Why APH Stock dropped -3.39% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$79.30 -3.39% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $79.01

Amphenol Corporation (APH) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 79/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (37% profit margin, 29% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $202.41B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on APH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is APH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Amphenol Corporation (NYSE: APH) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $79.30 (-3.39% 1D, market cap $202.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, APH ranks #15 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does APH compare to CLS and FLEX in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Electrical Products), APH carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.4x, gross margin of 36.9%, and ROIC of 28.6%. By comparison, CLS (Celestica Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 42.8x, ROIC 22.1%, cap $35.66B) and FLEX (Flex Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 39.1x, ROIC 18.6%, cap $34.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HUBB leads on earnings multiple (26.1x) while JBL leads on capital efficiency (39.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APH?
▼

Per APH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000820313), Amphenol Corporation generated $23.09B in revenue (+51.7% YoY), $4.27B in net income, and $4.38B in free cash flow against $36.24B in total assets and $10.23B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (37% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $79.01 (-0.37%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) • 19% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 79/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510079
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B+
Cash (20)Whales (15)SEC (18)Macro (13)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.4% Base Target
$102 Bull$87 Base$65 Bear
📬 FREE APH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for APH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (79/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY APH SCORES 79/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 19% FCF Margin ($4.38B FCF) & 36.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.34 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 7 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
87
Grade A$85.89-7.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
84
Grade A$79.32-1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
82
Grade A$78.21+1.4% Next Q
Current
79
Grade B+$79.30+8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A (87) → B+ (79)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the APH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 79/100 (B+) score, APH faces multiple-compression risk if 47.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($81.57) or 200D SMA ($75.47) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($86.79) toward Bear Floor ($65.03).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $APH• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “APH Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why APH Stock dropped -3.39% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Amphenol Corporation (APH) dropped -3.39% to $79.30, trading at 66% of its 52-week range ($59.01 – $89.93). High-quality cash engine (37% profit margin, 29% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 66% of its 52-week range ($59.01 – $89.93) with RSI-14 at 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.1% around $79.30 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B+ (Buy) backed by 36.9% gross margin and $4.4B annual free cash flow.
Live APH Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (APH Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
APH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.47%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $80.96H $82.08L $79.30C $79.30VOL 15.72M
RES: $90.77SUP: $70.74SMA50: $81.57SMA200: $75.47
$92.09$83.13$74.16$65.19$56.23RES $90.77SUP $70.74$79.302026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

APH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
34.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +51.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on APH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for APH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for APH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (APH)

Technology Rank #15 of 714 ⚔️ CLS vs APH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (APH vs. CLS, FLEX, JBL, HUBB)

Industry: Electrical Products (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amphenol Corporation (APH) ranks #15 by composite RQD confidence (79/100, grade B+) and #30 by equity capitalization ($202.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HUBB leads on earnings valuation at 26.1x trailing P/E, while JBL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.4% ROIC and 8.9% gross margin. APH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 79/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
APH ACTIVE
Amphenol Corporation
B+ 79/100 47.4x 36.9% 28.6% -3.39% $202.41B Benchmark Subject
CLS
Celestica Inc.
C- 59/100 42.8x 12.1% 22.1% -6.09% $35.66B /cls-vs-aph →
FLEX
Flex Ltd.
D+ 58/100 39.1x 9.2% 18.6% -7.08% $34.39B /flex-vs-aph →
JBL
Jabil Inc.
D+ 56/100 45.1x 8.9% 39.4% -5.23% $29.63B /jbl-vs-aph →
HUBB
Hubbell Inc
C- 60/100 26.1x 35.3% 17.7% -3.60% $23.15B /hubb-vs-aph →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000820313

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Amphenol Corporation (APH) reported GAAP revenue of $23.09B (+51.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.22B , and +84.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.27B, operating cash flow of $5.37B, and free cash flow of $4.38B (+103.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, APH closed FY2025 with $36.24B in total assets against $10.23B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.34, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $23.09B $4.27B $5.37B $4.38B $36.24B $10.23B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $15.22B $2.42B $2.81B $2.15B $21.44B $5.21B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $12.55B $1.93B $2.53B $1.96B $111.32B $26.05B

3. APH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is APH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Amphenol Corporation (NYSE: APH) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $79.30 (-3.39% 1D, market cap $202.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, APH ranks #15 in composite RQD confidence.

How does APH compare to CLS and FLEX in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Electrical Products), APH carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.4x, gross margin of 36.9%, and ROIC of 28.6%. By comparison, CLS (Celestica Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 42.8x, ROIC 22.1%, cap $35.66B) and FLEX (Flex Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 39.1x, ROIC 18.6%, cap $34.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HUBB leads on earnings multiple (26.1x) while JBL leads on capital efficiency (39.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APH?

Per APH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000820313), Amphenol Corporation generated $23.09B in revenue (+51.7% YoY), $4.27B in net income, and $4.38B in free cash flow against $36.24B in total assets and $10.23B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (37% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is APH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

APH last traded at $79.30 (-3.39% on volume of 16,590,907 shares), positioning the stock -2.78% below its 50-day simple moving average ($81.57) and +5.07% above its 200-day simple moving average ($75.47). Across its 52-week range of $59.01 to $89.93, APH sits at the 65.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($73.67 to $84.93).

APH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is APH stock moving today?

Why APH Stock dropped -3.39% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (37% profit margin, 29% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 79/100 (B+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

APH — Amphenol Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:08Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 79 out of 100, letter grade B+, labeled "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." Per the Roarable RQD rating, the five pillars score as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 20 / 20. The pillar cites ROIC of 28.6% and an FCF yield of 2.16%. For a prospective investor, this is the strongest pillar: returns on invested capital are high, but the 2.16% FCF yield signals that the market is pricing in substantial future growth, so the cash generation is strong while the entry price is not cheap on this measure.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 15 / 20. The pillar references institutional accumulation and options positioning. Specific 13F holdings data is not provided in this source set, so the score reflects positioning as summarized by the rating, not verifiable holder detail.
  • Insider Conviction: 13 / 20. The pillar references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. No underlying transaction detail is provided in this source set; the score is a moderate reading without itemized support here.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. The pillar cites a beta of 1.23 and sector sensitivity. The beta implies the stock has historically moved more than the broad market, which means amplified drawdowns in risk-off regimes alongside amplified gains in risk-on regimes.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. The pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 7.34, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.71. These are strong readings on financial health and reduce bankruptcy and accounting-quality concerns.

Taken together, the score points to a company with exceptional cash economics and balance sheet quality, with the principal tradeoff being valuation: a trailing P/E of 47.4 and EV/EBITDA of 29.9 mean much of the quality is already reflected in the price. Upside depends on sustained earnings growth to compress those multiples; the two weaker pillars (macro fit and flow/insider signals) indicate that sentiment and cyclical exposure are less supportive than fundamentals. This is an analytical reading of the rating, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
82.08$202.41B47.439.829.91.730.4%1.23$59.01 - $89.9328.6%

Business

Amphenol Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector, Electrical Products industry, per the profile section. Not available in source data: a detailed description of its product lines, customer base, or revenue mix. The profile gives the company's market capitalization of $202.4B. Not available in source data: specifics on how the company makes money beyond the reported revenue and margin figures in the financials and market data sections.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, six headlines reference APH within the last roughly 15 hours. The items are tagged as market wire with a YELLOW light, and include coverage of an all-time high and a reiterated Buy rating from Seeking Alpha, plus a 3.15% single-day move on Oct 27. Themes across the headlines center on AI infrastructure positioning and comparison with peers such as Vertiv. Not available in source data: the body text of these articles, so specific catalyst details beyond headline framing cannot be verified. Risk watch items: the stock is near its 52-week high of $89.93 against a current price of $82.08, and the headline set is uniformly YELLOW-tagged with no RED signals. Proprietary signals: none are listed in the butterfly graph.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is marked NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data: upstream supplier and downstream customer dependencies, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks. A prospective investor should note this gap: the headline set frames APH as AI infrastructure exposure, but the graph does not map the chain that would verify that linkage.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Not available in source data: analyst consensus rating and price targets (analyst data is NONE). Not available in source data: 13F institutional holders, SEC Form 4 insider transactions, or Congressional trades (holders data is NONE).

Open Questions

  • What are the EPS values for each reported fiscal year? The financials list EPS as N/A for all periods, while trailing EPS is 1.73.
  • What drove the FY 2023 debt level of $26049.7M and the missing FY 2023 cash figure?
  • Which specific 13F holders and insider transactions underlie the Whale (15/20) and Insider (13/20) pillar scores?
  • What is the upstream and downstream supply-chain structure that would substantiate the AI-infrastructure framing in the news headlines?
  • What is the reported cause of the 3.15% move on Oct 27 and the content of the all-time high coverage?

APH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Amphenol Corporation (APH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to APH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

APH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $79.30?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON APH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on APH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $96.85 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is APH (B+ • RQD 79/100) a Buy at $82.08?

Welcome to the APH (Amphenol Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 79/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Electrical Products. Bulls point to capital efficiency (28.6% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (47.4x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $63.20 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $82.08

Pump the brakes on APH — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on APH, but look at what you are paying: 47.4x trailing P/E with 36.9% gross margins. Unless Amphenol Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $95.21 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $82.08

APH cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on APH, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Electrical Products and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $82.08 (52-wk range $59.01 - $89.93), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%