Apnimed Inc. (APMD) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$16.40 -5.42% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.21

Apnimed Inc. (APMD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $721.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is APMD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Apnimed Inc. (NASDAQ: APMD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $16.40 (-5.42% 1D, market cap $721.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, APMD ranks #434 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does APMD compare to WVE and GYRE in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), APMD carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WVE (Wave Life Sciences Inc.) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $715.9M) and GYRE (Gyre Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 72.3x, ROIC 25.4%, cap $714.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GYRE leads on earnings multiple (72.3x) while GYRE leads on capital efficiency (25.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APMD?
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Per APMD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001745648), Apnimed Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $72.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.21 (-1.17%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$37 Bull$15 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE APMD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for APMD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY APMD SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.5% FCF Margin ($20.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$18.63-10.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$16.60+14.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$18.95-13.5% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$16.40-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a APMD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While APMD currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($22.72) and Max Pain ($17.22) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $37.05.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $APMD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “APMD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$2.05 Expected Swing
$14.35 (-12.5%)Spot $16.40$18.45 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

APMD Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 44/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (44/100)Model Risk Weight (56/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0$0$052%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring APMD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of APMD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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APMD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.40%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $19.15H $19.15L $16.40C $16.40VOL 1.01M
RES: $18.79SUP: $15.27SMA50: $22.72SMA200: $24.03
$36.63$31.07$25.51$19.95$14.39RES $18.79SUP $15.27$16.402026-07-312026-08-242026-09-162026-10-082026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

APMD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on APMD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for APMD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for APMD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (APMD)

Health Care Rank #434 of 1016 ⚔️ WVE vs APMD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (APMD vs. WVE, GYRE, SGMT, DSGN)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Apnimed Inc. (APMD) ranks #434 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #396 by equity capitalization ($721.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GYRE leads on earnings valuation at 72.3x trailing P/E, while GYRE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.4% ROIC and 95.4% gross margin. GYRE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with APMD at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
APMD ACTIVE
Apnimed Inc.
D 44/100 — — — -5.42% $721.9M Benchmark Subject
WVE
Wave Life Sciences Inc.
E 22/100 — — -35.0% -1.10% $715.9M /wve-vs-apmd →
GYRE
Gyre Therapeutics Inc.
D 47/100 72.3x 95.4% 25.4% -28.94% $714.8M /gyre-vs-apmd →
SGMT
Sagimet Biosciences Inc. (Series A)
D 45/100 — — -35.0% -4.89% $735.7M /sgmt-vs-apmd →
DSGN
Design Therapeutics Inc.
D- 35/100 — — -32.1% -3.44% $692.2M /dsgn-vs-apmd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001745648

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Apnimed Inc. (APMD) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, APMD closed FY2025 with $72.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 — — $72.9M $0

3. APMD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is APMD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Apnimed Inc. (NASDAQ: APMD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $16.40 (-5.42% 1D, market cap $721.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, APMD ranks #434 in composite RQD confidence.

How does APMD compare to WVE and GYRE in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), APMD carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WVE (Wave Life Sciences Inc.) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $715.9M) and GYRE (Gyre Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 72.3x, ROIC 25.4%, cap $714.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GYRE leads on earnings multiple (72.3x) while GYRE leads on capital efficiency (25.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APMD?

Per APMD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001745648), Apnimed Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $72.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is APMD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

APMD last traded at $16.40 (-5.42% on volume of 466,541 shares), positioning the stock -27.82% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.72) and -31.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($24.03). Across its 52-week range of $16.12 to $35.29, APMD sits at the 1.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($14.35 to $18.45).

APMD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is APMD's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Apnimed Inc. (APMD)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is APMD stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for APMD, spanning a range between $14.35 and $18.45.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

APMD — Apnimed Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:15:02Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, APMD scores 44 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars break down as follows: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the ones tied to cash generation and institutional demand. A 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield mean the cash-engine pillar gives little support to valuation on current source figures, and the whale-flow score of 4/20 indicates limited institutional accumulation in the source data. The insider-conviction pillar (9/20) is also below midpoint. The forensic balance-sheet pillar is the relative strength, with a Piotroski F of 6/9 and Debt/Equity of 0.5, though these readings do not offset weak cash returns. Upside drivers would need to come from outside the current cash profile, while the valuation tradeoff is that the source data provides no earnings multiples to anchor a price against earnings. The verdict label reflects these combined signals rather than any single metric.

Business

Apnimed Inc. (APMD) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry. Per the company profile, the market capitalization is $0.7B. Per the recent news wire, the company's late-breaking sleep apnea presentations and Phase 3 AD109 data in obstructive sleep apnea are slated for CHEST 2026. Not available in source data for product sales, customer base, or revenue model details.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/AN/A$41.9M$0.0M

Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 reported zero revenue, zero operating income, and zero net income, with cash of $41.9M and debt of $0.0M. Gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% per the market data, and ROIC is 0%. The Roarable RQD rating reports an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. The balance sheet posture, per these figures, shows no reported debt against $41.9M in cash, while the income statement shows no reported revenue or profit in the period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • MARKET WIRE (Stocktwits, 1h ago, YELLOW): Generic market-action coverage of APMD.
  • MARKET WIRE (Stock Titan, 3h ago, YELLOW): Two late-breaking sleep apnea presentations set for CHEST; others examine daily-life effects.
  • RISK WATCH (MarketBeat, 6h ago, RED): Report of a 7.2% stock decline.
  • MARKET WIRE (TradingView, 9h ago, YELLOW): Estimates coverage for APMD.
  • RISK WATCH (MarketBeat, 12h ago, RED): Report of a 5.7% stock decline.
  • MARKET WIRE (Quiver Quantitative, 15h ago, YELLOW): Five abstracts accepted for CHEST 2026 featuring Phase 3 AD109 data in obstructive sleep apnea.

Per the news wire, the two RED risk-watch items both describe single-session price declines, while the YELLOW items center on the CHEST 2026 presentations. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's revenue sources and commercial partnerships, given that FY 2025 reports $0.0M revenue?
  • What is the timeline and cash runway implied by $41.9M in cash against the reported operating results?
  • What is the status of the Phase 3 AD109 program and its regulatory path, beyond the CHEST presentation headlines?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what is the direction of their recent activity?
  • What drove the 9.45% single-session price decline and the 7.2% and 5.7% declines reported by MarketBeat?

APMD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Apnimed Inc. (APMD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to APMD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

APMD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.40?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON APMD 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on APMD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.26 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is APMD (D • RQD 44/100) a Buy at $17.34?

Welcome to the APMD (Apnimed Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 44/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.39 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $17.34

Pump the brakes on APMD — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on APMD, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Apnimed Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.68 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $17.34

APMD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on APMD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $17.34 (52-wk range $16.12 - $35.29), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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