AdaptHealth Corp. (AHCO) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$5.81 -2.02% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.78

AdaptHealth Corp. (AHCO) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $792.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AHCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, AdaptHealth Corp. (NASDAQ: AHCO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $5.81 (-2.02% 1D, market cap $792.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, AHCO ranks #671 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AHCO compare to STLN and OMDA in the Health Care sector?
β–Ό

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Nursing Services), AHCO carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 18.8%, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, STLN (Starling Oncology Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $665.5M) and OMDA (Omada Health Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.7%, cap $1.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SBC leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while SBC leads on capital efficiency (63.1% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AHCO?
β–Ό

Per AHCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001725255), AdaptHealth Corp. generated $3.24B in revenue (-0.5% YoY), -$70.8M in net income, and $219.4M in free cash flow against $4.32B in total assets and $1.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.78 (-0.55%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 6.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510033
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (10)Whales (4)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.2% Base Target
$14 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AHCO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AHCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AHCO SCORES 33/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.8% FCF Margin ($219.4M FCF) & 18.8% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.79 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$6.33-3.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$6.10-4.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$5.85-0.7% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$5.81-8.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (41) β†’ E (33)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AHCO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While AHCO currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.89) and Max Pain ($6.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.10.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AHCOβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAHCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AHCO)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of AHCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AHCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -55.44%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $5.93H $5.93L $5.81C $5.81VOL 2.23M
RES: $6.42SUP: $5.72SMA50: $5.89SMA200: $9.14
$14.01$11.62$9.24$6.85$4.47RES $6.42SUP $5.72$5.812026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AHCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-6.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AHCO today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AHCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AHCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AHCO)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (AHCO vs. STLN, OMDA, SBC, INNV)

Industry: Medical/Nursing Services (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AdaptHealth Corp. (AHCO) ranks #671 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #384 by equity capitalization ($792.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SBC leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while SBC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 63.1% ROIC and 73.3% gross margin. SBC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with AHCO at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AHCO ACTIVE
AdaptHealth Corp.
E 33/100 β€” 18.8% 2.2% -2.02% $792.2M Benchmark Subject
STLN
Starling Oncology Inc.
D- 38/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -1.80% $665.5M /stln-vs-ahco β†’
OMDA
Omada Health Inc.
D+ 53/100 β€” 65.7% -15.7% -4.68% $1.15B /omda-vs-ahco β†’
SBC
SBC Medical Group Holdings Incorporated
B 72/100 11.5x 73.3% 63.1% -7.29% $542.5M /sbc-vs-ahco β†’
INNV
InnovAge Holding Corp.
D+ 52/100 β€” 18.0% -10.2% -0.54% $1.25B /innv-vs-ahco β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001725255

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AdaptHealth Corp. (AHCO) reported GAAP revenue of $3.24B (-0.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.26B , and +1.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$70.8M, operating cash flow of $601.8M, and free cash flow of $219.4M (-7.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, AHCO closed FY2025 with $4.32B in total assets against $1.72B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.79, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.24B -$70.8M $601.8M $219.4M $4.32B $1.72B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.26B $90.4M $541.8M $235.8M $4.49B $1.96B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.20B -$678.9M $480.7M $480.7M β€” β€”

3. AHCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AHCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, AdaptHealth Corp. (NASDAQ: AHCO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $5.81 (-2.02% 1D, market cap $792.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, AHCO ranks #671 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AHCO compare to STLN and OMDA in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Nursing Services), AHCO carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 18.8%, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, STLN (Starling Oncology Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $665.5M) and OMDA (Omada Health Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.7%, cap $1.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SBC leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while SBC leads on capital efficiency (63.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AHCO?

Per AHCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001725255), AdaptHealth Corp. generated $3.24B in revenue (-0.5% YoY), -$70.8M in net income, and $219.4M in free cash flow against $4.32B in total assets and $1.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AHCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AHCO last traded at $5.81 (-2.02% on volume of 2,225,409 shares), positioning the stock -1.36% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.89) and -36.43% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.14). Across its 52-week range of $5.21 to $13.43, AHCO sits at the 7.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.8% ($5.30 to $6.32).

AHCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does AHCO pay a dividend and is it safe?

AdaptHealth Corp. (AHCO) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 33/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AHCO β€” AdaptHealth Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:32:45Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AHCO holds an RQD score of 35 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, and the verdict label "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 2.2% and an FCF yield of 0%. Low returns on invested capital and no free-cash-flow yield at the current price indicate limited cash generation relative to the valuation an investor is paying.
  • Whale 13F Flow (6 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score modestly. The source data does not itemize the underlying 13F holdings, so the magnitude of institutional support cannot be sized.
  • Insider Conviction (5 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow score weakly, which suggests limited insider-level conviction in the stock's near-term prospects.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity score modestly, meaning the stock moves roughly in line with the market and carries sector-specific exposure.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (8 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z of 0.79, Piotroski F of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.13 point to a stretched balance sheet with elevated distress and leverage risk.

Investor implications: the upside case rests on a turnaround in operating margin and cash conversion, which the RQD pillars do not yet show. The valuation tradeoff is that EV/EBITDA of 6.1 may look inexpensive, but with an FCF yield of 0% and a Z-Score in the distress zone, a low multiple can reflect risk rather than mispricing. Balance-sheet fragility means the equity is sensitive to any further earnings or refinancing pressure.

Business

AdaptHealth Corp. (AHCO) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in Medical/Nursing Services. Per the company profile, it is classified within the Medical/Nursing Services industry. The source data does not itemize its product lines, customer base, or revenue model beyond the reported financial figures.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$3244.9M$90.9M$-70.8MN/A$219.4MN/A$1716.0M
FY 2024$3261.0M$263.7M$90.4MN/A$235.8MN/A$1964.9M
FY 2023$3200.2M$-598.4M$-678.9MN/A$480.7MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue was broadly flat across the three periods, while operating income fell from $263.7M in FY 2024 to $90.9M in FY 2025 and net income swung from $90.4M to $-70.8M. Per the market data, gross margin is 18.8%, operating margin 2.8%, and net margin -2.2%, with ROIC at 2.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.79 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, both weak readings. Per the SEC financials, reported debt declined from $1964.9M to $1716.0M, but Debt/Equity of 1.13 per the Roarable RQD rating still signals a leveraged balance sheet.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the near-term catalyst is the company's earnings event: one headline references a Q3 2026 earnings preview with a claimed GF Value upside of 61%, a TradingView item notes earnings are due the following day, and a Stock Titan item states results will be discussed live on Nov. 3 at 8:30 a.m. ET. Per the news feed, Simply Wall St carries a stock forecast item and Yahoo Finance carries a forecast item, though their contents are not included in the source data. The one flagged risk-watch item is a kalkine.ca report that AHCO was up 8.32% over a week despite a 1.26% drop on October 14, tagged RISK WATCH. The remaining items are tagged YELLOW (market wire). Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals or supply-chain links are present.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. Investors should note that the sector and industry classifications are the only ripple-relevant context provided.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported EPS, P/E, and forward P/E figures, given that these fields are absent from the source data?
  • What is the cash balance in each period, since cash is N/A across all reported years?
  • What drove the swing from $90.4M net income in FY 2024 to $-70.8M in FY 2025, and how much of it is recurring?
  • What are the 13F holder identities and magnitudes behind the whale flow score?
  • What did the Q3 2026 earnings release report, and does it confirm or contradict the turnaround narrative?

AHCO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AdaptHealth Corp. (AHCO) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to AHCO Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AHCO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $5.81?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AHCO 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AHCO:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.22 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AHCO (D- β€’ RQD 35/100) a Buy at $5.93?

Welcome to the AHCO (AdaptHealth Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 35/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Medical/Nursing Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.80 (-19.1%)
Spot @ $5.93

Pump the brakes on AHCO β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AHCO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 18.8% gross margins. Unless AdaptHealth Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.23 (+21.9%)
Spot @ $5.93

AHCO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AHCO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Medical/Nursing Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $5.93 (52-wk range $5.21 - $13.43), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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