Stock Ratings / Financials / AFCG / options

LPA (45) SRG (25) BEEP (38) DOUG (35) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$3.01 -0.33% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.00

Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $68.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AFCG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AFCG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (NASDAQ: AFCG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $3.01 (-0.33% 1D, market cap $68.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AFCG ranks #602 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AFCG compare to LPA and SRG in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), AFCG carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LPA (Logistic Properties of the Americas) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $79.6M) and SRG (Seritage Growth Properties (Class A)) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.6%, cap $92.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DOUG leads on earnings multiple (9.6x) while DOUG leads on capital efficiency (52.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AFCG?

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Per AFCG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001822523), Advanced Flower Capital Inc. generated $24.6M in revenue (-46.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $11.2M in free cash flow against $275.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.00 (-0.25%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 45.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AFCG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AFCG SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 53% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$3.10-2.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$3.01-0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$2.99+0.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$3.01-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AFCG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AFCG currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.32) and Max Pain ($3.16) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.03.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AFCG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AFCG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±7.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AFCG)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for AFCG.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AFCG)

✓Walkthrough of AFCG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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AFCG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.73%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $3.02H $3.02L $3.01C $3.01VOL 89.3K

RES: $3.65SUP: $2.95SMA50: $3.32SMA200: $2.97

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AFCG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AFCG Butterfly Map → + Track AFCG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -46.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AFCG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AFCG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AFCG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AFCG)

Financials Rank #602 of 1096 ⚔️ LPA vs AFCG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AFCG vs. LPA, SRG, BEEP, DOUG)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) ranks #602 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #1001 by equity capitalization ($68.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DOUG leads on earnings valuation at 9.6x trailing P/E, while DOUG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 52.5% ROIC and — gross margin. AFCG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AFCG ACTIVE Advanced Flower Capital Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	-0.33%	$68.2M	Benchmark Subject
LPA Logistic Properties of the Americas	D	45/100	—	—	—	-3.83%	$79.6M	/lpa-vs-afcg →
SRG Seritage Growth Properties (Class A)	E	25/100	—	—	-20.6%	-0.61%	$92.4M	/srg-vs-afcg →
BEEP Mobile Infrastructure Corporation	D-	38/100	—	—	-15.2%	-0.39%	$104.1M	/beep-vs-afcg →
DOUG Douglas Elliman Inc.	D-	35/100	9.6x	—	52.5%	-3.12%	$140.9M	/doug-vs-afcg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001822523

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) reported GAAP revenue of $24.6M (-46.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $45.7M , and -61.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $11.2M, and free cash flow of $11.2M (-47.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, AFCG closed FY2025 with $275.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$24.6M	$0	$11.2M	$11.2M	$275.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$45.7M	$0	$21.6M	$21.6M	$402.1M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$63.9M	$21.0M	$21.2M	$21.2M	—	—

3. AFCG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AFCG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does AFCG compare to LPA and SRG in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AFCG?

Where is AFCG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AFCG last traded at $3.01 (-0.33% on volume of 89,313 shares), positioning the stock -9.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.32) and +1.35% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.97). Across its 52-week range of $2.06 to $3.84, AFCG sits at the 53.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($2.78 to $3.24).

AFCG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AFCG's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for AFCG.

Direct Sub-Reports: AFCG RQD Cockpit AFCG 12M Forecast AFCG Earnings & Move AFCG Dividends & DRIP AFCG Insiders & 13F AFCG Whale Options AFCG Profit Sankey AFCG News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AFCG — Advanced Flower Capital Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:45:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AFCG scores 52 out of 100, a D+ grade labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 0% and an FCF yield of 16.41%. The high FCF yield is a potential upside driver, but ROIC at 0% signals that the cash generation is not translating into measured returns on invested capital in the source data.
Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. A score of 6 is weak and suggests limited institutional sponsorship in the source data.
Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The moderate score indicates mixed or limited conviction signals.
Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with a sector sensitivity assessment. This is a middling score; the stock's market sensitivity is neutral, but the rating does not indicate a strong regime tailwind.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The Piotroski score of 2/9 is a weak reading on fundamental quality.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a weak overall profile. The primary upside argument rests on the 16.41% FCF yield against a $68.5M market capitalization, while the primary drawbacks are 0% ROIC, a 2/9 Piotroski score, and weak institutional flow. A rating in the Sell/Trim band is an analytical signal, not a recommendation, and the investor implications should be weighed against the open questions below.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$24.6M	$0.0M	$0.0M	N/A	$11.2M	$38.6M	N/A
FY 2024	$45.7M	$0.0M	$0.0M	N/A	$21.6M	$103.6M	N/A
FY 2023	$63.9M	$0.0M	$21.0M	N/A	$21.2M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $63.9M in FY 2023 to $45.7M in FY 2024 and to $24.6M in FY 2025. Reported net income is $0.0M in FY 2025 and FY 2024, and operating income is $0.0M across all reported periods. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, and ROIC is 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported cash declined from $103.6M in FY 2024 to $38.6M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, five items reference AFCG, all tagged with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label:

A TradingView estimates report on AFCG.
A Yahoo Finance item announcing an earnings release and conference call for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026.
A Stock Titan item stating that results arrive before markets open on Nov. 5.
A Yahoo! Finance Canada seasonal returns chart referencing Sachem Capital Corp. (SACH).
Additional Stock Titan and TradingKey items referencing unrelated tickers (INVH, NMS) with an AFCG relatedSymbol tag.

Per the butterfly supply-chain graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The primary identifiable catalyst is the scheduled third-quarter results release, with timing per the Stock Titan item. Several items appear to be aggregator content with limited company-specific substance.

Open Questions

What drives the 0% ROIC and 0% margins despite a 16.41% FCF yield, and how does the reported FCF reconcile with reported net income of $0.0M?
What explains the declining revenue trend from $63.9M (FY 2023) to $24.6M (FY 2025) and the decline in reported cash from $103.6M to $38.6M?
What is the company's debt position, given that debt is reported as N/A in every period while Debt/Equity is cited at 0.5 in the RQD rating?
What are the results of the scheduled third-quarter earnings release, and how do they compare to the FY trend?
What is the company's business model, given that the source data gives no product, customer, or revenue description beyond sector classification?

AFCG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AFCG Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 17h ago

Advanced Flower Capital Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:AFCG

TradingView report covering Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

AFC Schedules Earnings Release and Conference Call for the Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2026

Yahoo Finance report covering Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 23h ago

Results arrive before markets open Nov. 5 for Advanced Flower Capital.

Stock Titan report covering Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago

Sachem Capital Corp. (SACH) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo Finance

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingKey • 1d ago

INVH|Invitation Homes Inc|Price:26.560|Chg%:-0.080

TradingKey report covering Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Nuveen Minnesota Quality Municipal Income Fund (NMS) Stock Price, News & Analysis

Stock Titan report covering Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingKey • 1d ago

BXMT|Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc|Price:11.000|Chg%:+0.130

TradingKey report covering Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingKey • 1d ago

GOOD|Gladstone Commercial Corp|Price:11.430|Chg%:+0.010

TradingKey report covering Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AFCG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.01?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AFCG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $3.26 (+7.9%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AFCG (D+ • RQD 52/100) a Buy at $3.02?

Welcome to the AFCG (Advanced Flower Capital Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 52/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Real Estate. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.39 (-20.9%)

Spot @ $3.02

Pump the brakes on AFCG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AFCG, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Advanced Flower Capital Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.59 (+18.9%)

Spot @ $3.02

AFCG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AFCG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Real Estate and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.02 (52-wk range $2.06 - $3.84), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.