Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$17.82 -8.22% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.52

Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $5.87B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is APLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Applied Digital Corporation (NASDAQ: APLD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $17.82 (-8.22% 1D, market cap $5.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, APLD ranks #520 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does APLD compare to DOCS and PEGA in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), APLD carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.1%, and ROIC of -21.7%. By comparison, DOCS (Doximity Inc.) holds a A- grade (84/100 RQD, P/E 30.6x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $5.99B) and PEGA (Pegasystems Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 14.2x, ROIC 22.4%, cap $5.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PEGA leads on earnings multiple (14.2x) while PEGA leads on capital efficiency (22.4% ROIC).

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πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APLD?
β–Ό

Per APLD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0001144879), Applied Digital Corporation generated $611.3M in revenue (+324.0% YoY), -$250.3M in net income, and $62.2M in free cash flow against $5.23B in total assets and $1.42B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.52 (-1.67%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 10.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510037
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk E
Cash (9)Whales (6)SEC (7)Macro (5)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$53 Bull$16 Base$13 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE APLD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for APLD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY APLD SCORES 37/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+10/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 50% Net Buy β€’ Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.2% FCF Margin ($62.2M FCF) & 35.1% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (43.1) create a -15 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$22.44-13.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$19.33+0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$19.51-8.7% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$17.82-8.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (45) β†’ D- (37)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a APLD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While APLD currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($23.75) and Max Pain ($18.71) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $53.26.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $APLDβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAPLD Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

APLD Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (APLD)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on APLD. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring APLD)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of APLD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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APLD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.99%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $20.39H $20.39L $17.82C $17.82VOL 16.29M
RES: $24.88SUP: $17.02SMA50: $23.75SMA200: $31.16
$53.07$43.34$33.62$23.90$14.17RES $24.88SUP $17.02$17.822026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

APLD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on APLD today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for APLD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for APLD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (APLD)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (APLD vs. DOCS, PEGA, SAIC, WAY)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) ranks #520 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #198 by equity capitalization ($5.87B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PEGA leads on earnings valuation at 14.2x trailing P/E, while PEGA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.4% ROIC and 75.9% gross margin. DOCS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 84/100 (A-) compared with APLD at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
APLD ACTIVE
Applied Digital Corporation
D- 37/100 β€” 35.1% -21.7% -8.22% $5.87B Benchmark Subject
DOCS
Doximity Inc.
A- 84/100 30.6x 89.1% 17.2% -2.59% $5.99B /docs-vs-apld β†’
PEGA
Pegasystems Inc.
B 73/100 14.2x 75.9% 22.4% -0.53% $5.58B /pega-vs-apld β†’
SAIC
Science Applications International Corporation
B+ 76/100 17.7x 12.0% 10.9% +0.67% $6.32B /saic-vs-apld β†’
WAY
Waystar Holding Corp.
C 64/100 48.3x β€” 3.7% -0.74% $5.41B /way-vs-apld β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-05-31 β€’ CIK 0001144879

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31), Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) reported GAAP revenue of $611.3M (+324.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $144.2M , and +347.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$250.3M, operating cash flow of $89.7M, and free cash flow of $62.2M (+151.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, APLD closed FY2025 with $5.23B in total assets against $1.42B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.44, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-05-31 $611.3M -$250.3M $89.7M $62.2M $5.23B $1.42B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-05-31 $144.2M -$233.7M -$115.4M -$121.9M $1.54B $473.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-05-31 $136.6M -$149.3M $13.8M $7.6M $3.23B $755.4M

3. APLD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is APLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Applied Digital Corporation (NASDAQ: APLD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $17.82 (-8.22% 1D, market cap $5.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, APLD ranks #520 in composite RQD confidence.

How does APLD compare to DOCS and PEGA in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), APLD carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 35.1%, and ROIC of -21.7%. By comparison, DOCS (Doximity Inc.) holds a A- grade (84/100 RQD, P/E 30.6x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $5.99B) and PEGA (Pegasystems Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 14.2x, ROIC 22.4%, cap $5.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PEGA leads on earnings multiple (14.2x) while PEGA leads on capital efficiency (22.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APLD?

Per APLD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0001144879), Applied Digital Corporation generated $611.3M in revenue (+324.0% YoY), -$250.3M in net income, and $62.2M in free cash flow against $5.23B in total assets and $1.42B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is APLD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

APLD last traded at $17.82 (-8.22% on volume of 26,640,311 shares), positioning the stock -24.97% below its 50-day simple moving average ($23.75) and -42.81% below its 200-day simple moving average ($31.16). Across its 52-week range of $17.19 to $50.72, APLD sits at the 1.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($15.59 to $20.05).

APLD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are APLD insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies APLD leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 37/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

APLD β€” Applied Digital Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:19:39Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, APLD scores 37 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D- and the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 9 of 20, reflecting ROIC of -21.7% and an FCF yield of 1.06%, which signals that the business is not yet generating returns on invested capital. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 6 of 20, indicating weak institutional accumulation and options positioning in the source data. The insider conviction pillar scores 10 of 20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The macro regime fit pillar scores 5 of 20, with a beta of 1.17 pointing to above-market sensitivity. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 7 of 20, anchored by an Altman Z-Score of 1.44, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.91.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside case rests on the company's revenue growth trajectory and its cash balance, while the valuation tradeoff is that the stock carries a forward P/E of 20 against negative trailing EPS of -0.83. The lowest-scoring pillars (fundamental cash engine and macro regime fit) suggest that the primary risks are operating losses and sensitivity to broader market swings. The forensic pillar's middling score reflects a balance sheet that is neither distressed nor robust, so the margin for error on further losses is a central consideration.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$611.3M$-236.5M$-250.3MN/A$62.2M$1913.4M$1420.9M
FY 2024$144.2M$-72.2M$-233.7MN/A$-121.9M$286.2M$473.8M
FY 2023$136.6M$-98.3M$-149.3MN/A$7.6MN/A$755.4M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew substantially from $136.6M in FY 2023 to $611.3M in FY 2025, but operating losses persisted in every reported period. Per the market data, gross margin is 35.1%, operating margin is -38.7%, and net margin is -40.9%, with ROIC at -21.7%. The Altman Z-Score is 1.44 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, per the forensic balance sheet inputs in the RQD rating. Debt/Equity is 0.91, and reported cash rose to $1913.4M in FY 2025 against debt of $1420.9M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the most prominent headline is "Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) Reports Q1 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates," flagged RED as RISK WATCH. Another item reports on "Applied Digital Reports Fiscal First Quarter 2027 Results," flagged YELLOW. Additional YELLOW market-wire items include a TradingView report, a Seeking Alpha piece titled "Applied Digital: Capacity Expansion A Catalyst For P/S Expansion," and a Schaeffer's Investment Research item titled "Earnings Preview: Short Sellers Target Applied Digital Stock." A Globe and Mail item reports that Wells Fargo issued a Buy rating on the stock. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue drivers behind the jump from $144.2M to $611.3M in revenue?
  • What is the trailing P/E and EV/EBITDA, which the source data marks as unavailable?
  • What is the composition and expected trajectory of the $1420.9M debt load relative to the $1913.4M cash position?
  • What drove the RED-flagged Q1 loss headline, and how does it compare to the reported FY 2025 net loss of $-250.3M?
  • Which institutional and insider holders are positioned in the stock, given that holder data is absent?

APLD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to APLD Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

APLD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $17.82?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON APLD 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on APLD:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.08 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is APLD (D- β€’ RQD 37/100) a Buy at $19.41?

Welcome to the APLD (Applied Digital Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 37/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in EDP Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.95 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $19.41

Pump the brakes on APLD β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on APLD, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 35.1% gross margins. Unless Applied Digital Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $23.49 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $19.41

APLD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on APLD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in EDP Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $19.41 (52-wk range $17.19 - $50.72), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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