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Applied Industrial Technologies Inc. (AIT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6% Move

$298.50 +1.49% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $298.73

Applied Industrial Technologies Inc. (AIT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $10.74B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AIT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Applied Industrial Technologies Inc. (NYSE: AIT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $298.50 (+1.49% 1D, market cap $10.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AIT ranks #255 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AIT compare to POOL and DOO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), AIT carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.3%, and ROIC of 19.0%. By comparison, POOL (Pool Corporation) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 23.7%, cap $7.36B) and DOO (BRP Inc. Common Subordinate Voting Shares) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POOL leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while POOL leads on capital efficiency (23.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIT?
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Per AIT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000109563), Applied Industrial Technologies Inc. generated $4.56B in revenue (+1.9% YoY), $393.0K in net income, and $287.0M in free cash flow against $3.16B in total assets and $572.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (30.3% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $298.74 (+0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 6.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (18)Whales (6)SEC (18)Macro (8)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$394 Bull$305 Base$238 Bear
📬 FREE AIT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AIT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AIT SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.3% FCF Margin ($287.0M FCF) & 30.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.77 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$335.00+1.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$338.89-11.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$299.10-0.2% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$298.50+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AIT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, AIT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 27.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($325.00) or 200D SMA ($309.79) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($305.22) toward Bear Floor ($238.07).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AIT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AIT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 28, 2026 (~54 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6% Swing Band

±$17.91 Expected Swing
$280.59 (-6%)Spot $298.50$316.41 (+6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AIT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 63/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 1.9%

Model Bullish Setup (63/100)Model Risk Weight (37/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-06-30$4.56B$393.0K$287.0M30.3%
FY 20242024-06-30$4.48B$385.8K$169.8M29.8%
FY 20232023-06-30$4.41B$346.7K$145.4M30.3%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating AIT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on AIT
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
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AIT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.81%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $302.4H $302.4L $294.1C $298.5VOL 318.1K
RES: $354.1SUP: $292.0SMA50: $325.0SMA200: $309.8
$382.3$351.1$319.8$288.6$257.4RES $354.1SUP $292.0$298.52026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AIT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AIT Butterfly Map → + Track AIT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
14.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AIT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AIT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AIT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AIT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #255 of 1009 ⚔️ POOL vs AIT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AIT vs. POOL, DOO, PII, DSGR)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Applied Industrial Technologies Inc. (AIT) ranks #255 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #158 by equity capitalization ($10.74B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, POOL leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while POOL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.7% ROIC and 29.7% gross margin. AIT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AIT ACTIVE
Applied Industrial Technologies Inc.
C 63/100 — 30.3% 19.0% +1.49% $10.74B Benchmark Subject
POOL
Pool Corporation
C 63/100 17.9x 29.7% 23.7% +4.28% $7.36B /pool-vs-ait →
DOO
BRP Inc. Common Subordinate Voting Shares
D 51/100 — — — +3.41% $4.35B /doo-vs-ait →
PII
Polaris Inc.
D- 39/100 — 19.1% -11.5% +5.32% $3.38B /pii-vs-ait →
DSGR
Distribution Solutions Group Inc.
C- 60/100 — 33.4% 4.9% +0.06% $1.62B /dsgr-vs-ait →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000109563 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Applied Industrial Technologies Inc. (AIT) reported GAAP revenue of $4.56B (+1.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.48B , and +3.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $393.0K, operating cash flow of $492.4M, and free cash flow of $287.0M (+69.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, AIT closed FY2025 with $3.16B in total assets against $572.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.77, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $4.56B $393.0K $492.4M $287.0M $3.16B $572.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $4.48B $385.8K $371.4M $169.8M $3.04B $572.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $4.41B $346.7K $344.0M $145.4M $6.07B $1.42B

3. AIT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AIT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Applied Industrial Technologies Inc. (NYSE: AIT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $298.50 (+1.49% 1D, market cap $10.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AIT ranks #255 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AIT compare to POOL and DOO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), AIT carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.3%, and ROIC of 19.0%. By comparison, POOL (Pool Corporation) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 23.7%, cap $7.36B) and DOO (BRP Inc. Common Subordinate Voting Shares) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POOL leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while POOL leads on capital efficiency (23.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIT?

Per AIT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000109563), Applied Industrial Technologies Inc. generated $4.56B in revenue (+1.9% YoY), $393.0K in net income, and $287.0M in free cash flow against $3.16B in total assets and $572.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (30.3% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AIT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AIT last traded at $298.50 (+1.49% on volume of 342,206 shares), positioning the stock -8.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($325.00) and -3.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($309.79). Across its 52-week range of $238.72 to $374.80, AIT sits at the 43.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($280.59 to $316.41).

Direct Sub-Reports: AIT RQD Cockpit AIT 12M Forecast AIT Earnings & Move AIT Dividends & DRIP AIT Insiders & 13F AIT Whale Options AIT Profit Sankey AIT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AIT — Applied Industrial Technologies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Applied Industrial Technologies Inc. (AIT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $298.50 (+1.49% 1D, market capitalization $10.74B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (18/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 19.0%, gross margin of 30.3%, operating margin of 10.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.60%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.16x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 8.77, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.31x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Applied Industrial Technologies Inc. (AIT) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Industrial Specialties industry. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $11.0B.3% and operating margin of 10.9%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Applied Industrial Technologies Inc. (AIT) reported $4.56B in annual revenue (up from $4.48B in FY2024, +1.9% YoY) and $393.0K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.41B revenue, $346.7K net income) through FY2025, AIT scaled operating cash flow to $492.4M and free cash flow to $287.0M, backed by $3.16B in total assets against $572.3M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Strong cash generator (30.3% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 18/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $238.72 – $374.80 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation and 16.7x EV/EBITDA against 10.9% operating margins and a 1.16x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is NONE, with an empty set of butterfly links and an empty set of proprietary signals.

  • Key Question #1: Can AIT sustain or expand its 10.9% operating margin and 19.0% ROIC against Industrial Specialties peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.56B and free cash flow of $287.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $572.3M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AIT's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.16x)?

AIT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Applied Industrial Technologies Inc. (AIT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AIT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AIT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $298.50?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AIT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AIT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $358.83 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine (18/20) and Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20) pillars are its strongest, supporte

Picked up a starter position in AIT in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $294.12. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine (18/20) and Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20) pillars are its strongest, supported by 19% ROIC, Altman Z 8.77, and Debt/Equity 0.31.. Trading inside a $238.72–$374.80 52-week range with 2.6% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Industrial Specialties multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 6/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $294.12 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $235.30 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $294.12

Per the Roarable RQD rating, Whale 13F Flow scores only 7/20 and Macro Regime Fit 8/20 with Beta 1.16, while the 2.6% FCF yield and 16.

Per the Roarable RQD rating, Whale 13F Flow scores only 7/20 and Macro Regime Fit 8/20 with Beta 1.16, while the 2.6% FCF yield and 16.7 EV/EBITDA leave limited valuation cushion.. Look at the math on AIT: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 19.0% ROIC and 10.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Industrial Specialties demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $258.83 before getting long.

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