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Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A) (APAM) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$38.43 +5.06% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.71

Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A) (APAM) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.97B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on APAM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is APAM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: APAM) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $38.43 (+5.06% 1D, market cap $2.97B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, APAM ranks #418 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does APAM compare to NAN and FSK in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), APAM carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 71.9%. By comparison, NAN (Nuveen New York Quality Municipal Income Fund) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.03B) and FSK (FS KKR Capital Corp.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $3.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HTGC leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while APAM leads on capital efficiency (71.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APAM?
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Per APAM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001517302), Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A) generated $1.20B in revenue (+7.6% YoY), $290.3M in net income, and $171.6M in free cash flow against $1.58B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.71 (+0.72%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 14.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$49 Bull$39 Base$30 Bear
📬 FREE APAM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for APAM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY APAM SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (60.1) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$31.25+5.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$32.96+0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$33.20+15.8% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$38.43+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the APAM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, APAM faces multiple-compression risk if 10.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($36.57) or 200D SMA ($38.21) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($38.60) toward Bear Floor ($30.11).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $APAM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “APAM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your APAM Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $38.43: 260.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $30.11
$7,835
$-2,165 (-21.6%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $38.60
$10,044
+$44 (+0.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $48.86
$12,714
+$2,714 (+27.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$4074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$4669%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$3458%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (APAM Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
APAM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.29%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $36.39H $38.43L $36.39C $38.43VOL 1.03M
RES: $49.14SUP: $30.25SMA50: $36.57SMA200: $38.21
$45.21$41.32$37.43$33.54$29.65RES $49.14SUP $30.25$38.432026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

APAM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 APAM Butterfly Map → + Track APAM →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-0.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on APAM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for APAM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for APAM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (APAM)

Financials Rank #418 of 1097 ⚔️ NAN vs APAM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (APAM vs. NAN, FSK, HTGC, AAMI)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A) (APAM) ranks #418 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #370 by equity capitalization ($2.97B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HTGC leads on earnings valuation at 9.3x trailing P/E, while APAM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 71.9% ROIC and — gross margin. APAM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
APAM ACTIVE
Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A)
C- 59/100 10.2x — 71.9% +5.06% $2.97B Benchmark Subject
NAN
Nuveen New York Quality Municipal Income Fund
D 45/100 — — — +0.30% $3.03B /nan-vs-apam →
FSK
FS KKR Capital Corp.
D 51/100 — — 0.2% +3.72% $3.05B /fsk-vs-apam →
HTGC
Hercules Capital Inc.
D- 42/100 9.3x — 15.3% -0.36% $3.14B /htgc-vs-apam →
AAMI
Acadian Asset Management Inc.
D 50/100 40.5x — 40.3% -1.57% $3.16B /aami-vs-apam →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001517302 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A) (APAM) reported GAAP revenue of $1.20B (+7.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.11B , and +22.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $290.3M, operating cash flow of $172.0M, and free cash flow of $171.6M (-53.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, APAM closed FY2025 with $1.58B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.20B $290.3M $172.0M $171.6M $1.58B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.11B $259.7M $372.8M $371.3M $1.62B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $975.1M $222.3M $253.0M $253.0M — —

3. APAM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is APAM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: APAM) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $38.43 (+5.06% 1D, market cap $2.97B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, APAM ranks #418 in composite RQD confidence.

How does APAM compare to NAN and FSK in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), APAM carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 71.9%. By comparison, NAN (Nuveen New York Quality Municipal Income Fund) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.03B) and FSK (FS KKR Capital Corp.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $3.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HTGC leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while APAM leads on capital efficiency (71.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APAM?

Per APAM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001517302), Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A) generated $1.20B in revenue (+7.6% YoY), $290.3M in net income, and $171.6M in free cash flow against $1.58B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is APAM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

APAM last traded at $38.43 (+5.06% on volume of 2,247,041 shares), positioning the stock +5.09% above its 50-day simple moving average ($36.57) and +0.58% above its 200-day simple moving average ($38.21). Across its 52-week range of $30.86 to $46.53, APAM sits at the 48.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($35.74 to $41.12).

Direct Sub-Reports: APAM RQD Cockpit APAM 12M Forecast APAM Earnings & Move APAM Dividends & DRIP APAM Insiders & 13F APAM Whale Options APAM Profit Sankey APAM News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

APAM — Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A) (APAM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $38.43 (+5.06% 1D, market capitalization $2.97B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 71.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 33.4%, and free cash flow yield of 5.82%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Investment Managers industry. The profile identifies the company as an asset manager with a market capitalization of $3.0B. Revenue generation is reflected in the reported financials (revenue of $1.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A) (APAM) reported $1.20B in annual revenue (up from $1.11B in FY2024, +7.6% YoY) and $290.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($975.1M revenue, $222.3M net income) through FY2025, APAM scaled operating cash flow to $172.0M and free cash flow to $171.6M, backed by $1.58B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 59/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 5.82% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $30.86 – $46.53 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 10.2x trailing P/E and 7.4x EV/EBITDA against 33.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The one ripple-relevant item in the source is the client outflow and AUM concern cited in the news feed; the source does not connect that item to any specific sector chain.

  • Key Question #1: Can APAM sustain or expand its 33.4% operating margin and 71.9% ROIC against Investment Managers peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.20B and free cash flow of $171.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is APAM's 9.5x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

APAM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (Class A) (APAM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to APAM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

APAM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $38.43?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON APAM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on APAM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $44.63 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

High capital efficiency (ROIC 71.9%) and a forward P/E of 9.5 combine with the strongest RQD pillar, insider conviction at 17 / 20.

Picked up a starter position in APAM in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $36.58. High capital efficiency (ROIC 71.9%) and a forward P/E of 9.5 combine with the strongest RQD pillar, insider conviction at 17 / 20.. Trading inside a $30.86–$46.53 52-week range with 5.82% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Investment Managers multiples expand this quarter.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@TapeReader_Pro Agree on the RQD 59/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $36.58 and keeping dry powder in case we test $34.02.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $29.26 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $36.58

Free cash flow fell from $371.3M in FY 2024 to $171.6M in FY 2025 while the macro regime fit pillar scored only 8 / 20.

Fading this rally in APAM at $36.58. Free cash flow fell from $371.3M in FY 2024 to $171.6M in FY 2025 while the macro regime fit pillar scored only 8 / 20.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $36.58 (52-wk range $30.86–$46.53), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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