Why AMGN Stock advanced +1.15% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$466.01 +1.15% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $468.09

Amgen Inc. (AMGN) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (67% profit margin, 15% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $249.09B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AMGN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Amgen Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $466.01 (+1.15% 1D, market cap $249.09B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, AMGN ranks #74 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AMGN compare to GILD and MRNA in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), AMGN carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.3x, gross margin of 67.2%, and ROIC of 14.5%. By comparison, GILD (Gilead Sciences Inc.) holds a A- grade (82/100 RQD, P/E 24.1x, ROIC 21.0%, cap $205.35B) and MRNA (Moderna Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.1%, cap $88.93B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GILD leads on earnings multiple (24.1x) while GILD leads on capital efficiency (21.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMGN?
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Per AMGN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000318154), Amgen Inc. generated $36.75B in revenue (+10.0% YoY), $7.71B in net income, and $8.10B in free cash flow against $90.59B in total assets and $50.01B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $468.11 (+0.45%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 22% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C-
Cash (13)Whales (19)SEC (14)Macro (10)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target
$582 Bull$493 Base$382 Bear
📬 FREE AMGN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMGN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AMGN SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+19/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.2% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (67) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$412.84+6.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$438.94+2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$447.95+4% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$466.01+6.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AMGN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, AMGN faces multiple-compression risk if 32.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 64.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($420.73) or 200D SMA ($376.09) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($493.27) toward Bear Floor ($382.13).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMGN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AMGN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why AMGN Stock advanced +1.15% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Amgen Inc. (AMGN) advanced +1.15% to $466.01, trading at 95% of its 52-week range ($292.12 – $475.65). High-quality cash engine (67% profit margin, 15% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 95% of its 52-week range ($292.12 – $475.65) with RSI-14 at 67 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.2% around $466.01 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B- (Buy) backed by 67.2% gross margin and $8.1B annual free cash flow.
Live AMGN Headlines & Catalysts
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AMGN Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
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AMGN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +43.90%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $451.8H $466.0L $451.8C $466.0VOL 2.98M
RES: $476.9SUP: $398.8SMA50: $420.7SMA200: $376.1
$486.5$441.5$396.5$351.5$306.6RES $476.9SUP $398.8$466.02026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMGN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMGN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMGN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMGN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMGN)

Health Care Rank #74 of 1016 ⚔️ GILD vs AMGN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (AMGN vs. GILD, MRNA, ARGX, RVMD)

Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amgen Inc. (AMGN) ranks #74 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #9 by equity capitalization ($249.09B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GILD leads on earnings valuation at 24.1x trailing P/E, while GILD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.0% ROIC and 78.8% gross margin. GILD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with AMGN at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AMGN ACTIVE
Amgen Inc.
B- 71/100 32.3x 67.2% 14.5% +1.15% $249.09B Benchmark Subject
GILD
Gilead Sciences Inc.
A- 82/100 24.1x 78.8% 21.0% +3.06% $205.35B /gild-vs-amgn →
MRNA
Moderna Inc.
C- 60/100 — 55.3% -34.1% -0.47% $88.93B /mrna-vs-amgn →
ARGX
argenx SE
C 63/100 32.8x — 9.9% -0.56% $55.72B /argx-vs-amgn →
RVMD
Revolution Medicines Inc.
D+ 55/100 — — -28.6% +0.55% $40.78B /rvmd-vs-amgn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000318154

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Amgen Inc. (AMGN) reported GAAP revenue of $36.75B (+10.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $33.42B , and +30.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $7.71B, operating cash flow of $9.96B, and free cash flow of $8.10B (-22.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMGN closed FY2025 with $90.59B in total assets against $50.01B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.83, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $36.75B $7.71B $9.96B $8.10B $90.59B $50.01B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $33.42B $4.09B $11.49B $10.39B $91.84B $56.55B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $28.19B $6.72B $8.47B $7.20B $137.00B $32.06B

3. AMGN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMGN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Amgen Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $466.01 (+1.15% 1D, market cap $249.09B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, AMGN ranks #74 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMGN compare to GILD and MRNA in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), AMGN carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.3x, gross margin of 67.2%, and ROIC of 14.5%. By comparison, GILD (Gilead Sciences Inc.) holds a A- grade (82/100 RQD, P/E 24.1x, ROIC 21.0%, cap $205.35B) and MRNA (Moderna Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.1%, cap $88.93B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GILD leads on earnings multiple (24.1x) while GILD leads on capital efficiency (21.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMGN?

Per AMGN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000318154), Amgen Inc. generated $36.75B in revenue (+10.0% YoY), $7.71B in net income, and $8.10B in free cash flow against $90.59B in total assets and $50.01B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMGN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMGN last traded at $466.01 (+1.15% on volume of 3,290,628 shares), positioning the stock +10.76% above its 50-day simple moving average ($420.73) and +23.91% above its 200-day simple moving average ($376.09). Across its 52-week range of $292.12 to $475.65, AMGN sits at the 94.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($441.78 to $490.24).

AMGN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is AMGN stock moving today?

Why AMGN Stock advanced +1.15% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (67% profit margin, 15% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 71/100 (B-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AMGN — Amgen Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:08:58Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AMGN scores 71 out of 100, graded B-, with the verdict "Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 14.5% and an FCF yield of 3.25%. Investor implication: returns on capital are respectable, but the free-cash-flow yield is modest relative to a roughly $249.09B market cap and a 32.3x trailing P/E, so cash generation alone does not justify the valuation; investors are paying for expected future growth.
  • Whale 13F Flow (19 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar, indicating institutional accumulation and options positioning. Investor implication: sophisticated holders appear to be building positions, which is a supportive signal, though it does not guarantee future price performance.
  • Insider Conviction (15 / 20): Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is scored as moderately positive. Investor implication: insider activity provides some confidence signal but is not a standalone buy trigger.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10 / 20): Per the RQD rating, beta of 0.87 and sector sensitivity produce a below-midpoint score. Investor implication: the stock is less volatile than the broad market (beta below 1.0), which can cushion drawdowns, but the score signals limited tailwind from the current macro regime.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (14 / 20): Per the RQD rating, Altman Z of 3.83, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 5.78 combine into a solid but leveraged profile. Investor implication: the Z-score and F-score point to financial health and improving fundamentals, while the high Debt/Equity ratio is a key tradeoff to monitor if rates or refinancing conditions tighten.

Taken together, the 71 score reflects strong institutional interest and a healthy balance-sheet profile, offset by a rich valuation (32.3x P/E TTM, 27.2x EV/EBITDA) and a limited macro tailwind. The valuation tradeoff is the central consideration for a prospective investor.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$460.73$249.09B32.33027.214.262.06%0.87$292.12 - $475.6514.5%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Per the news wire, Yahoo Finance reported on AMGN's market action and institutional positioning (flagged YELLOW, market wire).
  • Per the news wire, Trefis discussed what would drive the stock higher (flagged YELLOW).
  • Per the news wire, TradingKey covered a Sjögren's trial success and its implications for the pipeline outlook (flagged YELLOW).
  • Per the news wire, a Yahoo Finance report discussed a possible KRAS market growth opportunity, framed as a potential undervaluation (flagged GREEN, catalyst).
  • Per the news wire, TradingKey reported a 3.29% move on Oct 14 with key drivers (flagged YELLOW).
  • Per the news wire, Yahoo Finance profiled AMGN as a trending stock (flagged YELLOW).

Risk watch items: the source data does not specify the magnitude of trial outcomes or the timeline of pipeline catalysts. Per the butterfly graph, proprietary signals are none.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific products and revenue mix driving the FY 2025 revenue of $36751.0M, and how concentrated is it?
  • What is the reported EPS for each period, given that the financials list EPS as N/A?
  • What are the timelines, probabilities, and commercial potential of the Sjögren's and KRAS programs referenced in the news?
  • How is the $50005.0M debt structured (maturities, rates, covenants), and what drives the 5.78 Debt/Equity ratio?
  • What are the upstream and downstream dependencies and any analyst price targets?

AMGN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Amgen Inc. (AMGN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AMGN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AMGN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $466.01?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AMGN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AMGN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $543.66 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AMGN (B- • RQD 71/100) a Buy at $460.73?

Welcome to the AMGN (Amgen Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 71/100 (Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances). Bulls point to capital efficiency (14.5% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.3x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $368.58 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $460.73

Pump the brakes on AMGN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AMGN, but look at what you are paying: 32.3x trailing P/E with 67.2% gross margins. Unless Amgen Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $589.73 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $460.73

AMGN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AMGN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $460.73 (52-wk range $292.12 - $475.65), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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