Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering ADT Inc. (ADT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ADT Stock slipped -0.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ADT Inc. (ADT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ADT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-02, ADT Inc. (NYSE: ADT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $9.86 (-0.10% 1D, market cap $7.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ADT ranks #166 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ADT compare to FTDR and EQPT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), ADT carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.3%. By comparison, FTDR (Frontdoor Inc.) holds a A grade (86/100 RQD, P/E 23.6x, ROIC 51.1%, cap $6.02B) and EQPT (EquipmentShare.com Inc) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E 115.2x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $4.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADT leads on earnings multiple (12.1x) while FTDR leads on capital efficiency (51.1% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADT?
▼
Per ADT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001703056), ADT Inc. generated $5.13B in revenue (+4.7% YoY), $596.0M in net income, and $1.71B in free cash flow against $15.82B in total assets and $7.38B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
Capital intensity & 25.5% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ADT Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, ADT faces multiple-compression risk if 12.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.07) or 200D SMA ($7.10) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.35) toward Bear Floor ($8.07).
Why ADT Stock slipped -0.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ADT Inc. (ADT) slipped -0.10% to $9.86, trading at 97% of its 52-week range ($6.03 – $9.99). Solid steady margins (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 12x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 97% of its 52-week range ($6.03 – $9.99) with RSI-14 at 88.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $9.86 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $1.7B annual free cash flow.
Trefis report covering ADT Inc. (ADT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering ADT Inc. (ADT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CNBC report covering ADT Inc. (ADT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering ADT Inc. (ADT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering ADT Inc. (ADT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering ADT Inc. (ADT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering ADT Inc. (ADT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Security technology and services company ADT (NYSE:ADT) will be reporting earnings this Tuesday before market hours. Here’s what to look for.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ADT Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
ADT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADT today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADT)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ADT vs. FTDR, EQPT, KFY, ALLE)
Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ADT Inc. (ADT) ranks #166 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #215 by equity capitalization ($7.21B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ADT leads on earnings valuation at 12.1x trailing P/E, while FTDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 51.1% ROIC and 55.3% gross margin. FTDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 86/100 (A) compared with ADT at 69/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADT
ACTIVE
ADT Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 12.1x | — | 9.3% | -0.10% | $7.21B | Benchmark Subject |
| FTDR Frontdoor Inc. | A | 86/100 | 23.6x | 55.3% | 51.1% | +0.31% | $6.02B | /ftdr-vs-adt → |
| EQPT EquipmentShare.com Inc | D- | 40/100 | 115.2x | 60.7% | 6.7% | -5.50% | $4.61B | /eqpt-vs-adt → |
| KFY Korn Ferry | B | 75/100 | 14.8x | — | 20.2% | +0.83% | $4.14B | /kfy-vs-adt → |
| ALLE Allegion plc | B+ | 79/100 | 24.5x | 45.2% | 18.4% | -0.33% | $15.77B | /alle-vs-adt → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001703056In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ADT Inc. (ADT) reported GAAP revenue of $5.13B (+4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.90B , and +10.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $596.0M, operating cash flow of $1.88B, and free cash flow of $1.71B (-0.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, ADT closed FY2025 with $15.82B in total assets against $7.38B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.69, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $5.13B | $596.0M | $1.88B | $1.71B | $15.82B | $7.38B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.90B | $501.1M | $1.88B | $1.72B | $16.05B | $7.51B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $4.65B | $463.0M | $1.66B | $1.45B | $5.58B | $1.31B |
3. ADT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ADT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, ADT Inc. (NYSE: ADT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $9.86 (-0.10% 1D, market cap $7.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ADT ranks #166 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ADT compare to FTDR and EQPT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), ADT carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.3%. By comparison, FTDR (Frontdoor Inc.) holds a A grade (86/100 RQD, P/E 23.6x, ROIC 51.1%, cap $6.02B) and EQPT (EquipmentShare.com Inc) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E 115.2x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $4.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADT leads on earnings multiple (12.1x) while FTDR leads on capital efficiency (51.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADT?
Per ADT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001703056), ADT Inc. generated $5.13B in revenue (+4.7% YoY), $596.0M in net income, and $1.71B in free cash flow against $15.82B in total assets and $7.38B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ADT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ADT last traded at $9.86 (-0.10% on volume of 53,899,243 shares), positioning the stock +39.46% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.07) and +38.87% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.10). Across its 52-week range of $6.03 to $9.99, ADT sits at the 96.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 88.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.63 to $11.09).
ADT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ADT stock moving today?
Why ADT Stock slipped -0.10% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 12x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
ADT — ADT Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, ADT scores 69 out of 100, a letter grade of C+, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 9.3% and an FCF yield of 22%. The cash-generation profile is a relative strength, but the pillar score sits at half weight, indicating the fundamental picture is not what carries the rating.
- Whale 13F Flow: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the highest-scoring pillar and is the main driver of the rating's upper-neutral tilt.
- Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the second-strongest pillar.
- Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.05 and sector sensitivity is noted. This is a moderate score, indicating average exposure to market swings.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z is 0.69, the Piotroski F is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 1.95. The Z-score is a distress-range reading and the leverage is high; the Piotroski score is comparatively healthy. This mixed picture caps the pillar.
For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a balanced setup: flow and insider signals are strong, while the balance sheet and fundamental scoring hold the rating back from a higher grade. The upside case rests on continued positioning momentum and the cash-flow yield; the valuation tradeoff is that a 22% FCF yield coexists with a 69-point composite and a leveraged capital structure, so the cash generation must be weighed against balance-sheet risk. The rating's own label frames the stock as a hold pending a potential breakout rather than a clear accumulation signal.
Snapshot
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- Acquisition news. Per the recent news feed, a Seeking Alpha report headlined "ADT to be acquired by Thrive Holdings in $15B deal (ADT:NYSE)" is among the items. A Motley Fool report headlined "Stock Market Today, Oct. 29: ADT Surges 33% on $10 Per Share All-Cash Acquisition Deal" is flagged as a CATALYST-level item. These are the most material items in the feed and the principal event driver.
- Price action. Per the market data, the price change is 33.2%, with volume of 163,862,499 and a price of 9.87 relative to a 52-week range of $6.03 - $9.99.
- Other wire items. Per the recent news feed, additional items from Yahoo! Finance Canada, Trefis, Yahoo Finance, and CNBC are flagged as MARKET WIRE; their headlines are generic coverage of market action and do not add independent fundamental detail.
- Risk watch items. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score of 0.69 and Debt/Equity of 1.95 are the primary forensic risk markers. The gross margin is reported as 0% in the market data, which is not further explained in the source data.
- Proprietary signals. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are recorded.
Open Questions
- What are the terms, financing structure, and expected closing timeline of the reported acquisition, and how do they relate to the $10 per-share all-cash figure referenced in the news feed?
- What explains the gross margin of 0% reported in the market data alongside a 25.5% operating margin?
- Why does total debt move from $1306.5M in FY 2023 to $7379.4M in FY 2025, and what is the debt maturity profile?
- What is the specific basis for the 0.69 Altman Z-Score and whether it reflects the company's standing post-transaction?
- What are the identities and sizes of the 13F institutional holders and insider transactions underlying the 18/20 and 17/20 pillar scores?
ADT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ADT Inc. (ADT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering ADT Inc. (ADT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering ADT Inc. (ADT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering ADT Inc. (ADT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CNBC report covering ADT Inc. (ADT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering ADT Inc. (ADT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering ADT Inc. (ADT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering ADT Inc. (ADT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering ADT Inc. (ADT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ADT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.86?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ADT (C+ • RQD 69/100) a Buy at $9.87?
Welcome to the ADT (ADT Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 69/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Diversified Commercial Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on ADT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ADT, but look at what you are paying: 12.1x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless ADT Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
ADT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ADT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Commercial Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.87 (52-wk range $6.03 - $9.99), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.