Are AMTX insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies AMTX leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Stock Ratings / Materials / AMTX / insiders

FSI (47) ARQ (31) LODE (21) LNZA (26) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.15 -8.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.13

Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $90.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AMTX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AMTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Aemetis Inc. (NASDAQ: AMTX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $1.15 (-8.00% 1D, market cap $90.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, AMTX ranks #247 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AMTX compare to FSI and ARQ in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), AMTX carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -0.4%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FSI (Flexible Solutions International Inc. (CDA)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 101.5x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $78.7M) and ARQ (Arq Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.6%, cap $77.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FSI leads on earnings multiple (101.5x) while FSI leads on capital efficiency (8.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMTX?

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Per AMTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000738214), Aemetis Inc. generated $208.0M in revenue (-22.3% YoY), -$77.0M in net income, and -$22.7M in free cash flow against $259.8M in total assets and $63.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.13 (-1.63%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMTX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AMTX SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.56-12.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.37-4.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.31-12.2% Next Q

Current

Grade E$1.15-10% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (36) → E (28)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AMTX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AMTX currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.69) and Max Pain ($1.21) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.99.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMTX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AMTX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 28%NO 72%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

AMTX Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (AMTX)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on AMTX. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AMTX)

✓Walkthrough of AMTX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AMTX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -67.88%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $1.29H $1.29L $1.15C $1.15VOL 634.9K

RES: $2.45SUP: $1.03SMA50: $1.69SMA200: $1.97

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMTX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AMTX Butterfly Map → + Track AMTX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMTX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMTX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMTX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMTX)

Materials Rank #247 of 270 ⚔️ FSI vs AMTX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (AMTX vs. FSI, ARQ, LODE, LNZA)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) ranks #247 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #230 by equity capitalization ($90.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FSI leads on earnings valuation at 101.5x trailing P/E, while FSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.5% ROIC and 32.6% gross margin. FSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with AMTX at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AMTX ACTIVE Aemetis Inc.	E	28/100	—	-0.4%	-35.0%	-8.00%	$90.2M	Benchmark Subject
FSI Flexible Solutions International Inc. (CDA)	D	47/100	101.5x	32.6%	8.5%	+0.16%	$78.7M	/fsi-vs-amtx →
ARQ Arq Inc.	E	31/100	—	—	-24.6%	+2.26%	$77.3M	/arq-vs-amtx →
LODE Comstock Inc.	E	21/100	—	-30.0%	-33.3%	+2.13%	$107.2M	/lode-vs-amtx →
LNZA LanzaTech Global Inc.	E	26/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.90%	$67.1M	/lnza-vs-amtx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000738214

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) reported GAAP revenue of $208.0M (-22.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $267.6M , and +169.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$77.0M, operating cash flow of $3.3M, and free cash flow of -$22.7M (+57.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMTX closed FY2025 with $259.8M in total assets against $63.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$208.0M	-$77.0M	$3.3M	-$22.7M	$259.8M	$63.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$267.6M	-$87.5M	-$32.9M	-$53.2M	$259.3M	$247.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$77.2M	-$46.4M	$13.8M	$13.8M	—	—

3. AMTX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does AMTX compare to FSI and ARQ in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMTX?

Where is AMTX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMTX last traded at $1.15 (-8.00% on volume of 1,048,397 shares), positioning the stock -31.95% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.69) and -41.62% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.97). Across its 52-week range of $1.17 to $3.80, AMTX sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.01 to $1.29).

Direct Sub-Reports: AMTX RQD Cockpit AMTX 12M Forecast AMTX Earnings & Move AMTX Dividends & DRIP AMTX Insiders & 13F AMTX Whale Options AMTX Profit Sankey AMTX News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 28/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AMTX — Aemetis Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:44:22Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

AMTX carries an RQD Score of 28 and a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars score as follows: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -24.42%), Whale 13F Flow 3/20, Insider Conviction 3/20, Macro Regime Fit 5/20 (Beta 1.0), and Forensic Balance Sheet 8/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). Every pillar sits well below its 20-point maximum. The weakest signals are institutional and insider positioning, which are the pillars that would ordinarily corroborate a thesis from outside the company; the cash-engine pillar is also depressed by negative returns on capital and negative free cash flow yield. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating frames the setup as one where the reported economics and the ownership signals both point away from the stock, with the balance sheet scored as a forensic concern rather than a strength. The rating is an analytical summary of the supplied figures and is not personalized financial advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Materials sector and the Major Chemicals industry. The reported revenue figures (see Financial Trend) are the only operating disclosure available, and they are not broken down by product or customer in the source data.

Per the market data, gross margin is -0.4%, operating margin -17.9%, and net margin -37%, with ROIC at -35%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported net losses appear in all three periods, and free cash flow was negative in FY 2025 and FY 2024 after a positive figure in FY 2023. Debt in the source data declined from $247.5M in FY 2024 to $63.9M in FY 2025, while reported cash was $4.9M at FY 2025.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: Reported debt fell from $247.5M in FY 2024 to $63.9M in FY 2025, and the FY 2023 free cash flow was positive at $13.8M. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 (ROIC -35.0%, FCF yield -24.42%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $1.17 – $3.80 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: Negative ROIC of -35%, a -24.42% FCF yield, and net losses in every reported period weigh on the RQD score of 28. Investors must weigh current valuation against -17.9% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signal links are recorded. The source data therefore does not establish any 2nd-order ripple effects. A prospective investor should note the absence of mapped supply-chain links as a gap in the analysis rather than as evidence of independence.

Key Question #1: What is the basis for the reported cash of $4.9M against debt of $63.9M in FY 2025, and what is the debt maturity profile?
Key Question #2: What drove the decline in reported debt from $247.5M to $63.9M between FY 2024 and FY 2025?
Key Question #3: What are the content and financial implications of the 45Z credits and biogas digester news referenced in the wire?

AMTX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AMTX Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

Aemetis Begins Operation of Two New Biogas Digesters

Yahoo Finance report covering Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 23h ago

Aemetis (NASDAQ:AMTX) Stock Price Breaks Below 200-Day Moving Average - What's Next?

MarketBeat report covering Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Weekly Recap: Aemetis, Inc. $22.8M 45Z credits and Keyes RNG station

TradingView report covering Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance UK • 1d ago

Aemetis, Inc. (AMTX) Seasonal returns chart

Yahoo Finance UK report covering Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Aemetis (NASDAQ:AMTX) Stock Crosses Below Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Time to Sell?

MarketBeat report covering Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

AMTX Q3'26 Earnings: revenue estimate is 74.20M USD

TradingView report covering Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Aemetis Q3 2026 Earnings Date and Estimates

MarketBeat report covering Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago

AMTX Q2 2026 Earnings: Loss Narrower Than Expected as Cost Discipline Holds - Profit Margin Analysis

https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Aemetis Inc. (AMTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AMTX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.15?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AMTX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MA MacroHawk_NYC Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.46 (+16.8%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Reported debt fell from $247.5M in FY 2024 to $63.9M in FY 2025, and the FY 2023 free cash flow was positive at $13.8M.

The street is overcomplicating Aemetis Inc. (AMTX). Reported debt fell from $247.5M in FY 2024 to $63.9M in FY 2025, and the FY 2023 free cash flow was positive at $13.8M.. With an RQD score of 28/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $1.35.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 28/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $1.25 and keeping dry powder in case we test $1.16.

RI RiskArb_Desk Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.04 (-16.8%)

Spot @ $1.25

Negative ROIC of -35%, a -24.42% FCF yield, and net losses in every reported period weigh on the RQD score of 28.

Careful chasing AMTX at $1.25. Negative ROIC of -35%, a -24.42% FCF yield, and net losses in every reported period weigh on the RQD score of 28.. Gross margin is -0.4%, but operating margin is -17.9%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.04 on multiple compression.