Why AIG Stock advanced +0.56% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$81.90 +0.56% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.83

American International Group Inc. (AIG) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $42.58B
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As of 2026-11-02, American International Group Inc. (NYSE: AIG) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $81.90 (+0.56% 1D, market cap $42.58B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AIG ranks #174 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AIG compare to ACGL and HIG in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), AIG carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.1%. By comparison, ACGL (Arch Capital Group Ltd.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 8.1x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $35.47B) and HIG (The Hartford Insurance Group Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 9.2x, ROIC 28.4%, cap $35.31B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALL leads on earnings multiple (6.4x) while HIG leads on capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIG?
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Per AIG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000005272), American International Group Inc. generated $26.77B in revenue (-1.7% YoY), $3.10B in net income, and $2.11B in free cash flow against $161.25B in total assets and $54.04B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.83 (-0.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 7.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C+
Cash (9)Whales (15)SEC (15)Macro (12)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$101 Bull$86 Base$67 Bear
📬 FREE AIG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AIG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AIG SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 13.6% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$77.65+5.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$81.88-2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$79.58+2.9% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$81.90+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AIG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, AIG faces multiple-compression risk if 13.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($77.26) or 200D SMA ($76.89) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($85.59) toward Bear Floor ($66.76).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AIG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AIG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why AIG Stock advanced +0.56% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

American International Group Inc. (AIG) advanced +0.56% to $81.90, trading at 66% of its 52-week range ($71.25 – $87.29). Solid steady margins (4% return on capital), mixed timing at 14x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 66% of its 52-week range ($71.25 – $87.29) with RSI-14 at 61.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±3.6% around $81.90 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $2.1B annual free cash flow.
Live AIG Headlines & Catalysts
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AIG Tape Review)

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AIG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.60%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $79.88H $81.90L $79.88C $81.90VOL 2.55M
RES: $83.34SUP: $70.20SMA50: $77.26SMA200: $76.89
$83.83$80.67$77.50$74.33$71.17RES $83.34SUP $70.20$81.902026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AIG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
5.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AIG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AIG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AIG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AIG)

Financials Rank #174 of 1096 ⚔️ ACGL vs AIG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AIG vs. ACGL, HIG, ALL, CINF)

Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, American International Group Inc. (AIG) ranks #174 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #71 by equity capitalization ($42.58B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALL leads on earnings valuation at 6.4x trailing P/E, while HIG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.4% ROIC and — gross margin. ACGL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with AIG at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AIG ACTIVE
American International Group Inc.
C+ 68/100 13.8x — 4.1% +0.56% $42.58B Benchmark Subject
ACGL
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
B+ 78/100 8.1x — 9.2% +2.33% $35.47B /acgl-vs-aig →
HIG
The Hartford Insurance Group Inc.
B- 70/100 9.2x — 28.4% +0.40% $35.31B /hig-vs-aig →
ALL
Allstate Corporation
B+ 78/100 6.4x — 18.2% +1.54% $64.71B /all-vs-aig →
CINF
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
B+ 77/100 11.7x — 9.2% -0.37% $27.92B /cinf-vs-aig →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000005272

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), American International Group Inc. (AIG) reported GAAP revenue of $26.77B (-1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $27.25B , and -4.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.10B, operating cash flow of $3.31B, and free cash flow of $2.11B (+3.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, AIG closed FY2025 with $161.25B in total assets against $54.04B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $26.77B $3.10B $3.31B $2.11B $161.25B $54.04B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $27.25B -$1.40B $3.27B $2.05B $161.32B $53.45B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $27.94B $3.64B $6.24B $4.99B $33.53B $7.84B

3. AIG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AIG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, American International Group Inc. (NYSE: AIG) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $81.90 (+0.56% 1D, market cap $42.58B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AIG ranks #174 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AIG compare to ACGL and HIG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), AIG carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.1%. By comparison, ACGL (Arch Capital Group Ltd.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 8.1x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $35.47B) and HIG (The Hartford Insurance Group Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 9.2x, ROIC 28.4%, cap $35.31B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALL leads on earnings multiple (6.4x) while HIG leads on capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIG?

Per AIG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000005272), American International Group Inc. generated $26.77B in revenue (-1.7% YoY), $3.10B in net income, and $2.11B in free cash flow against $161.25B in total assets and $54.04B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AIG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AIG last traded at $81.90 (+0.56% on volume of 3,125,586 shares), positioning the stock +6.01% above its 50-day simple moving average ($77.26) and +6.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($76.89). Across its 52-week range of $71.25 to $87.29, AIG sits at the 66.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.6% ($78.95 to $84.85).

AIG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is AIG stock moving today?

Why AIG Stock advanced +0.56% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (4% return on capital), mixed timing at 14x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AIG — American International Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:11:32Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AIG scores 68 out of 100, earning a C+ and the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. This is the weakest pillar. The rating cites ROIC of 4.1% and an FCF yield of 4.95%. For an investor, this indicates that the business currently generates modest returns on invested capital, which limits the compounding case unless returns improve.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 15 / 20. The rating references institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source does not provide the underlying 13F figures, so the score reflects a moderately constructive institutional tone without detail on magnitude.
  • Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. This is the strongest pillar, citing SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Clustered insider activity is generally read as a supportive signal, though the source does not itemize the transactions.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. The rating cites a beta of 0.87 and sector sensitivity. A beta below 1.0 suggests the stock has historically moved less than the broader market, which may appeal to investors seeking lower volatility, though it offers less upside in strong risk-on rallies.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. These point to a reasonably sound balance sheet with solid financial-health indicators.

Investor implications: The upside case rests on insider conviction, institutional interest, and a balance sheet that screens well. The main valuation tradeoff is that the rating's weakest pillar is cash-generation efficiency (ROIC of 4.1%), so the current multiple must be justified by expectations of improving returns. The "Watch for Breakout" label implies the rating sees the setup as neutral today, with improvement in cash returns or flow data as the signal to monitor.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$81.44$42.58B13.812.815.35.922.29%0.87$71.25 - $87.294.1%

Business

Per the profile, American International Group Inc. (AIG) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector and the Property-Casualty Insurers industry. Not available in source data for detailed product lines, customer segments, or revenue mix. The source data indicates reported revenue of $26775.0M for FY 2025 and an operating margin of 14.1%, which reflects how the business converts premiums and other revenue into operating profit.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, six items are flagged, all with a YELLOW light and labeled MARKET WIRE:

  • A Yahoo Finance piece framing the stock as a dividend candidate.
  • A StockInvest.us forecast article asking whether to buy the stock.
  • A TradingView article raising the question of whether higher premiums can help AIG navigate Q3 underwriting pressures. This is the most directly operational item in the feed.
  • A Seeking Alpha piece referencing an 11.5% ROE and a possible higher multiple.
  • A Benzinga five-year return retrospective.
  • A Yahoo Finance piece suggesting a valuation gap tied to Latin America expansion.

Risk watch items: the Q3 underwriting pressure theme. Proprietary signals: none. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are recorded. The news items are headline-level only; the source does not provide article body text.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links. Not available in source data for upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations beyond the Financials / Property-Casualty Insurers classification. Investors should watch the underwriting-pressure theme raised in the news wire, as well as the Latin America expansion theme, as potential second-order drivers of earnings, though the source data does not quantify either.

Open Questions

  • What drove the swing from a FY 2024 net loss of $-1404.0M to FY 2025 net income of $3096.0M, and is the FY 2025 level repeatable?
  • Why did reported debt rise from $7845.0M in FY 2023 to $54041.4M in FY 2025, and what is the composition of that debt?
  • What are the EPS and cash balances for each reported period, which the source leaves as N/A?
  • What is the magnitude and direction of the institutional 13F accumulation and options positioning cited in the RQD rating?
  • How material are the Q3 underwriting pressures and Latin America expansion to forward earnings?

AIG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for American International Group Inc. (AIG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AIG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AIG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $81.90?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AIG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AIG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $87.96 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AIG (C+ • RQD 68/100) a Buy at $81.44?

Welcome to the AIG (American International Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 68/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Property-Casualty Insurers. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $68.41 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $81.44

Pump the brakes on AIG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AIG, but look at what you are paying: 13.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless American International Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $100.99 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $81.44

AIG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AIG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Property-Casualty Insurers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $81.44 (52-wk range $71.25 - $87.29), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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