Amcor plc (AMCR) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

AMCR scores 57 out of 100, grading D+ under the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 8 / 20 (ROIC 3.8%; FCF yield 3.28%); Whale 13F Flow at 16 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 14 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 10 / 20 (Beta 0.97; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 9 / 20 (Altman Z 1.09; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.92).

The weakest pillar is the cash engine, where a 3.8% ROIC and 3.28% FCF yield sit at the low end of what the rating treats as strong. The forensic balance sheet also scores below midpoint, anchored by an Altman Z of 1. The strongest pillars are institutional flow and insider/congressional flow, which suggest that some market participants are positioning constructively even though the fundamental and balance sheet inputs weigh the rating down. For a prospective investor, the practical implication is a tension: the market data shows a P/E (TTM) of 42.6 and a forward P/E of 35.8 against an EPS (TTM) of 1.11, so the price embeds expectations well above what trailing cash returns currently support. Upside would depend on margin or return improvement; the rating's "Trim" label reflects the view that current fundamentals do not justify the valuation premium on the data provided.

Amcor plc is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Miscellaneous manufacturing industries industry. — for product lines, customer segments, or revenue model detail. The profile section reports a market capitalization of $21.8B. Gross margin is 18.9% per the market data, operating margin 6.7%, and net margin 3.4%.

Revenue rose from $10.07B in FY 2024 to $15.01B in FY 2025 while net income fell from $516.0M to $511.0M, and FCF declined from $921.0M to $714.6M. Debt increased from $2.92B in FY 2023 to $11.43B in FY 2025. ROIC is 3.8% and the Altman Z-Score is 1.09, with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and Debt/Equity of 0.92. The balance sheet posture, as reported, shows substantially higher leverage in the most recent period.

• 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Institutional accumulation and insider/congressional cluster flow score 16/20 and 14/20 in the RQD rating, signaling constructive positioning despite weak fundamentals. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC 3.8%, FCF yield 3.28%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $36.25 – $50.94 52-week range.
• 🐻 Primary Bear Case: A 42.6 trailing P/E against 3.8% ROIC and a 1.09 Altman Z-Score leaves the valuation resting on expectations the reported cash returns do not yet support. Investors must weigh 42.6x trailing P/E and 19.8x EV/EBITDA against 6.7% operating margins and a 0.97 macro beta if sector demand softens.

— for upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlation beyond the Consumer Discretionary and Miscellaneous manufacturing classifications.

• Key Question #1: What is the composition of the rise in revenue from FY 2024 to FY 2025 — organic growth, acquisitions, or other drivers — given that net income declined?
• Key Question #2: What EPS figures were reported for each fiscal year, since the financials section lists EPS as N/A?
• Key Question #3: What drove the increase in debt from $5.57B to $11.43B, and how is that reflected in interest coverage?