Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (AEG) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$8.22 +0.49% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.21

Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (AEG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $14.72B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (NYSE: AEG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $8.22 (+0.49% 1D, market cap $14.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AEG ranks #610 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AEG compare to CRBG and RGA in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Life Insurance), AEG carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, CRBG (Corebridge Financial Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.3%, cap $15.52B) and RGA (Reinsurance Group of America Incorporated) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 14.6x, ROIC 1.6%, cap $17.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GL leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while GL leads on capital efficiency (24.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AEG?
β–Ό

For Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (AEG), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #610 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.21 (-0.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 8.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510051
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (15)Macro (6)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target
$10 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AEG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AEG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±2.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AEG SCORES 51/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (40.3) create a -14 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$8.24+1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$8.39-2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$8.22+0% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$8.22-1.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (59) β†’ D (51)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AEG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While AEG currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.66) and Max Pain ($8.63) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.09.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AEGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAEG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±2.4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AEG)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for AEG.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AEG)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of AEG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AEG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.24%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $8.30H $8.30L $8.18C $8.22VOL 4.39M
RES: $9.65SUP: $8.00SMA50: $8.66SMA200: $8.31
$9.76$9.14$8.52$7.91$7.29RES $9.65SUP $8.00$8.222026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AEG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AEG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AEG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AEG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AEG)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AEG vs. CRBG, RGA, GL, JXN)

Industry: Life Insurance (18 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (AEG) ranks #610 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #138 by equity capitalization ($14.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GL leads on earnings valuation at 10.6x trailing P/E, while GL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.3% ROIC and β€” gross margin. RGA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with AEG at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AEG ACTIVE
Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares
D 51/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +0.49% $14.72B Benchmark Subject
CRBG
Corebridge Financial Inc.
C- 60/100 β€” β€” -0.3% +0.66% $15.52B /crbg-vs-aeg β†’
RGA
Reinsurance Group of America Incorporated
C+ 68/100 14.6x β€” 1.6% +1.01% $17.29B /rga-vs-aeg β†’
GL
Globe Life Inc.
C+ 66/100 10.6x β€” 24.3% +0.45% $12.23B /gl-vs-aeg β†’
JXN
Jackson Financial Inc. (Class A)
C- 60/100 β€” β€” 0.0% +2.01% $9.14B /jxn-vs-aeg β†’

2. AEG Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (AEG) operates in Life Insurance (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $14.72B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. AEG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (NYSE: AEG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $8.22 (+0.49% 1D, market cap $14.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AEG ranks #610 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AEG compare to CRBG and RGA in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Life Insurance), AEG carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, CRBG (Corebridge Financial Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.3%, cap $15.52B) and RGA (Reinsurance Group of America Incorporated) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 14.6x, ROIC 1.6%, cap $17.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GL leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while GL leads on capital efficiency (24.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AEG?

For Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (AEG), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #610 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AEG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AEG last traded at $8.22 (+0.49% on volume of 5,198,141 shares), positioning the stock -5.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.66) and -1.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.31). Across its 52-week range of $6.75 to $9.61, AEG sits at the 51.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±2.4% ($8.02 to $8.42).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 51/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AEG β€” Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:09:56Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

AEG scores 53 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are scored as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. this pillar reflects an ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%, both of which sit at modest levels in the source data. For an investor, this suggests the business generates returns on capital and cash flow that are present but not strong enough to offset the valuation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. this pillar measures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is below midpoint, indicating limited institutional conviction signals in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderate, meaning insider activity does not provide a strong positive signal.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20. this pillar is based on a beta of 1.01 and sector sensitivity. This is the weakest pillar, implying the stock's behavior relative to the broader market offers limited regime-based support.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. this pillar reflects an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5. This is the strongest pillar and suggests the balance sheet is a relative source of stability.

Taken together, the rating points to a stock whose balance sheet is its most supportive attribute while its macro fit and institutional flow signals are weak. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the market data shows a trailing P/E of 32.8 and an EV/EBITDA of 21, which are elevated valuation multiples relative to the modest ROIC and FCF yield. The upside case rests on balance-sheet durability and any improvement in cash generation; the valuation tradeoff is that the current multiples leave limited margin for disappointment.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (AEG) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within the Life Insurance industry..9B.

Per the market data, operating margin is 13.9%, net margin is 10.9%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 9.9% and FCF yield is 2.21%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case: Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 15 / 20 with Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5, the strongest pillar in the rating. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC 9.9%, FCF yield 2.21%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $6.75 – $9.61 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Macro Regime Fit scores 6 / 20 and the trailing P/E of 32.8 sits well above the 9.9% ROIC and 2.21% FCF yield. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 1.01 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Life Insurance (Financials), AEG carries a macro regime beta of 1.01 and gross margin of β€”.

  • Key Question #1: What is the analyst consensus rating and price target distribution, given that analyst data is absent?
  • Key Question #2: Which institutional holders, 13F filers, or insiders have transacted in AEG, given that holders data is absent?
  • Key Question #3: What catalysts or news events have affected AEG recently, given that the news section is empty?

AEG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (AEG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to AEG Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AEG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $8.22?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AEG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AEG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper Systematic Momentum Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.98 (+22.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 15 / 20 with Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5, the strongest pillar in the ratin

Picked up a starter position in AEG in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $8.18. Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 15 / 20 with Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5, the strongest pillar in the rating.. Trading inside a $6.75–$9.61 52-week range with 2.21% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Life Insurance multiples expand this quarter.

SectorRotator πŸ‚ BULL

@QuantViper Agree on the RQD 51/100 quality, though with 1.01 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $8.18 and keeping dry powder in case we test $7.61.

RE RedlineAuditor Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.46 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $8.18

Macro Regime Fit scores 6 / 20 and the trailing P/E of 32.8 sits well above the 9.9% ROIC and 2.21% FCF yield.

Fading this rally in AEG at $8.18. Macro Regime Fit scores 6 / 20 and the trailing P/E of 32.8 sits well above the 9.9% ROIC and 2.21% FCF yield.. With a beta of 1.01 and the stock sitting at $8.18 (52-wk range $6.75–$9.61), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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