Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A) (ADV) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$30.23 -0.43% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.15

Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A) (ADV) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $389.3M
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ADV) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $30.23 (-0.43% 1D, market cap $389.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ADV ranks #787 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ADV compare to RPAY and CTEV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), ADV carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -5.1%. By comparison, RPAY (Repay Holdings Corporation (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.0%, cap $397.2M) and CTEV (Claritev Corporation (Class A)) posts a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $406.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RMNI leads on earnings multiple (10.0x) while CTEV leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADV?
β–Ό

Per ADV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001776661), Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A) generated $3.54B in revenue (-0.7% YoY), -$227.7M in net income, and $55.1M in free cash flow against $2.79B in total assets and $1.66B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.15 (-0.27%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) β€’ 1.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510037
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (8)SEC (6)Macro (9)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.5% Base Target
$50 Bull$27 Base$21 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ADV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ADV SCORES 37/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 51% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 52.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy β€’ Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$30.80-10.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$27.70+3.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$28.76+5.1% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$30.23-8.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (45) β†’ D- (37)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ADV Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ADV currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($30.95) and Max Pain ($31.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $49.82.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ADVβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œADV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How ADV Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$55.1M (1.6% FCF Margin)
Revenue$3.54BGross Profit $1.84B (52%)Cost of Sales $1.70BOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $1.84BNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $3.90B
FY24
Rev $3.57B
FY25
Rev $3.54B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$3.54B52%-3.6%-$227.7M$55.1M-5.1%
FY 2024$3.57B52%-8.3%-$327.0M$85.3M-10.4%
FY 2023$3.90B52%1.2%-$63.3M$228.5M-5.1%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ADV)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ADV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ADV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.47%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $28.75H $30.36L $28.75C $30.23VOL 80.1K
RES: $31.06SUP: $27.75SMA50: $30.95SMA200: $30.29
$49.23$41.87$34.51$27.15$19.80RES $31.06SUP $27.75$30.232026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADV today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADV)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #787 of 1011 βš”οΈ RPAY vs ADV Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ADV vs. RPAY, CTEV, RMNI, FVRR)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A) (ADV) ranks #787 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #621 by equity capitalization ($389.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RMNI leads on earnings valuation at 10.0x trailing P/E, while CTEV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. RMNI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with ADV at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ADV ACTIVE
Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A)
D- 37/100 β€” β€” -5.1% -0.43% $389.3M Benchmark Subject
RPAY
Repay Holdings Corporation (Class A)
D+ 52/100 β€” 75.0% -31.0% +3.62% $397.2M /rpay-vs-adv β†’
CTEV
Claritev Corporation (Class A)
E 23/100 β€” β€” 85.0% 0.00% $406.7M /ctev-vs-adv β†’
RMNI
Rimini Street Inc.
D+ 57/100 10.0x 60.4% 85.0% +24.31% $372.5M /rmni-vs-adv β†’
FVRR
Fiverr International Ltd. no par value
D 47/100 15.5x 81.6% -0.3% -7.29% $325.4M /fvrr-vs-adv β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001776661

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A) (ADV) reported GAAP revenue of $3.54B (-0.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.57B , and -9.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$227.7M, operating cash flow of $61.5M, and free cash flow of $55.1M (-35.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ADV closed FY2025 with $2.79B in total assets against $1.66B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.54B -$227.7M $61.5M $55.1M $2.79B $1.66B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.57B -$327.0M $93.1M $85.3M $3.11B $1.69B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.90B -$63.3M $228.5M $228.5M β€” β€”

3. ADV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ADV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ADV) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $30.23 (-0.43% 1D, market cap $389.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ADV ranks #787 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ADV compare to RPAY and CTEV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), ADV carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -5.1%. By comparison, RPAY (Repay Holdings Corporation (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.0%, cap $397.2M) and CTEV (Claritev Corporation (Class A)) posts a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $406.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RMNI leads on earnings multiple (10.0x) while CTEV leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADV?

Per ADV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001776661), Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A) generated $3.54B in revenue (-0.7% YoY), -$227.7M in net income, and $55.1M in free cash flow against $2.79B in total assets and $1.66B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ADV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ADV last traded at $30.23 (-0.43% on volume of 58,231 shares), positioning the stock -2.33% below its 50-day simple moving average ($30.95) and -0.20% below its 200-day simple moving average ($30.29). Across its 52-week range of $12.23 to $47.45, ADV sits at the 51.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($26.45 to $34.01).

ADV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

How profitable is Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A) (ADV)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ADV converted $3.5B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $55.1M in free cash flow (1.6% FCF margin).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 37/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ADV β€” Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:37:14Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 37 out of 100, graded D-, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow" (per the Roarable RQD rating). The five pillars score as follows:

  • Fundamental cash engine: 5 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating and market data, ROIC is -5.1% while the FCF yield is 14.14%. The strong FCF yield contrasts with negative ROIC, meaning reported cash generation is not translating into positive returns on invested capital. A prospective investor should weigh the cash yield against the negative return on capital before treating it as an upside driver.
  • Whale / 13F flow: 8 / 20. The rating reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning as weak. No holder-level detail is supplied in the source data, so the specific accumulation pattern cannot be verified here.
  • Insider conviction: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores low. Weak insider signaling offers limited confirmation for the stock's recent price move.
  • Macro regime fit: 9 / 20. Beta is 1.0 per the market data, meaning the stock is rated as moving in line with the broader market, with sector sensitivity scored unfavorably.
  • Forensic balance sheet: 6 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2, the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 3. A low Altman Z-Score is a distress-oriented reading, and the debt load relative to cash is a central valuation tradeoff: FY 2025 debt of $1660.6M against cash of $240.8M (per the SEC financials).

Taken together, the rating points to a weak fundamental and balance-sheet profile with limited institutional or insider confirmation. Potential upside would depend on improvement in operating returns and balance-sheet leverage, which the source data does not show. The recent 52-week range of $12.23 to $47.45 against a price of $30.36 (per the market data) illustrates high price volatility, which a prospective investor should consider alongside the rating.

Business

Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Business Services industry (per the company profile). The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $0.4B. Its products, customers, and revenue model are not described in the source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$3542.6M$-126.5M$-227.7MN/A$55.1M$240.8M$1660.6M
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31)$3566.3M$-295.0M$-327.0MN/A$85.3M$205.2M$1686.7M
FY 2023 (filed 2023-12-31)$3900.1M$46.6M$-63.3MN/A$228.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating losses in FY 2025 and FY 2024 after a positive operating income in FY 2023. Net losses were reported in all three periods. Per the market data, the operating margin is -3.6%, the net margin is -6.4%, and ROIC is -5.1%. The gross margin is listed as 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, with Debt/Equity at 3. Reported debt exceeded reported cash in both FY 2025 and FY 2024.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the catalysts are:

  • A Q2 2026 earnings conference call transcript (Benzinga, YELLOW light, MARKET WIRE).
  • A GuruFocus report noting a 5.0% stock decline and a GF Score of 63/100 (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A TradingView estimates report (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A Stock Titan notice that third-quarter results are set for 7 a.m. Nov. 4, with the call at 8:30 (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A Quiver Quantitative notice of third-quarter 2026 results reporting on November 4, 2026 (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • An Investing.com report that executive agreements were updated with new severance terms (RED, RISK WATCH).

The feed contains one RED-flag item, the executive severance update, which is categorized as a risk watch. The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The sector is listed as Consumer Discretionary and the industry as Business Services, but no correlated instruments are identified.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue drivers, given that the source data describes only sector and industry?
  • What are the terms, maturities, and interest costs of the $1660.6M reported debt, and how does the company plan to address it relative to $240.8M in cash?
  • Why is EPS reported as N/A across all periods, and what are the trailing and forward earnings figures?
  • What drove the decline in operating income from $46.6M in FY 2023 to -$295.0M in FY 2024, and the subsequent partial recovery in FY 2025?
  • What does the executive severance update flagged in the news feed contain, and does it relate to any operational or governance change?

ADV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A) (ADV) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ADV Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ADV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $30.23?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ADV 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ADV:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $26.72 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ADV (D- β€’ RQD 37/100) a Buy at $30.36?

Welcome to the ADV (Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 37/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Business Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $22.77 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $30.36

Pump the brakes on ADV β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ADV, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Advantage Solutions Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $37.34 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $30.36

ADV cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ADV, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Business Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $30.36 (52-wk range $12.23 - $47.45), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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