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Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (ALLR) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$0.98 +12.33% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.00

Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (ALLR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $13.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ALLR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALLR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: ALLR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $0.98 (+12.33% 1D, market cap $13.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, ALLR ranks #737 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALLR compare to OPTH and DARE in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ALLR carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, OPTH (Optimi Health Corp.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $13.8M) and DARE (Dare Bioscience Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALLR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALLR leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALLR?
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Per ALLR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001860657), Allarity Therapeutics Inc. generated $35.3M in revenue (-53.7% YoY), -$11.2M in net income, and -$14.8M in free cash flow against $18.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.00 (+2.03%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510032
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (4)Whales (4)SEC (10)Macro (9)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.2% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE ALLR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALLR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ALLR SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 20% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
24
Grade E$0.87+1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
27
Grade E$0.88+4.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$0.92+6.5% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$0.98-9.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (24) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALLR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ALLR currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.07) and Max Pain ($1.03) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.93.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALLR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ALLR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.2K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.9K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.8K
Yr 7
$16.9K
Yr 8
$18.1K
Yr 9
$19.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALLR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ALLR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ALLR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.60%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $0.89H $0.98L $0.87C $0.98VOL 179.5K
RES: $1.27SUP: $0.76SMA50: $1.07SMA200: $1.21
$1.91$1.61$1.31$1.01$0.71RES $1.27SUP $0.76$0.982026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALLR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -53.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALLR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALLR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALLR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALLR)

Health Care Rank #737 of 1015 ⚔️ OPTH vs ALLR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ALLR vs. OPTH, DARE, CTXR, NCEL)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (ALLR) ranks #737 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #859 by equity capitalization ($13.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALLR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ALLR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. OPTH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with ALLR at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALLR ACTIVE
Allarity Therapeutics Inc.
E 32/100 — — -35.0% +12.33% $13.8M Benchmark Subject
OPTH
Optimi Health Corp.
D 46/100 — — — -7.05% $13.8M /opth-vs-allr →
DARE
Dare Bioscience Inc.
D- 36/100 — 71.3% -35.0% -6.37% $13.8M /dare-vs-allr →
CTXR
Citius Pharmaceuticals Inc.
D- 40/100 — — -35.0% +7.44% $14.4M /ctxr-vs-allr →
NCEL
NewcelX Ltd.
E 28/100 — — -35.0% -2.35% $14.7M /ncel-vs-allr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001860657 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (ALLR) reported GAAP revenue of $35.3M (-53.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $76.3M , and -26.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.2M, operating cash flow of -$14.8M, and free cash flow of -$14.8M (+16.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALLR closed FY2025 with $18.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $35.3M -$11.2M -$14.8M -$14.8M $18.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $76.3M -$24.5M -$17.4M -$17.6M $22.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $48.0M -$11.9M -$12.7M -$12.7M — —

3. ALLR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALLR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: ALLR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $0.98 (+12.33% 1D, market cap $13.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, ALLR ranks #737 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALLR compare to OPTH and DARE in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ALLR carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, OPTH (Optimi Health Corp.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $13.8M) and DARE (Dare Bioscience Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALLR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALLR leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALLR?

Per ALLR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001860657), Allarity Therapeutics Inc. generated $35.3M in revenue (-53.7% YoY), -$11.2M in net income, and -$14.8M in free cash flow against $18.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALLR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALLR last traded at $0.98 (+12.33% on volume of 166,854 shares), positioning the stock -8.41% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.07) and -19.01% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.21). Across its 52-week range of $0.77 to $1.84, ALLR sits at the 19.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.10).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 32/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ALLR — Allarity Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (ALLR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 32/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $0.98 (+12.33% 1D, market capitalization $13.8M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating within the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry. — for specific product lines, customer base, or revenue model. The FY 2025 and FY 2024 financials report revenue of — in each period, indicating no reported revenue in the source data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (ALLR) reported $35.3M in annual revenue (up from $76.3M in FY2024, -53.7% YoY) and -$11.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($48.0M revenue, -$11.9M net income) through FY2025, ALLR scaled operating cash flow to -$14.8M and free cash flow to -$14.8M, backed by $18.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 32/100): Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.77 – $1.84 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Investors should note that the only sector context provided is the Health Care classification and a beta of 1.0.

  • Key Question #1: Can ALLR sustain or expand its — operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $35.3M and free cash flow of -$14.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ALLR's equity valuation to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ALLR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (ALLR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ALLR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALLR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.98?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALLR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALLR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.10 (+26.4%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The stock trades at $0.89, near the low of its $0.77 - $1.84 52-week range, with a first commercial CLIA laboratory services agreement

The stock trades at $0.89, near the low of its $0.77 - $1.84 52-week range, with a first commercial CLIA laboratory services agreement reported in the news wire.. When you look under the hood at ALLR, Fundamental Cash Engine is 4/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -35.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (4/20) has been quietly accumulating below $1.84. My 12M target is $1.10.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $0.87 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Health Care.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.66 (-24.1%)
Spot @ $0.87

The company reports $0.0M revenue, ROIC of -35%, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 while cash declined from $19.5M to $14.7M.

Fading this rally in ALLR at $0.87. The company reports $0.0M revenue, ROIC of -35%, and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 while cash declined from $19.5M to $14.7M.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $0.87 (52-wk range $0.77–$1.84), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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