Addus HomeCare Corporation (ADUS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.7% Move

$125.75 +0.17% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $126.09

Addus HomeCare Corporation (ADUS) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (33% profit margin, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $2.34B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ADUS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Addus HomeCare Corporation (NASDAQ: ADUS) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $125.75 (+0.17% 1D, market cap $2.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ADUS ranks #41 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ADUS compare to WGS and PRVA in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Nursing Services), ADUS carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.2x, gross margin of 32.5%, and ROIC of 9.1%. By comparison, WGS (GeneDx Holdings Corp. (Class A)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.1%, cap $2.06B) and PRVA (Privia Health Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 122.6x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $2.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADUS leads on earnings multiple (24.2x) while AVAH leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADUS?
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Per ADUS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001468328), Addus HomeCare Corporation generated $1.42B in revenue (+23.2% YoY), $95.9M in net income, and $103.8M in free cash flow against $1.44B in total assets and $121.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $126.09 (+0.27%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 7.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510074
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B
Cash (12)Whales (17)SEC (15)Macro (15)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
$159 Bull$135 Base$103 Bear
📬 FREE ADUS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADUS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ADUS SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.83 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 9.7% operating margin leave 8 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$114.53+3.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$118.03+2.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$121.24+3.7% Next Q
Current
74
Grade B$125.75+7.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ADUS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, ADUS faces multiple-compression risk if 24.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 30.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($117.17) or 200D SMA ($106.52) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($134.80) toward Bear Floor ($103.11).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ADUS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ADUS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.7% Swing Band

±$5.91 Expected Swing
$119.84 (-4.7%)Spot $125.75$131.66 (+4.7%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ADUS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 74/100

Trailing EPS: $5.14 • YoY Revenue Growth: 23.2%

Model Bullish Setup (74/100)Model Risk Weight (26/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$1.42B$95.9M$103.8M32.5%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.15B$73.6M$110.4M32.5%
FY 20232023-12-31$1.06B$62.5M$112.2M32.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ADUS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ADUS
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ADUS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.60%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $124.3H $125.8L $124.3C $125.8VOL 300.4K
RES: $126.8SUP: $111.2SMA50: $117.2SMA200: $106.5
$129.3$118.1$106.9$95.68$84.47RES $126.8SUP $111.2$125.82026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADUS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
17.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +23.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADUS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADUS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADUS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADUS)

Health Care Rank #41 of 1016 ⚔️ WGS vs ADUS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ADUS vs. WGS, PRVA, AVAH, TDOC)

Industry: Medical/Nursing Services (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Addus HomeCare Corporation (ADUS) ranks #41 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #227 by equity capitalization ($2.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ADUS leads on earnings valuation at 24.2x trailing P/E, while AVAH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.7% ROIC and 33.3% gross margin. ADUS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ADUS ACTIVE
Addus HomeCare Corporation
B 74/100 24.2x 32.5% 9.1% +0.17% $2.34B Benchmark Subject
WGS
GeneDx Holdings Corp. (Class A)
D 47/100 — 69.7% -4.1% -7.20% $2.06B /wgs-vs-adus →
PRVA
Privia Health Group Inc.
D+ 53/100 122.6x — 10.5% -0.93% $2.74B /prva-vs-adus →
AVAH
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc.
C 65/100 — 33.3% 15.7% -0.30% $2.87B /avah-vs-adus →
TDOC
Teladoc Health Inc.
D+ 55/100 — — -17.0% +1.41% $1.55B /tdoc-vs-adus →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001468328

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Addus HomeCare Corporation (ADUS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.42B (+23.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.15B , and +34.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $95.9M, operating cash flow of $111.5M, and free cash flow of $103.8M (-6.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ADUS closed FY2025 with $1.44B in total assets against $121.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.83, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.42B $95.9M $111.5M $103.8M $1.44B $121.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.15B $73.6M $116.4M $110.4M $1.41B $218.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.06B $62.5M $112.2M $112.2M — —

3. ADUS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ADUS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Addus HomeCare Corporation (NASDAQ: ADUS) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $125.75 (+0.17% 1D, market cap $2.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ADUS ranks #41 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ADUS compare to WGS and PRVA in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Nursing Services), ADUS carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.2x, gross margin of 32.5%, and ROIC of 9.1%. By comparison, WGS (GeneDx Holdings Corp. (Class A)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.1%, cap $2.06B) and PRVA (Privia Health Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 122.6x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $2.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADUS leads on earnings multiple (24.2x) while AVAH leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADUS?

Per ADUS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001468328), Addus HomeCare Corporation generated $1.42B in revenue (+23.2% YoY), $95.9M in net income, and $103.8M in free cash flow against $1.44B in total assets and $121.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ADUS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ADUS last traded at $125.75 (+0.17% on volume of 508,511 shares), positioning the stock +7.32% above its 50-day simple moving average ($117.17) and +18.05% above its 200-day simple moving average ($106.52). Across its 52-week range of $87.95 to $126.62, ADUS sits at the 97.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 70.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.7% ($119.84 to $131.66).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 74/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ADUS — Addus HomeCare Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:26:04Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

ADUS carries an RQD Score of 73, a letter grade of B, and the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar cites ROIC of 9.1% and FCF yield of 4.47%. This is the lowest-scoring pillar, indicating that cash generation relative to capital and valuation is only moderately supportive of the thesis. An investor should note that the FCF yield of 4.47% is the main valuation anchor for cash-based reasoning.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 16 / 20. The RQD rating describes institutional accumulation and options positioning as a relative strength. This suggests larger holders have been net constructive, though the holder-level data supporting this pillar is not itemized in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow contribute a moderately positive signal. The underlying transaction detail is not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is cited. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is described as moving in line with the broad market, so macro regime shifts would be expected to affect it roughly proportionally.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 5.83, Piotroski F is 9/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.11. These are the strongest forensic readings in the source data and point to a low-leverage, financially sound profile.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the pillar mix implies that the case rests more on balance sheet strength and institutional/insider positioning than on cash-generation efficiency. Valuation is a tradeoff: per the market data, P/E (TTM) is 24.2 versus a forward P/E of 20.3, which implies expected earnings growth is embedded in the forward estimate, while EV/EBITDA of 16.8 is not compared to a peer benchmark in the source data. The upside drivers cited are the forensic strength and positioning flow; the main constraint is the 9.1% ROIC and 4.47% FCF yield. Ripple effects from the sector are not quantified in the source data. This analysis is educational and not personalized financial advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Addus HomeCare Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Health Care sector and Medical/Nursing Services industry. Its market capitalization is $2.3B. Specific products, customer segments, and revenue mechanics beyond sector and industry classification are —

Revenue rose from $1.06B in FY 2023 to $1.42B in FY 2025, and net income rose from $62.5M to $95.9M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 32.5%, operating margin 9.7%, and net margin 6.7%, with ROIC of 9.1%. The Altman Z-Score is 5.83 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9. Per the RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.11, and the financials show debt declining from $218.4M in FY 2024 to $121.0M in FY 2025. FCF declined modestly across the three periods, from $112.2M to $103.8M.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Per the RQD rating, forensic balance sheet strength (Altman Z 5.83, Piotroski F 9/9, Debt/Equity 0.11) combined with institutional accumulation supports the Roarable Buy verdict. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 9.1%, FCF yield 4.47%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $87.95 – $126.62 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Per the RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores only 12 / 20 with ROIC of 9.1% and FCF yield of 4.47%, and FCF declined from $112.2M to $103.8M. Investors must weigh 24.2x trailing P/E and 16.8x EV/EBITDA against 9.7% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies: — Sector correlations beyond the stated beta of 1.0: — 2nd-order bottlenecks: — An investor should treat the absence of mapped links as a gap in the analysis rather than as evidence of independence.

  • Key Question #1: What are the reported EPS and cash balances for FY 2025 and FY 2023, which are currently marked as unavailable?
  • Key Question #2: What drove the decline in FCF from $112.2M to $103.8M despite rising net income?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ADUS's 32.5% gross margin and 20.3x forward P/E multiple to Health Care demand cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00)?

ADUS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Addus HomeCare Corporation (ADUS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ADUS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ADUS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $125.75?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ADUS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ADUS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $149.39 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, forensic balance sheet strength (Altman Z 5.83, Piotroski F 9/9, Debt/Equity 0.11) combined with institutional accu

Don't sleep on ADUS's setup in Health Care. Per the RQD rating, forensic balance sheet strength (Altman Z 5.83, Piotroski F 9/9, Debt/Equity 0.11) combined with institutional accumulation supports the Roarable Buy verdict.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (74/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 74/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $125.54 and keeping dry powder in case we test $116.75.

SK SkepticalCFA Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $105.45 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $125.54

Per the RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores only 12 / 20 with ROIC of 9.1% and FCF yield of 4.47%, and FCF declined from $11

I respect the product at Addus HomeCare Corporation, but the stock at $125.54 is a different story. Per the RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores only 12 / 20 with ROIC of 9.1% and FCF yield of 4.47%, and FCF declined from $112.2M to $103.8M.. FCF yield is 4.47% and RQD sits at 74/100 (B) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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