -2.29% $70.01B Benchmark Subject
KKR
KKR & Co. Inc.
D- 37/100 36.3x β€” 1.9% -1.49% $86.01B /kkr-vs-apo β†’
BX
Blackstone Inc.
C+ 69/100 30.0x β€” 17.2% -1.73% $90.53B /bx-vs-apo β†’
AMP
Ameriprise Financial Inc.
C+ 69/100 12.6x β€” 5.6% -1.42% $44.76B /amp-vs-apo β†’
ARES
Ares Management Corporation
C+ 67/100 98.8x β€” 4.5% +0.53% $42.10B /ares-vs-apo β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001858681

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Apollo Global Management Inc. (APO) reported GAAP revenue of $32.05B (+22.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $26.11B , and -1.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.40B, operating cash flow of $7.25B, and free cash flow of $5.80B (+179.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, APO closed FY2025 with $460.95B in total assets against $188.30B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $32.05B $3.40B $7.25B $5.80B $460.95B $188.30B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $26.11B $4.48B $3.25B $2.08B $377.89B $156.11B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $32.64B $5.00B $6.32B $4.85B $39.17B $9.17B

3. APO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is APO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Apollo Global Management Inc. (NYSE: APO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $115.84 (-2.29% 1D, market cap $70.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, APO ranks #445 in composite RQD confidence.

How does APO compare to KKR and BX in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), APO carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.6x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 2.3%. By comparison, KKR (KKR & Co. Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 36.3x, ROIC 1.9%, cap $86.01B) and BX (Blackstone Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 30.0x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $90.53B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMP leads on earnings multiple (12.6x) while BX leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APO?

Per APO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001858681), Apollo Global Management Inc. generated $32.05B in revenue (+22.7% YoY), $3.40B in net income, and $5.80B in free cash flow against $460.95B in total assets and $188.30B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is APO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

APO last traded at $115.84 (-2.29% on volume of 5,279,237 shares), positioning the stock -4.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($121.68) and -5.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($123.15). Across its 52-week range of $99.56 to $153.29, APO sits at the 30.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.1% ($107.62 to $124.06).

APO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is APO's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for APO.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 59/100 (C-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

APO β€” Apollo Global Management Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:30Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, APO scores 59 out of 100, grading C- and labeled "Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 2.3%; FCF yield 8.29%), Whale 13F Flow at 10/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 14/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 7/20 (Beta 0.98; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on the balance sheet and cash-generation pillars, which score relatively well against the rest of the framework. The 8.29% FCF yield and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate reasonable cash conversion and financial health per the rating inputs. The weakest pillar is Macro Regime Fit at 7/20, reflecting the stock's sector sensitivity; this is the pillar most exposed to broader market conditions. Whale Flow at 10/20 signals institutional positioning that is not strongly one-directional. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: trailing P/E of 20.6 versus forward P/E of 17.3 implies expected earnings improvement, while EV/EBITDA of 35.5 is elevated and ROIC of 2.3% is low. The combined read is a cautious neutral stance rather than a strong signal in either direction.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
118.56$70.01B20.617.335.55.751.72%0.98$99.56 - $153.292.3%

Business

Apollo Global Management Inc. (New) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Investment Managers industry, per the company profile. Beyond sector and industry classification, Not available in source data for specific products, customers, or revenue model descriptions.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$32049.0M$4006.1M$3395.0MN/A$5803.8MN/A$188295.3M
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31)$26114.0M$5286.4M$4480.0MN/A$2077.9MN/A$156111.8M
FY 2023 (filed 2023-12-31)$32644.0M$5901.2M$5001.0MN/A$4853.0MN/A$9166.4M

Per the market data, net margin is 10.6%, operating margin is 12.9%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 2.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported debt rose from $9166.4M (FY 2023) to $188295.3M (FY 2025) in the SEC financials, a figure that should be reconciled against the Debt/Equity ratio before drawing conclusions about balance sheet posture.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Deal and valuation headlines (YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance item states that the stock "Looks Below Fair Value As Deal Questions Linger" β€” a mixed signal that flags both valuation support and unresolved deal uncertainty.
  • Fair value reference (GREEN): A GuruFocus item cites a GF Value of $112.59 against a price of $118.56 following a 4.5% gain, indicating the price sits above that cited reference.
  • Earnings preview (YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance item previews the next earnings report; no results are in the source data.
  • After-hours move (GREEN): A 24/7 Wall St. item reports a 4.4% after-hours move to $114.79.
  • Middle East partnership (GREEN): A TradingView item covers a Mubadala-related Middle East relationship and whether it may drive growth.
  • Butterfly graph: Supply chain is NONE; no butterfly links or proprietary signals are present per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph.

Open Questions

  • What is the nature of the "deal questions" referenced in the news wire, and how might they affect the valuation gap cited against fair value?
  • Reported debt rose sharply between FY 2023 and FY 2025 β€” what drove the increase, and how does it reconcile with the stated Debt/Equity of 0.5?
  • What are the EPS, cash, and gross margin figures for the reported periods, since they are N/A or 0% in the source?
  • What do the Form 4 insider and 13F whale transactions actually show, given that holder data is absent?
  • What drove the low ROIC of 2.3% despite positive net income and FCF, and what is the expected trajectory?

APO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Apollo Global Management Inc. (APO) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to APO Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

APO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $115.84?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON APO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on APO:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $128.04 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is APO (C- β€’ RQD 59/100) a Buy at $118.56?

Welcome to the APO (Apollo Global Management Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 59/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral) in Investment Managers. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $92.48 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $118.56

Pump the brakes on APO β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on APO, but look at what you are paying: 20.6x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Apollo Global Management Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $148.20 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $118.56

APO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on APO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Managers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $118.56 (52-wk range $99.56 - $153.29), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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